Senior Equity Derivatives Trader

Simon Harris

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>European markets have begun to outperform their US peers over last few months</li>
<li>The differences in market sentiment have driven both the implied and realised vol spread wider </li>
<li>Trade a relative vol spread that should hold up in multiple market scenarios</li>
</ul>


European markets have begun to outperform their US peers over last few months
The differences in market sentiment have driven both the implied and realised vol spread wider 
Trade a relative vol spread that should hold up in multiple market scenarios


EQD | SPX Vs SX5E: Trade a Relative Value Vol Spread

Technical Analysis / Chartered Market Technician, The Markets Academy

David Coloretti, CMT

Technical Analysis / Chartered Market Technician

The Markets Academy

TMA implements 2 strategies. 1) Tactical ... Trend Sustainability Score (TSS) allows TMA to identify exhaustion / reversal points in interim trends by utilising our proprietary analysis of ST momentum indicators. 2) Medium Term ... our 3 Pillars approach to technical analysis allows TMA to determine high probability medium term outcomes in markets.

Technical Analysis

Microstrategy Inc Cl A / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>TSS or "Trend Sustainability Score" is our proprietary momentum based tactical methodology. TSS has a proven record of identifying the exhaustion points in interim trends. </li>
<li>On 17 February 2023 TSS identified exhaustion in the MSTR US uptrend and targeted a minimum 10% reversal in 1-2 weeks.</li>
<li>On 24 February 2023 MSTR US completed a 12.4% reversal from 284.03 to 248.87.</li>
</ul>


TSS or "Trend Sustainability Score" is our proprietary momentum based tactical methodology. TSS has a proven record of identifying the exhaustion points in interim trends. 
On 17 February 2023 TSS identified exhaustion in the MSTR US uptrend and targeted a minimum 10% reversal in 1-2 weeks.
On 24 February 2023 MSTR US completed a 12.4% reversal from 284.03 to 248.87.


MicroStrategy Inc (MSTR US): 12.4% Profit Target Achieved in 5 Days

<ul>
<li>Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets</li>
<li>Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days</li>
<li>We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces</li>
</ul>


Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets
Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days
We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces


EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

<ul>
<li>SPX 3,980 is where a mild bounce should unfold. 4,060 sell resistance then the set-up calls for a break below 3,980 to test lower targets.</li>
<li>This next leg down will cause more damage in EM/Asia and Europe. MACD on the verge of an ugly break below the "0" acceleration line.</li>
<li>US 10yr yield dip is a buy for a push above the 3.95% pivot resistance with new highs in store.</li>
</ul>


SPX 3,980 is where a mild bounce should unfold. 4,060 sell resistance then the set-up calls for a break below 3,980 to test lower targets.
This next leg down will cause more damage in EM/Asia and Europe. MACD on the verge of an ugly break below the "0" acceleration line.
US 10yr yield dip is a buy for a push above the 3.95% pivot resistance with new highs in store.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

<ul>
<li>Since January, our expectation for 2023 has been for 4165 (and 4165-4200) to cap upside on the S&amp;P 500.</li>
<li>We've been preaching caution with the indexes testing resistance, and we are now getting confirmation that suggests a pullback has officially begun</li>
<li>SPX, QQQ, and IWM all demonstrating false breakouts, alongside bullish inflections in Treasury yields, high yield spreads, and the U.S. dollar. Defensives also display bullish RS reversals</li>
</ul>


Since January, our expectation for 2023 has been for 4165 (and 4165-4200) to cap upside on the S&amp;P 500.
We've been preaching caution with the indexes testing resistance, and we are now getting confirmation that suggests a pullback has officially begun
SPX, QQQ, and IWM all demonstrating false breakouts, alongside bullish inflections in Treasury yields, high yield spreads, and the U.S. dollar. Defensives also display bullish RS reversals


Pullback Begins; How Low Can Indexes Go?; High Yield Spreads & DXY Following Treasury Yields Higher

United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

EQD | SPX Vs SX5E: Trade a Relative Value Vol Spread

European markets have been outperforming their US peers and these spot differences have helped to create a wider than usual vol differential. We...

Simon Harris

MicroStrategy Inc (MSTR US): 12.4% Profit Target Achieved in 5 Days

30+ years as a technical analyst and a razor sharp focus on momentum confirmation delivered TMA a 75% unleveraged return on our 7 Smartkarma...

David Coloretti, CMT

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades

A weekly look at spot, vol and skew changes across 8 global Indices. We analyse the changes and try to identify the best trades based on the vol...

Simon Harris

SPX Range Ahead of Next Leg Down

SPX 3,980 is where a mild bounce should unfold. 4,060 sell resistance then the set-up calls for a break below 3,980 to test lower targets. MACD on...

Thomas Schroeder

Pullback Begins; How Low Can Indexes Go?; High Yield Spreads & DXY Following Treasury Yields Higher

Since January, our expectation for 2023 has been for 4165 (and 4165-4200) to cap upside on the $SPX. We have been preaching caution, and we are...

Vermilion Research