Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over nearly 4 years and implemented in its current state for nearly 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over nearly 4 years and implemented in its current state for nearly 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/international-business-machines-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1064:1" rel="noopener">International Business Machines (IBM US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alphabet-inc-cl-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11369:1" rel="noopener">Alphabet Inc Cl C (GOOG US)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple Inc (AAPL US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amazon-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:409:1" rel="noopener">Amazon.com Inc (AMZN US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> are the top five AI innovators.</li>
<li>Top "non-tech" companies include medical diagnostic/surgical players like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/johnson-johnson" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1132:1" rel="noopener">Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medtronic-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14982:1" rel="noopener">Medtronic Plc (MDT US)</a>, and financials like State Farm Mutual, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capital-one-financial-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:255:1" rel="noopener">Capital One Financial (COF US)</a>
</li>
<li>Since AI technology includes integrating several areas of technology, we have data-mined from multiple technological areas that we think are fundamental to AI, We have detailed these in the report.</li>
</ul>



International Business Machines (IBM US), Alphabet Inc Cl C (GOOG US)Apple Inc (AAPL US), Amazon.com Inc (AMZN US), and Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) are the top five AI innovators.
Top "non-tech" companies include medical diagnostic/surgical players like Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ US), Medtronic Plc (MDT US), and financials like State Farm Mutual, and Capital One Financial (COF US)

Since AI technology includes integrating several areas of technology, we have data-mined from multiple technological areas that we think are fundamental to AI, We have detailed these in the report.


Insights from Data Mining Technical Publications - A Look into Artificial Intelligence

<ul>
<li>The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>
 Macro data points: Russian attempts at financial stability, Indian GDP growth, Chinese PMI data</li>
<li>
 Companies mentioned:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc-2d526675-c878-4104-840f-87fed1735e85" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35652:1" rel="noopener">NIO Inc (9866 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bytedance-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27936:1" rel="noopener">ByteDance (1439927D CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">TSMC (2330 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a>
</li>
</ul>


The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.

 Macro data points: Russian attempts at financial stability, Indian GDP growth, Chinese PMI data

 Companies mentioned:NIO Inc (9866 HK), ByteDance (1439927D CH), TSMC (2330 TT), Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)



GEM Weekly (4 Mar 2022): Russian Interest Rates, Chinese PMI; NIO, ByteDance, TSMC, Samsung

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We expect MediaTek Dimensity 8000/8100 and 9000 are targeting shipment of ~30-40mn and 5-10mn sets respectively, which means high-end 5G smartphone chipset will aim at 10-14% 5G shipment in 2022.</li>
<li>We consider the inventory argument raised for China smartphone could be a kind of  fake issue.</li>
<li>In 5G era, the PMIC is about 2~3 times of 4G in size with the mature nodes.</li>
</ul>


We expect MediaTek Dimensity 8000/8100 and 9000 are targeting shipment of ~30-40mn and 5-10mn sets respectively, which means high-end 5G smartphone chipset will aim at 10-14% 5G shipment in 2022.
We consider the inventory argument raised for China smartphone could be a kind of  fake issue.
In 5G era, the PMIC is about 2~3 times of 4G in size with the mature nodes.


MediaTek (2454.TT): We Expect High-End 5G Smartphone Chipset Will Aim at 10-14% Shipment in 2022.

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>On 2 March, it was reported in numerous media that Apple Inc will stop all product sales in Russia. This is a measure in response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine.</li>
<li>The US-led Foreign Direct Product Rule (FDPR) regulation may force a more stringent sanction that could force Samsung to stop selling smartphones in Russia. </li>
<li>Despite these concerns about FDPR, the decision as to whether to totally block Samsung's smartphone sales to Russia has not been finalized. </li>
</ul>


On 2 March, it was reported in numerous media that Apple Inc will stop all product sales in Russia. This is a measure in response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
The US-led Foreign Direct Product Rule (FDPR) regulation may force a more stringent sanction that could force Samsung to stop selling smartphones in Russia. 
Despite these concerns about FDPR, the decision as to whether to totally block Samsung's smartphone sales to Russia has not been finalized. 


Will Samsung Follow Apple and Be Forced to Stop Selling Smartphones in Russia Due to FDPR Rule?

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

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Samsung Electronics (SMSN LI)

Screening for GEMs: March 2022

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

Insights from Data Mining Technical Publications - A Look into Artificial Intelligence

The global artificial intelligence (AI) market is forecast to grow rapidly in the coming years. In this report, we data-mine publications to rank...

Pyari Menon

GEM Weekly (4 Mar 2022): Russian Interest Rates, Chinese PMI; NIO, ByteDance, TSMC, Samsung

The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of...

Wium Malan, CFA

MediaTek (2454.TT): We Expect High-End 5G Smartphone Chipset Will Aim at 10-14% Shipment in 2022.

We expect MediaTek Dimensity 8000/8100 is targeting shipment of around 30-40mn sets in 2022, and Dimensity 9000 is targeting shipment of 5-10mn...

Patrick Liao

Will Samsung Follow Apple and Be Forced to Stop Selling Smartphones in Russia Due to FDPR Rule?

The US-led Foreign Direct Product Rule (FDPR) regulation may force a more stringent sanction that could force Samsung to stop selling smartphones...

Douglas Kim

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