Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>FnGuide Samsung Group has the most AUM among locally themed indexes. As of last Friday's closing price, AUM is ₩1.52T.</li>
<li>The share price movements of Samsung Group affiliates basically show high cointegration. Therefore, a small differential impact on the flow significantly affects the short-term price direction of these stocks. </li>
<li>So, we should consider a long/short setup on a swing trading window. Particularly, we need to focus on the first two trading days, when the rebalancing impact is relatively significant.</li>
</ul>


FnGuide Samsung Group has the most AUM among locally themed indexes. As of last Friday's closing price, AUM is ₩1.52T.
The share price movements of Samsung Group affiliates basically show high cointegration. Therefore, a small differential impact on the flow significantly affects the short-term price direction of these stocks. 
So, we should consider a long/short setup on a swing trading window. Particularly, we need to focus on the first two trading days, when the rebalancing impact is relatively significant.


FnGuide Samsung Group Index Rebalancing Preview

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

<ul>
<li>The review period for the KRX New Deal indices ended on 31 January. The changes will be announced toward the end of February and implemented on 10 March.</li>
<li>We expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)</a> to be included in the Battery and BBIG indices, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-pay-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29675:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Pay (377300 KS)</a> should be added to the Internet Index.</li>
<li>The largest selling is expected to be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douzone-bizon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20161:1" rel="noopener">Douzone Bizon (012510 KS)</a> due to a potential downweight in the Internet index and a deletion from the BBIG index.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the KRX New Deal indices ended on 31 January. The changes will be announced toward the end of February and implemented on 10 March.
We expect LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) to be included in the Battery and BBIG indices, while Kakao Pay (377300 KS) should be added to the Internet Index.
The largest selling is expected to be on Douzone Bizon (012510 KS) due to a potential downweight in the Internet index and a deletion from the BBIG index.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview (March): More Flow for LG Energy

<ul>
<li>For this March rebalancing, the screening base date is January 28, which is the last trading day of January. So, the 3-month rebalancing review period is now done.</li>
<li>Other than LG Energy (+₩146,2B), we should pay the most attention to AfreecaTV (+1.70x), Chunbo (+0.36x), Douzone Bizon (-4.82x), and SoulBrain (-0.99x).</li>
<li>In addition, large-cap stocks such as SKIET (+0.25x), Ecopro BM (+0.10x), LG Chem (-0.62x), and Posco Chemical (-0.30x) will likely draw much attention.</li>
</ul>


For this March rebalancing, the screening base date is January 28, which is the last trading day of January. So, the 3-month rebalancing review period is now done.
Other than LG Energy (+₩146,2B), we should pay the most attention to AfreecaTV (+1.70x), Chunbo (+0.36x), Douzone Bizon (-4.82x), and SoulBrain (-0.99x).
In addition, large-cap stocks such as SKIET (+0.25x), Ecopro BM (+0.10x), LG Chem (-0.62x), and Posco Chemical (-0.30x) will likely draw much attention.


KRX K-New Deal Index Screening Period Ended: Rebalancing Changes & Passive Impacts Update

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>We have a Negative view on this nearly 3 trillion won rights offering by Samsung Biologics.</li>
<li>The expected price of the rights offering is 599,000 won which is 18.9% below current share price and would represent about 7% shares dilution.</li>
<li>Despite the long-term positive prospects of consolidating results from Samsung Bioepsis, we believe the acquisition price was a bit too high at more than 100% higher than Biogen's valuation multiples.</li>
</ul>


We have a Negative view on this nearly 3 trillion won rights offering by Samsung Biologics.
The expected price of the rights offering is 599,000 won which is 18.9% below current share price and would represent about 7% shares dilution.
Despite the long-term positive prospects of consolidating results from Samsung Bioepsis, we believe the acquisition price was a bit too high at more than 100% higher than Biogen's valuation multiples.


Samsung Biologics: Rights Offering of 3 Trillion Won to Acquire Remaining Stake in Samsung Bioepsis

Equity Capital Markets

Samsung Biologics   / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Samsung Biologics announced that it would purchase all 10,341,852 shares of Samsung Bioepis owned by Biogen for ₩2.77T. For this, it also announced a ₩3T new share issuance.</li>
<li>The discount rate is 15%, tighter than the usual 20%. Despite that, this offering still deserves attention from an arb perspective as we may see more forfeited shares than expected.</li>
<li>Entry timing? I'll aim at the rights trading window. As a short hedge, I will look at C&amp;T, which is expected to have a higher price synch rate with Biologics.</li>
</ul>


Samsung Biologics announced that it would purchase all 10,341,852 shares of Samsung Bioepis owned by Biogen for ₩2.77T. For this, it also announced a ₩3T new share issuance.
The discount rate is 15%, tighter than the usual 20%. Despite that, this offering still deserves attention from an arb perspective as we may see more forfeited shares than expected.
Entry timing? I'll aim at the rights trading window. As a short hedge, I will look at C&amp;T, which is expected to have a higher price synch rate with Biologics.


Samsung Biologics Offering: Deal Summary & Trading Dynamics

South Korea

Samsung Biologics Co.,Ltd. manufactures bio-healthcare products. The Company develops, refines, and distributes biopharmaceutical products.

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Samsung Biologics (207940 KS)

FnGuide Samsung Group Index Rebalancing Preview

FnGuide Samsung Group Index has the largest AUM among the locally-themed indexes. This post previews the upcoming rebalancing in June.

Sanghyun Park

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview (March): More Flow for LG Energy

There are many changes to the KRX New Deal indices at the March rebal. The largest inflow is on LG Energy. The largest buying impact is on...

Brian Freitas

KRX K-New Deal Index Screening Period Ended: Rebalancing Changes & Passive Impacts Update

The KRX K-New Deal Index's screening period ended last Friday. This post updates the screening results and passive impacts.

Sanghyun Park

Samsung Biologics: Rights Offering of 3 Trillion Won to Acquire Remaining Stake in Samsung Bioepsis

Despite the long-term positive prospects of consolidating results from Samsung Bioepsis, we believe the acquisition price was a bit too high at...

Douglas Kim

Samsung Biologics Offering: Deal Summary & Trading Dynamics

Samsung Biologics announced that it would purchase all of Samsung Bioepis shares owned by Biogen. So, it also announced a ₩3T rights offering. This...

Sanghyun Park

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