Senior Equity Derivatives Trader

Simon Harris

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets</li>
<li>Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days</li>
<li>We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces</li>
</ul>


Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets
Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days
We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces


EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades-Where Is the Stimulus

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ventia-services-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34917:1" rel="noopener">Ventia (VNT AU)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackmores-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:928:1" rel="noopener">Blackmores Ltd (BKL AU)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> at the close on 21 July.</li>
<li>The ad hoc change will lead to changes in the list of potential adds and deletes at the regular scheduled rebalance in September.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weebit-nano-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11701:1" rel="noopener">Weebit Nano Ltd (WBT AU)</a> is now a potential add in September and could see some pre-positioning in the near future.</li>
</ul>



Ventia (VNT AU) will replace Blackmores Ltd (BKL AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the close on 21 July.
The ad hoc change will lead to changes in the list of potential adds and deletes at the regular scheduled rebalance in September.

Weebit Nano Ltd (WBT AU) is now a potential add in September and could see some pre-positioning in the near future.


S&P/ASX200 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance & Update to Potential Changes in September

<ul>
<li>Busy week in India with the adhoc changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank</a> due to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank</a> merger.</li>
<li>The IDX could announce the changes to the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices in the coming week, though there is no firm schedule for announcements.</li>
<li>Yet another week of inflows to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a> ETF and outflows from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Busy week in India with the adhoc changes to the NIFTY, NSE Nifty Next 50, S&amp;P BSE SENSEX and Nifty Bank due to the HDFC Limited and HDFC Bank merger.
The IDX could announce the changes to the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices in the coming week, though there is no firm schedule for announcements.
Yet another week of inflows to the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK) ETF and outflows from the Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, Chinext, URA, Korea Stocks, NKY

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades-Summer Lull

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costa-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22632:1" rel="noopener">Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU)</a> listed in 2015 when Paine &amp; Partners sold 40% of its stake in the company.</li>
<li>Paine Schwartz Partners bought a 13.84% stake last year, increased it in March, and has now made an offer to buy out the remaining shares at A$3.5/share in cash.</li>
<li>Short interest was over nearly 11 days of ADV to cover and short covering could take the stock higher sooner. This is a buy here.</li>
</ul>



Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU) listed in 2015 when Paine &amp; Partners sold 40% of its stake in the company.
Paine Schwartz Partners bought a 13.84% stake last year, increased it in March, and has now made an offer to buy out the remaining shares at A$3.5/share in cash.
Short interest was over nearly 11 days of ADV to cover and short covering could take the stock higher sooner. This is a buy here.


Costa Group (CGC AU): Paine Schwartz Wants It Back

Australia

The S&P/ASX 200 measures the performance of the 200 largest index-eligible stocks listed on the ASX by float-adjusted market capitalization. Representative liquid and tradable, it is widely considered Australia's preeminent benchmark index. The index is float-adjusted. The index was launched in April 2000.

S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades-Where Is the Stimulus

A weekly look at spot, vol and skew changes across 8 global Indices. We analyse the changes and try to identify the best trades based on the vol...

Simon Harris

S&P/ASX200 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance & Update to Potential Changes in September

Ventia replaces Blackmores in the ASX200 at the close on 21 July. That also leads to changes to potential adds/deletes in September. WBT and DTL...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, Chinext, URA, Korea Stocks, NKY

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades-Summer Lull

A weekly look at spot, vol and skew changes across 8 global Indices. We analyse the changes and try to identify the best trades based on the vol...

Simon Harris

Costa Group (CGC AU): Paine Schwartz Wants It Back

PSP has made an offer to acquire Costa Group at A$3.5/share in cash. That is a pretty big premium to medium term VWAPs. Short interest is 11x ADV...

Brian Freitas