Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>If GAA is better viewed as a revolutionary change, it implies that Intel, Samsung and TSMC will transition to GAA with a largely level playing field </li>
<li>If GAA is better viewed as an evolutionary change, TSMC will carry forward its process technology leadership into its GAA transition, leaving it in the #1 position</li>
<li>We think that the GAA transition is evolutionary, not revolutionary and posit that TSMC will continue to maintain its semiconductor process technology leadership through the transition.</li>
</ul>


If GAA is better viewed as a revolutionary change, it implies that Intel, Samsung and TSMC will transition to GAA with a largely level playing field 
If GAA is better viewed as an evolutionary change, TSMC will carry forward its process technology leadership into its GAA transition, leaving it in the #1 position
We think that the GAA transition is evolutionary, not revolutionary and posit that TSMC will continue to maintain its semiconductor process technology leadership through the transition.


Gate All Around Transistors. Evolution Or Revolution & Why It Matters

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Oct 18th which has an aggregated holding worth USD524.8bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,097mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Korzinc, Kia.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Oct 18th which has an aggregated holding worth USD524.8bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,097mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Korzinc, Kia.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 18th): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Korzinc, Kia

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The KRX announced the 100 constituents of the much-awaited Korea Value-Up Index on 24 September. There were hits and misses but broad consensus was that the index is a miss.</li>
<li>Following market feedback, the KRX could conduct a special rebalance of the index in December. But this could be after the launch of ETFs tracking the index.</li>
<li>With a big overlap and similar characteristics as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 Index</a>, there could be limited assets benchmarked to the Korea Value-Up Index in the short-term.</li>
</ul>


The KRX announced the 100 constituents of the much-awaited Korea Value-Up Index on 24 September. There were hits and misses but broad consensus was that the index is a miss.
Following market feedback, the KRX could conduct a special rebalance of the index in December. But this could be after the launch of ETFs tracking the index.
With a big overlap and similar characteristics as the KOSPI 200 Index, there could be limited assets benchmarked to the Korea Value-Up Index in the short-term.


Korea Value-Up Index: Estimated Passive Flows as ETF Launches Coming

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>ATE Energy is leading green energy and marine projects in the Philippines to support sustainability efforts and protect the environment. Taiwan is seeking to import green energy from the Philippines to meet its goal of achieving net-zero emissions by 2050.</li><li>The US faces challenges in expanding nuclear power as part of its efforts to reach net-zero emissions targets. Japan and Taiwan are teaming up to produce the Lean3 EV, promising a compact design and high efficiency for urban areas. </li><li>The new iPad mini features advanced Apple Intelligence technology with four major upgrades for top-tier performance and functionality. Joo-Sun Choi is returning to Samsung's DS division after a successful term as SDC president. Taiwan is focusing on low-carbon power to drive industrial growth, while ESL adoption is on the rise with retailers like Simple Mart Taiwan and Walmart leading the way in a retail revolution for lower prices.</li></ul>

ATE Energy is leading green energy and marine projects in the Philippines to support sustainability efforts and protect the environment. Taiwan is seeking to import green energy from the Philippines to meet its goal of achieving net-zero emissions by 2050.The US faces challenges in expanding nuclear power as part of its efforts to reach net-zero emissions targets. Japan and Taiwan are teaming up to produce the Lean3 EV, promising a compact design and high efficiency for urban areas. The new iPad mini features advanced Apple Intelligence technology with four major upgrades for top-tier performance and functionality. Joo-Sun Choi is returning to Samsung's DS division after a successful term as SDC president. Taiwan is focusing on low-carbon power to drive industrial growth, while ESL adoption is on the rise with retailers like Simple Mart Taiwan and Walmart leading the way in a retail revolution for lower prices.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Oct-2024): ATE Energy boosts green energy & marine projects in PH.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q424 revenue forecast of $26.5 billion, up 13% QoQ and the highest Q3 to Q4 revenue jump since Q4 2017</li>
<li>Demand for AI acceleration is real and just beginning. According to a key customer of theirs, "demand right now is just insane"</li>
<li>Overseas fabs progressing well with Arizona yielding well and on track for high volume production in early 2025</li>
</ul>


Q424 revenue forecast of $26.5 billion, up 13% QoQ and the highest Q3 to Q4 revenue jump since Q4 2017
Demand for AI acceleration is real and just beginning. According to a key customer of theirs, "demand right now is just insane"
Overseas fabs progressing well with Arizona yielding well and on track for high volume production in early 2025


South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

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Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

Gate All Around Transistors. Evolution Or Revolution & Why It Matters

The transition to GAAFETs is an evolutionary, not revolutionary change. This implies that TSMC will be able to transfer its process technology...

William Keating

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 18th): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Korzinc, Kia

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Korzinc, Kia.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Korea Value-Up Index: Estimated Passive Flows as ETF Launches Coming

The Korea Value-Up Index is very similar to the KOSPI200 Index. That could mean not a lot of passive assets tracking the index. Stocks with the...

Brian Freitas

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Oct-2024): ATE Energy boosts green energy & marine projects in PH.

Taiwan plans to import green energy from the Philippines to reach net-zero emissions goals by 2050, while ATE Energy promotes sustainability...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

TSMC Q324 Earnings Key Takeaways

Q424 revenue forecast of $26.5 billion, up 13% QoQ and the highest Q3 to Q4 revenue jump since Q4 2017. According to a key customer, demand for AI...

William Keating

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