Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.</li><li>The short holiday week saw another controversial name picked for NIH head, PSTX was acquired by RHHBY, AMGN underwhelmed with obesity data, and Medicare proposed to cover LLY and NVO obesity drugs.</li><li>In addition, SRPT filled its pipeline with ARWR assets, BHVN’s poor SMA results benefited SRRK, and MRK expanded its PAH drug benefit.</li></ul>

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.The short holiday week saw another controversial name picked for NIH head, PSTX was acquired by RHHBY, AMGN underwhelmed with obesity data, and Medicare proposed to cover LLY and NVO obesity drugs.In addition, SRPT filled its pipeline with ARWR assets, BHVN’s poor SMA results benefited SRRK, and MRK expanded its PAH drug benefit.

Biopharma Week in Review - December 2, 2024

<ul><li>We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.</li><li>Last week, the CDC and CMS picks aligned with President- elect Donald Trump’s agenda, while the FDA choice felt like a compromise.</li><li>NTLA had competitive biomarker data in ATTR-CM but was still behind ALNY and BBIO (approved late Friday). </li></ul>

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.Last week, the CDC and CMS picks aligned with President- elect Donald Trump’s agenda, while the FDA choice felt like a compromise.NTLA had competitive biomarker data in ATTR-CM but was still behind ALNY and BBIO (approved late Friday). 

Biopharma Week in Review - November 25, 2024

<ul><li>We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.</li><li>Last week, SRRK gained from muscle-building data in SMA, with positive read-through for obesity and BHVN.</li><li>WW joined HIMS in selling NVO GLP-1 copies, while the FDA backed off on LLY copiers after a lawsuit.</li></ul>

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.Last week, SRRK gained from muscle-building data in SMA, with positive read-through for obesity and BHVN.WW joined HIMS in selling NVO GLP-1 copies, while the FDA backed off on LLY copiers after a lawsuit.

Biopharma Week in Review - October 14, 2024

<ul><li>Last week, IONS matched Ultragenyx’s Angelman benefit, with maybe better safety.</li><li>PFE and SGMO had approvable gene therapy results in hemophilia A, but durability remains a question.</li><li>BIIB had a bad week, as SAGE-partnered essential tumor trial failed and ESAIY-partnered lecanemab in Alzheimer’s hit an EU regulatory wall. </li></ul>

Last week, IONS matched Ultragenyx’s Angelman benefit, with maybe better safety.PFE and SGMO had approvable gene therapy results in hemophilia A, but durability remains a question.BIIB had a bad week, as SAGE-partnered essential tumor trial failed and ESAIY-partnered lecanemab in Alzheimer’s hit an EU regulatory wall. 

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In last week's Compass (Sept. 27) we discussed our belief that market indexes could see a bounce or pause in selling, citing numerous oversold indexes/Sectors that were testing critical supports.</li>
<li>Supports included 3636 on the S&amp;P 500, $269 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and $162 on the Russell 2000 (IWM).</li>
<li>Supports held, and early indications suggest a bear market rally is brewing (at minimum), helped by short-term bearish engulfing patterns on the DXY and 10-year Treasury yield last Wednesday.</li>
</ul>


In last week's Compass (Sept. 27) we discussed our belief that market indexes could see a bounce or pause in selling, citing numerous oversold indexes/Sectors that were testing critical supports.
Supports included 3636 on the S&amp;P 500, $269 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and $162 on the Russell 2000 (IWM).
Supports held, and early indications suggest a bear market rally is brewing (at minimum), helped by short-term bearish engulfing patterns on the DXY and 10-year Treasury yield last Wednesday.


Another Bear Market Rally Brewing?; Stick With Biotech and Construction/Engineering Names

United States

Sage Therapeutics, Inc. develops treatments for central nervous system disorders. The Company provides treatments for schizophrenia, major depressive disorder, pain, and traumatic brain injury conditions. Sage Therapeutics operates in the United States.

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Sage Therapeutics (SAGE US)

Biopharma Week in Review - December 2, 2024

The short holiday week saw another controversial name picked for NIH head, PSTX was acquired by RHHBY, AMGN underwhelmed with obesity data

Water Tower Research

Biopharma Week in Review - November 25, 2024

Last week, the CDC and CMS picks aligned with President- elect Donald Trump’s agenda, while the FDA choice felt like a compromise.

Water Tower Research

Biopharma Week in Review - October 14, 2024

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&A. Last week, SRRK gained from...

Water Tower Research

Biopharma Week in Review - Jul 29, 2024

Last week, IONS matched Ultragenyx’s Angelman benefit, with maybe better safety. PFE and SGMO had approvable gene therapy results in hemophilia A,...

Water Tower Research

Another Bear Market Rally Brewing?; Stick With Biotech and Construction/Engineering Names

Early indications suggest another bear market rally in $SPX, and potentially that the lows are in, helped by short-term bearish engulfing patterns...

Vermilion Research

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