Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices has announced the list of changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> as part of the December index review that will be effective after the close of trading on 18 December.There are 2 inclusion and 3 exclusions in the review. It seems like the index committee has not followed the index methodology that specifies that stocks with a rank of 179 or better will be added to the index, and stocks with a rank of 221 or lower will be deleted from the index.The inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kogan-com-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23575:1" rel="noopener">Kogan.com (KGN AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reece-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3186:1" rel="noopener">Reece Ltd (REH AU)</a> while the exclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avita-medical-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14257:1" rel="noopener">Avita Medical (AVH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cooper-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14286:1" rel="noopener">Cooper Energy (COE AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/western-areas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15497:1" rel="noopener">Western Areas (WSA AU)</a>.There are more deletes than adds since the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> has 201 constituents at the moment following <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/deterra-royalties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30851:1" rel="noopener">Deterra Royalties Ltd (DRR AU)</a>'s spin-off from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/iluka-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10105:1" rel="noopener">Iluka Resources (ILU AU)</a>.

S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices has announced the list of changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) as part of the December index review that will be effective after the close of trading on 18 December.There are 2 inclusion and 3 exclusions in the review. It seems like the index committee has not followed the index methodology that specifies that stocks with a rank of 179 or better will be added to the index, and stocks with a rank of 221 or lower will be deleted from the index.The inclusions are Kogan.com (KGN AU) and Reece Ltd (REH AU) while the exclusions are Avita Medical (AVH AU), Cooper Energy (COE AU) and Western Areas (WSA AU).There are more deletes than adds since the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) has 201 constituents at the moment following Deterra Royalties Ltd (DRR AU)'s spin-off from Iluka Resources (ILU AU).

S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices will announce changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> as part of the December index review on 11 December and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 18 December.
Today is the data cutoff to determine the list of inclusions and exclusions.
We see 5 potential inclusions in the December review: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reece-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3186:1" rel="noopener">Reece Ltd (REH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kogan-com-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23575:1" rel="noopener">Kogan.com (KGN AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tyro-payments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28393:1" rel="noopener">Tyro Payments (TYR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/codan-ltd-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6189:1" rel="noopener">Codan Ltd (CDA AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/de-grey-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6192:1" rel="noopener">De Grey Mining (DEG AU)</a>.
We see 6 potential inclusions in the December review: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cooper-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14286:1" rel="noopener">Cooper Energy (COE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/western-areas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15497:1" rel="noopener">Western Areas (WSA AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/service-stream-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18493:1" rel="noopener">Service Stream (SSM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gwa-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:663:1" rel="noopener">Gwa Group Ltd (GWA AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avita-medical-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14257:1" rel="noopener">Avita Medical (AVH AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unibail-rodamco-westfield" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27181:1" rel="noopener">Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield (URW AU)</a>. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tassal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16234:1" rel="noopener">Tassal (TGR AU)</a> is ranked very close to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unibail-rodamco-westfield" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27181:1" rel="noopener">Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield (URW AU)</a> and could be an alternate delete name.
There are more deletes than adds since the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> has 201 constituents at the moment following <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/deterra-royalties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30851:1" rel="noopener">Deterra Royalties Ltd (DRR AU)</a>'s spin-off from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/iluka-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10105:1" rel="noopener">Iluka Resources (ILU AU)</a>.
The expected inclusions have underperformed the expected exclusions significantly over the last few weeks on the momentum unwind and switch to value stocks. There are a few expected adds and deletes with over 2 days of ADV to trade and they could outperform from here to implementation date.

S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices will announce changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) as part of the December index review on 11 December and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 18 December.
Today is the data cutoff to determine the list of inclusions and exclusions.
We see 5 potential inclusions in the December review: Reece Ltd (REH AU), Kogan.com (KGN AU), Tyro Payments (TYR AU), Codan Ltd (CDA AU) and De Grey Mining (DEG AU).
We see 6 potential inclusions in the December review: Cooper Energy (COE AU), Western Areas (WSA AU), Service Stream (SSM AU), Gwa Group Ltd (GWA AU), Avita Medical (AVH AU) and Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield (URW AU). Tassal (TGR AU) is ranked very close to Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield (URW AU) and could be an alternate delete name.
There are more deletes than adds since the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) has 201 constituents at the moment following Deterra Royalties Ltd (DRR AU)'s spin-off from Iluka Resources (ILU AU).
The expected inclusions have underperformed the expected exclusions significantly over the last few weeks on the momentum unwind and switch to value stocks. There are a few expected adds and deletes with over 2 days of ADV to trade and they could outperform from here to implementation date.

ASX200 Index Rebalance Preview: Expected Inclusions Underperforming as Momentum Unwinds

S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices will announce changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> as part of the December index review on 11 December and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 18 December.The data cutoff for the December review is 27 November.Using current market data, we expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tyro-payments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28393:1" rel="noopener">Tyro Payments (TYR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kogan-com-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23575:1" rel="noopener">Kogan.com (KGN AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/codan-ltd-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6189:1" rel="noopener">Codan Ltd (CDA AU)</a> to be included in the index, and see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cooper-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14286:1" rel="noopener">Cooper Energy (COE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/western-areas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15497:1" rel="noopener">Western Areas (WSA AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/service-stream-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18493:1" rel="noopener">Service Stream (SSM AU)</a> as deletion candidates.Sitting very close to the buffer zone, we see a possibility of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/de-grey-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6192:1" rel="noopener">De Grey Mining (DEG AU)</a> being included in the index, in which case <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gwa-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:663:1" rel="noopener">Gwa Group Ltd (GWA AU)</a> could be deleted.

S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices will announce changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) as part of the December index review on 11 December and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 18 December.The data cutoff for the December review is 27 November.Using current market data, we expect Tyro Payments (TYR AU), Kogan.com (KGN AU) and Codan Ltd (CDA AU) to be included in the index, and see Cooper Energy (COE AU), Western Areas (WSA AU) and Service Stream (SSM AU) as deletion candidates.Sitting very close to the buffer zone, we see a possibility of De Grey Mining (DEG AU) being included in the index, in which case Gwa Group Ltd (GWA AU) could be deleted.

ASX200 Index Rebalance Preview: Changes Down Under in December

S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices have <a href="https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/documents/indexnews/announcements/20200903-1214159/1214159_2020.09.04-quarta-200.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> as part of the September index review. The changes are effective after the close of trading on 18 September.There are 5 inclusions and 5 exclusions as part of the review.The inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/auckland-intl-airport-ltd-8c26dbc6-035c-46ae-84c3-6401a1d454e4" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24928:1" rel="noopener">Auckland Intl Airport (AIA AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aub-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11179:1" rel="noopener">Austbrokers Holdings (AUB AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ramelius-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5968:1" rel="noopener">Ramelius Resources (RMS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/westgold-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24269:1" rel="noopener">Westgold Resources (WGX AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zip-co-ltd-3708706d-4978-4e29-acbc-d9702b971da9" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29126:1" rel="noopener">Zip Co Ltd (Z1P AU)</a> and the exclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mcmillan-shakespeare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3023:1" rel="noopener">Mcmillan Shakespeare (MMS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-hope-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4414:1" rel="noopener">New Hope Corp (NHC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ooh-media-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8662:1" rel="noopener">oOh!Media Ltd (OML AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orocobre-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3572:1" rel="noopener">Orocobre Ltd (ORE AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/southern-cross-media-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10374:1" rel="noopener">Southern Cross Media (SXL AU)</a>.Most of the names were expected to be included/excluded from the index. For us, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/auckland-intl-airport-ltd-8c26dbc6-035c-46ae-84c3-6401a1d454e4" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24928:1" rel="noopener">Auckland Intl Airport (AIA AU)</a> was a surprise among the inclusions and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mcmillan-shakespeare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3023:1" rel="noopener">Mcmillan Shakespeare (MMS AU)</a> was a surprise among the deletions.Quite a few stocks have more than 2 days of passive buying/selling. The one stock that does not is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zip-co-ltd-3708706d-4978-4e29-acbc-d9702b971da9" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29126:1" rel="noopener">Zip Co Ltd (Z1P AU)</a> where volumes have been elevated over the past week following Paypal's entry into the Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) market that has sent Z1P's stock around 26% lower.Short interest is elevated on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-hope-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4414:1" rel="noopener">New Hope Corp (NHC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orocobre-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3572:1" rel="noopener">Orocobre Ltd (ORE AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/southern-cross-media-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10374:1" rel="noopener">Southern Cross Media (SXL AU)</a> at more than 8 days to cover. Some of these stocks may rise before implementation day as borrows are recalled by passive funds/ index arb desks.

S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices have announced changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) as part of the September index review. The changes are effective after the close of trading on 18 September.There are 5 inclusions and 5 exclusions as part of the review.The inclusions are Auckland Intl Airport (AIA AU), Austbrokers Holdings (AUB AU), Ramelius Resources (RMS AU), Westgold Resources (WGX AU) and Zip Co Ltd (Z1P AU) and the exclusions are Mcmillan Shakespeare (MMS AU), New Hope Corp (NHC AU), oOh!Media Ltd (OML AU), Orocobre Ltd (ORE AU) and Southern Cross Media (SXL AU).Most of the names were expected to be included/excluded from the index. For us, Auckland Intl Airport (AIA AU) was a surprise among the inclusions and Mcmillan Shakespeare (MMS AU) was a surprise among the deletions.Quite a few stocks have more than 2 days of passive buying/selling. The one stock that does not is Zip Co Ltd (Z1P AU) where volumes have been elevated over the past week following Paypal's entry into the Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) market that has sent Z1P's stock around 26% lower.Short interest is elevated on New Hope Corp (NHC AU), Orocobre Ltd (ORE AU) and Southern Cross Media (SXL AU) at more than 8 days to cover. Some of these stocks may rise before implementation day as borrows are recalled by passive funds/ index arb desks.

ASX200 Index Rebalance: More Changes Than Expected

S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices will announce changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> as part of the September index review on 4 September. The changes are effective at the close of trading on 18 September and passive funds will need to complete their rebalancing activity at or by the close on that day.The data cutoff for the September review is 21 August.We see a high probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ramelius-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5968:1" rel="noopener">Ramelius Resources (RMS AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zip-co-ltd-3708706d-4978-4e29-acbc-d9702b971da9" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29126:1" rel="noopener">Zip Co Ltd (Z1P AU)</a> being included in the index and of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/southern-cross-media-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10374:1" rel="noopener">Southern Cross Media (SXL AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ooh-media-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8662:1" rel="noopener">oOh!Media Ltd (OML AU)</a> being excluded from the index.Sitting right at the edge of the buffer zone, there is a lower probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aub-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11179:1" rel="noopener">Austbrokers Holdings (AUB AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/westgold-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24269:1" rel="noopener">Westgold Resources (WGX AU)</a> being included and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orocobre-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3572:1" rel="noopener">Orocobre Ltd (ORE AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/western-areas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15497:1" rel="noopener">Western Areas (WSA AU)</a> being excluded.

S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices will announce changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) as part of the September index review on 4 September. The changes are effective at the close of trading on 18 September and passive funds will need to complete their rebalancing activity at or by the close on that day.The data cutoff for the September review is 21 August.We see a high probability of Ramelius Resources (RMS AU) and Zip Co Ltd (Z1P AU) being included in the index and of Southern Cross Media (SXL AU) and oOh!Media Ltd (OML AU) being excluded from the index.Sitting right at the edge of the buffer zone, there is a lower probability of Austbrokers Holdings (AUB AU) and Westgold Resources (WGX AU) being included and Orocobre Ltd (ORE AU) and Western Areas (WSA AU) being excluded.

ASX200 Index Rebalance Preview - Couple of High Probability Changes; Couple on the Cusp

Australia

The S&P/ASX 200 measures the performance of the 200 largest index-eligible stocks listed on the ASX by float-adjusted market capitalization. Representative liquid and tradable, it is widely considered Australia's preeminent benchmark index. The index is float-adjusted. The index was launched in April 2000.

S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)

ASX200 Index Rebalance: Strange As

There are 2 adds and 3 deletes. This is 'strange as' since there were 5 adds and 6 deletes expected from following the index methodology. Reece and...

Brian Freitas

ASX200 Index Rebalance Preview: Expected Inclusions Underperforming as Momentum Unwinds

There could be 5 additions and 6 deletions at the upcoming ASX200 rebalance. Changes will be announced on 11 Dec and implemented at the close on 18...

Brian Freitas

ASX200 Index Rebalance Preview: Changes Down Under in December

S&P Dow Jones Indices will announce changes to the S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) as part of the December index review on 11 December and the...

Brian Freitas

ASX200 Index Rebalance: More Changes Than Expected

SP Dow Jones Indices have announced changes to the SP/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) as part of the September index review.

Brian Freitas

ASX200 Index Rebalance Preview - Couple of High Probability Changes; Couple on the Cusp

S&P Dow Jones Indices will announce changes to the S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) as part of the September index review on 4 September. The...

Brian Freitas