Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>I had the opportunity to talk about the CHIPS Act’s progress with two people at the program office.</li><li>I really think this is a great step in the right direction, and we talk about some of the misconceptions of the CHIPS program, and more.</li><li>Today will be a pretty special interview podcast, and I have Dan Kim and Hassan Khan from the CHIPS program.</li></ul>

I had the opportunity to talk about the CHIPS Act’s progress with two people at the program office.I really think this is a great step in the right direction, and we talk about some of the misconceptions of the CHIPS program, and more.Today will be a pretty special interview podcast, and I have Dan Kim and Hassan Khan from the CHIPS program.

An Interview with Dan Kim and Hassan Khan of the CHIPS Program Office

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of May 24th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD6.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Samsung Electronics, Samsung SDI, Samsung Electro-Mechanics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of May 24th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD6.1bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Samsung Electronics, Samsung SDI, Samsung Electro-Mechanics.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (May 24th): Samsung Electronics

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

HD Hyundai Marine Solution  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, the focus remained on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-marine-solution-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41002:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS)</a>, even as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial</a> is gearing up to launch its IPO. </li>
<li>On the placement front, there were deals across India, South Korea and Australia.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, the focus remained on HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS), even as Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial is gearing up to launch its IPO. 
On the placement front, there were deals across India, South Korea and Australia.


ECM Weekly (15th Apr 2024) - Hyundai Marine, Bharti, Kayou, Zeekr, ChaPanda, Samsung, WT Micr, Sompo

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

United Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>UMC is currently forecasting a flat to low single digit growth QoQ for 3Q24, which is slight lower than consensus.</li>
<li>UMC has received orders from domestic and international clients. However, we believe it couldn't be able to compensate for the loss of Samsung's 28nm orders so far this year.</li>
<li>With accelerated construction in Singapore in 2024, the full-year capital expenditure has slightly risen to $3.3 billion.</li>
</ul>


UMC is currently forecasting a flat to low single digit growth QoQ for 3Q24, which is slight lower than consensus.
UMC has received orders from domestic and international clients. However, we believe it couldn't be able to compensate for the loss of Samsung's 28nm orders so far this year.
With accelerated construction in Singapore in 2024, the full-year capital expenditure has slightly risen to $3.3 billion.


UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): The Outlook for 2024 Could Show Flat to Low Single-Digit Growth.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-kodex-top5plus-total-return-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36723:1" rel="noopener">Samsung KODEX Top5Plus Total Return ETF (315930 KS)</a> tracks the FnGuide Top 5 Plus Index and has an AUM of KRW 1,357bn (~US$1bn).</li>
<li>We currently see a high probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kt-g-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9320:1" rel="noopener">KT&amp;G Corporation (033780 KS)</a> in the index at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>There is between 1-2 days of ADV to trade on the potential add and delete and smaller flows on the other index members due to capping and funding changes.</li>
</ul>


The Samsung KODEX Top5Plus Total Return ETF (315930 KS) tracks the FnGuide Top 5 Plus Index and has an AUM of KRW 1,357bn (~US$1bn).
We currently see a high probability of Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) replacing KT&amp;G Corporation (033780 KS) in the index at the June rebalance.
There is between 1-2 days of ADV to trade on the potential add and delete and smaller flows on the other index members due to capping and funding changes.


FnGuide Top 5 Plus Index Rebalance Preview: Celltrion Could Replace KT&G

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

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Samsung Electronics (SMSN LI)

An Interview with Dan Kim and Hassan Khan of the CHIPS Program Office

How the CHIPS Program office plans to divert the future of Semiconductors back to America. I had the opportunity to talk about the CHIPS Act’s...

Fabricated Knowledge

KRX Short Interest Weekly (May 24th): Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Samsung Electronics, Samsung SDI, Samsung Electro...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ECM Weekly (15th Apr 2024) - Hyundai Marine, Bharti, Kayou, Zeekr, ChaPanda, Samsung, WT Micr, Sompo

Yesterday it was Sompo's turn to provide an update on its cross-shareholding plans. It plans to sell atleast JPY600bn (US$4bn) worth of shares over...

Sumeet Singh

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): The Outlook for 2024 Could Show Flat to Low Single-Digit Growth.

UMC forecasts flat to low single digit growth for 3Q24, receiving orders but unable to fully compensate for loss of Samsung's 28nm orders.

Patrick Liao

FnGuide Top 5 Plus Index Rebalance Preview: Celltrion Could Replace KT&G

Celltrion could replace KT&G in the FnGuide Top5 Plus Index in June. Passives will need to buy 1x ADV in Celltrion and sell 2x ADV in KT&G. There...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

An Interview with Dan Kim and Hassan Khan of the CHIPS Program Office

How the CHIPS Program office plans to divert the future of Semiconductors back to America. I had the opportunity to talk about the CHIPS Act’s...

Fabricated Knowledge

KRX Short Interest Weekly (May 24th): Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Samsung Electronics, Samsung SDI, Samsung Electro...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ECM Weekly (15th Apr 2024) - Hyundai Marine, Bharti, Kayou, Zeekr, ChaPanda, Samsung, WT Micr, Sompo

Yesterday it was Sompo's turn to provide an update on its cross-shareholding plans. It plans to sell atleast JPY600bn (US$4bn) worth of shares over...

Sumeet Singh

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): The Outlook for 2024 Could Show Flat to Low Single-Digit Growth.

​UMC forecasts flat to low single digit growth for 3Q24, receiving orders but unable to fully compensate for loss of Samsung's 28nm orders.

Patrick Liao

FnGuide Top 5 Plus Index Rebalance Preview: Celltrion Could Replace KT&G

Celltrion could replace KT&G in the FnGuide Top5 Plus Index in June. Passives will need to buy 1x ADV in Celltrion and sell 2x ADV in KT&G. There...

Brian Freitas

UMC forecasts flat to low single digit growth for 3Q24, receiving orders but unable to fully compensate for loss of Samsung's 28nm orders.