Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Relative Value Trade in Micron Has Worked Since Our Last Piece; Results Blow Away Expectations</li>
<li>Memory Pricing Improvement Continues, Management Expects Pricing Increases Through Calendar Year 2024 and 2025</li>
<li>We Remain Structurally Long Memory; Now See Relative Value in SK Hynix</li>
</ul>


Relative Value Trade in Micron Has Worked Since Our Last Piece; Results Blow Away Expectations
Memory Pricing Improvement Continues, Management Expects Pricing Increases Through Calendar Year 2024 and 2025
We Remain Structurally Long Memory; Now See Relative Value in SK Hynix


Micron Analysis, Industry Takeaways: Memory Market TAM New Highs into 2025; SK Hynix Trade

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The KRX has preliminarily approved <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-dx-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5198:1" rel="noopener">Posco DX (022100 KS)</a>'s listing transfer from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-dx-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5198:1" rel="noopener">Posco DX (022100 KS)</a> has announced that its stock will start trading on the KOSPI Market from the open on 2 January.</li>
<li>We expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/temc-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36608:1" rel="noopener">Temc (425040 KS)</a> to replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-dx-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5198:1" rel="noopener">Posco DX (022100 KS)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the close on 28 December.</li>
</ul>


The KRX has preliminarily approved Posco DX (022100 KS)'s listing transfer from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market.

Posco DX (022100 KS) has announced that its stock will start trading on the KOSPI Market from the open on 2 January.
We expect Temc (425040 KS) to replace Posco DX (022100 KS) in the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the close on 28 December.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Posco DX Listing Transfer

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Objective Analysis has released its 2024 semiconductor forecast, calling for growth of below 5%</li>
<li>Other forecasters currently call for 11% to 17% growth, which would require another super cycle to accomplish</li>
<li>We do not see any event that will drive a 2024 super cycle, even with the current rapid adoption of AI in the data center</li>
</ul>


Objective Analysis has released its 2024 semiconductor forecast, calling for growth of below 5%
Other forecasters currently call for 11% to 17% growth, which would require another super cycle to accomplish
We do not see any event that will drive a 2024 super cycle, even with the current rapid adoption of AI in the data center


2024 High Conviction: Low Semiconductor Growth

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Dec 15th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD10.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Hlb, Lg Electronics, Samsung C&amp;T, Samsung Electron, Posco Holdings I, Sk Hynix.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Dec 15th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD10.4bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Hlb, Lg Electronics, Samsung C&amp;T, Samsung Electron, Posco Holdings I, Sk Hynix.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 15th): HLB, Lg Electronics, Samsung C&T, Samsung Electron

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>On 13 December, the FSS announced that foreign investors will be allowed to start purchasing Korean stocks without prior authorization starting this week. </li>
<li>The revised Capital Market Act will start to be implemented on 14 December repealing the time consuming and inconvenient pre-registration system for foreign investors.  </li>
<li>As a result of the Korean government making this change regulatory change, one of the beneficiaries is likely to be Interactive Brokers Group, Inc (IBKR US).</li>
</ul>


On 13 December, the FSS announced that foreign investors will be allowed to start purchasing Korean stocks without prior authorization starting this week. 
The revised Capital Market Act will start to be implemented on 14 December repealing the time consuming and inconvenient pre-registration system for foreign investors.  
As a result of the Korean government making this change regulatory change, one of the beneficiaries is likely to be Interactive Brokers Group, Inc (IBKR US).


Foreign Investors Allowed to Begin Buying Korean Stocks Without Prior Authorization on 14 December

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

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Samsung Electronics (SMSN LI)

Micron Analysis, Industry Takeaways: Memory Market TAM New Highs into 2025; SK Hynix Trade

We expect memory volume growth and rising memory chip prices to continue through both calendar years 2024 & 2025. Our Micron relative trade has...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Posco DX Listing Transfer

Posco DX (022100 KS) is up 14% today. There could be another week of trading on the KOSDAQ market before the listing transfer to the KOSPI market....

Brian Freitas

2024 High Conviction: Low Semiconductor Growth

2024 semiconductor revenue growth will be muted despite forecasts predicting strong growth. This post explains why the year will not see another...

Jim Handy

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 15th): HLB, Lg Electronics, Samsung C&T, Samsung Electron

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Hlb, Lg Electronics, Samsung C&T, Samsung Electron,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Foreign Investors Allowed to Begin Buying Korean Stocks Without Prior Authorization on 14 December

On 13 December, the FSS announced that foreign investors will be allowed to start purchasing Korean stocks without prior authorization starting...

Douglas Kim

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