Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Equity Bottom-Up

GLOBALFOUNDRIES has filed for an IPO in the US.  The company's filing reveals a strategy that may not be focused on the leading edge of the market, but it seems to be well aimed at good margins and manageable R&amp;D costs.

GLOBALFOUNDRIES has filed for an IPO in the US.  The company's filing reveals a strategy that may not be focused on the leading edge of the market, but it seems to be well aimed at good margins and manageable R&amp;D costs.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

August semiconductor revenues set new records worldwide and in nearly every region.  This is a continuation of a growth trend that has been playing out since the end of 2019, with each month setting new records since December of last year.

August semiconductor revenues set new records worldwide and in nearly every region.  This is a continuation of a growth trend that has been playing out since the end of 2019, with each month setting new records since December of last year.

August Semiconductor Revenues Break Records Once Again

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Algosun Global

Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/truecaller-ab" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34462:1" rel="noopener">Truecaller AB (TRUEB SS)</a>  is expected to IPO this week. The company’s amended prospectus puts the expected price range at SEK 44.00-56.00 per Class B share, implying a market cap of ~19.6B SEK or ~$2.2B at midpoint of the price range on a fully diluted basis. The book-building procedure began on September 29 and continues until October 7. Truecaller’s Class B shares are expected to begin trading on Nasdaq Stockholm under the trading symbol “TRUE” on October 8. Carnegie Investment Bank, Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan and Citigroup Global Markets are joint global coordinators on the upcoming offering.

Truecaller AB (TRUEB SS)  is expected to IPO this week. The company’s amended prospectus puts the expected price range at SEK 44.00-56.00 per Class B share, implying a market cap of ~19.6B SEK or ~$2.2B at midpoint of the price range on a fully diluted basis. The book-building procedure began on September 29 and continues until October 7. Truecaller’s Class B shares are expected to begin trading on Nasdaq Stockholm under the trading symbol “TRUE” on October 8. Carnegie Investment Bank, Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan and Citigroup Global Markets are joint global coordinators on the upcoming offering.      

Truecaller IPO: Best-In-Class Caller ID And Spam Blocking App

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

This insight provides the output, and an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, which takes a three-pronged approach to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 largest stocks in the MSCI GEM Index. The model is based on 1) a typical quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two Artificial Intelligence Technology-based approaches using 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model. This model, which has been developed and tweaked over the past 3 years (and implemented in its current state for 17 months), has a solid real-world performance track record, which I set out in the detail below. Notable new entrants to the top decile this month include the beaten-down Chinese tech names such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> , and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> as well as two Brazilian large caps in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vale-sa-7721577f-6c6a-4536-a829-92551c2bcd7f" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27725:1" rel="noopener">Vale SA (VALE3 BZ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ambev-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24454:1" rel="noopener">Ambev SA (ABEV3 BZ)</a>.<table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col>
<col>
<col>
<col>
<col>
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 48pt;">rank</td>
<td style="width: 169pt;">Name</td>
<td style="width: 119pt;">Sector</td>
<td style="width: 95pt;">Location</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 48pt;">prev.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-oriental-education-technology-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32210:1" rel="noopener">New Oriental Education &amp; Technology Group (9901 HK)</a> </td>
<td>Consumer Discretionary</td>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29030:1" rel="noopener">NetEase (9999 HK)</a> </td>
<td>Communication</td>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> </td>
<td>Information Technology</td>
<td>Korea (South)</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">16</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">4</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> </td>
<td>Information Technology</td>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">91</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">5</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a> </td>
<td>Consumer Discretionary</td>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">34</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">6</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vale-sa-7721577f-6c6a-4536-a829-92551c2bcd7f" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27725:1" rel="noopener">Vale SA (VALE3 BZ)</a> </td>
<td>Materials</td>
<td>Brazil</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">38</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">7</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ambev-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24454:1" rel="noopener">Ambev SA (ABEV3 BZ)</a> </td>
<td>Consumer Staples</td>
<td>Brazil</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">35</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">8</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ambev-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24454:1" rel="noopener">Ambev SA (ABEV3 BZ)</a> </td>
<td>Communication</td>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">43</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">9</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)</a> </td>
<td>Financials</td>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">23</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">10</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> </td>
<td>Consumer Discretionary</td>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">79</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" style="text-align: left;">Source: FactSet financial data and analytics, my estimates and calculations, Tensorflow, Keras, Google Colaboratory, pandas</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>As usual, please feel free to reach out for the full output table, any questions, clarifications needed or suggestions.

This insight provides the output, and an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, which takes a three-pronged approach to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 largest stocks in the MSCI GEM Index. The model is based on 1) a typical quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two Artificial Intelligence Technology-based approaches using 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model. This model, which has been developed and tweaked over the past 3 years (and implemented in its current state for 17 months), has a solid real-world performance track record, which I set out in the detail below. Notable new entrants to the top decile this month include the beaten-down Chinese tech names such as Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK), Alibaba Group (9988 HK), Tencent (700 HK) , and JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) as well as two Brazilian large caps in Vale SA (VALE3 BZ) and Ambev SA (ABEV3 BZ).









rank
Name
Sector
Location
prev.


1

New Oriental Education &amp; Technology Group (9901 HK) 
Consumer Discretionary
China
10


2

NetEase (9999 HK) 
Communication
China
5


3

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) 
Information Technology
Korea (South)
16


4

Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) 
Information Technology
China
91


5

Alibaba Group (9988 HK) 
Consumer Discretionary
China
34


6

Vale SA (VALE3 BZ) 
Materials
Brazil
38


7

Ambev SA (ABEV3 BZ) 
Consumer Staples
Brazil
35


8

Ambev SA (ABEV3 BZ) 
Communication
China
43


9

Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK) 
Financials
China
23


10

JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) 
Consumer Discretionary
China
79

Source: FactSet financial data and analytics, my estimates and calculations, Tensorflow, Keras, Google Colaboratory, pandas

As usual, please feel free to reach out for the full output table, any questions, clarifications needed or suggestions. 

Samsung's revenues have risen above Intel's for the second time in history, making Samsung the semiconductor market leader.  This should be a short-lived distinction, though, as was Samsung's similar distinction in 2018.  This Insight explains why Samsung will lose it's first-ranked position, and what the company would need to do to gain a sustainable leadership of the market.

Samsung's revenues have risen above Intel's for the second time in history, making Samsung the semiconductor market leader.  This should be a short-lived distinction, though, as was Samsung's similar distinction in 2018.  This Insight explains why Samsung will lose it's first-ranked position, and what the company would need to do to gain a sustainable leadership of the market.

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

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Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)

GLOBALFOUNDRIES IPO - Good Timing

Is this a good time for GLOBALFOUNDRIES to go public? Given the company's focus on older processes, and the market's current shortages, it seems...

Jim Handy

August Semiconductor Revenues Break Records Once Again

Once again the semiconductor market has set a new revenue record. Just-reported August revenues make it the highest month in history. There's no...

Jim Handy

Truecaller IPO: Best-In-Class Caller ID And Spam Blocking App

Swedish caller identification and spam-call blocker unicorn Truecaller filed for an IPO on Nasdaq Stockholm and plans to raise more than $100M this...

Andrei Zakharov

Screening for GEMs: October 2021

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

Can Samsung Stay At Top of Chip Market?

Samsung has outstripped Intel as the leading chip maker, but this lead will soon disappear. Why is that? And what must Samsung do to enjoy a...

Jim Handy

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