Recession Nugget: 4 Charts for the Equity Bears, 1 Chart for the Bulls!
Takeaways: Yield curve looks prone to make equities pukeReal economic data looks weak as well Jobs still strong lending support Let’s start by...
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Macro Regime Model: Inflation down while growth is on the up?
Every month, we present our best evaluation of the present and approaching month’s macroeconomic conditions, balancing risks and rewards. We put...
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Real Rates Above 2%? Buy Bonds and Sell Equities
Using a small data sample, as elevated real yields have become increasingly scarce, US 10-year real yields of 2% or more favor Treasuries over...
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5 Things We Watch – Manufacturing, Natural Gas, JOLTS, BoJ & China
Happy Wednesday, and welcome back to our 5 Things We Watch, where we as always run through 5 interesting topics in global macro relevant for the...
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The Weekly Market Monitor – Immaculate Disinflation, Spiking Yields, and the Waiting Continues
Inflation is collapsing and even turned negative in the Netherlands. Yet, bond yields continue to spike, providing ample downside risk for equities.
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