Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

The Federal Reserve can be expected to stay on course to normalize interest rate policy through the year as the unemployment rate continues to decline, hourly earnings remain on an upward trend and other economic indicators such as retail sales, house prices and consumer sentiment continue to improve on a trend basis.We expect the pace of rate increases to be very gradual, and see the Federal Funds rate around 1.0% by the end of 2016. The pace of increase will depend on the strength of the US…

The Federal Reserve can be expected to stay on course to normalize interest rate policy through the year as the unemployment rate continues to decline, hourly earnings remain on an upward trend and other economic indicators such as retail sales, house prices and consumer sentiment continue to improve on a trend basis.We expect the pace of rate increases to be very gradual, and see the Federal Funds rate around 1.0% by the end of 2016. The pace of increase will depend on the strength of the US…

US: Federal Reserve to Stay on Course to Normalize Rates

Founder, Riedel Research

David Riedel

Founder

Independent equity research on GEM Markets

Riedel Research

Riedel provides equity research and analysis to leading financial organizations. By becoming members of a region (Asia, Latin America, Emerging Europe or Global), organizations have access to an integrated set of services including:

Regular company coverage reports
Up-to-date investment decision advice (buy, hold, sell)
Monthly regional and global conference calls
Customized company reports and unlimited on-line access to the program's services.

Riedel provides research coverage of companies across the full range of market capitalization. Experienced research professionals in each market develop company reports and analysis as well as earnings models and projections. Ratings are Buy, Hold and Sell with a focus on compelling investment ideas - both long and short. Downloadable, dynamic earnings models are built to facilitate sensitivity analysis.

Please feel free to contact us for complimentary access to our written research.  We want to show you that our unique research flow can add value and help develop a long-term, high value-add relationship.

Riedel's model focuses on providing clients with unique insights and consulting in addition to unlimited access to all produced research This model allows members to receive exponential benefits for their retainer fees.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Recently global equity markets have come under stress due to the high degree of uncertainty stemming from US Fed’s recent FOMC meeting, political risk in the US around Trump’s candidacy and the upcoming vote for a Brexit set to take place on June 23rd.  Inaction among four major central banks this week has highlighted the fact that major policy makers are very uncertain about the impact that a potential Brexit may have on the global economy. While the risk of Brexit seems to have faded today the markets may not have fully appreciated the risk to the global economy of a Brexit.The UK economy and consumer sentiment is tightly tied to a number of other European countries which have high consumer sentiment that has been buoying overall consumer sentiment.  Any risk to this group of exuberant countries puts global consumer sentiment at real risk of a sharp drop.

 Recently global equity markets have come under stress due to the high degree of uncertainty stemming from US Fed’s recent FOMC meeting, political risk in the US around Trump’s candidacy and the upcoming vote for a Brexit set to take place on June 23rd.  Inaction among four major central banks this week has highlighted the fact that major policy makers are very uncertain about the impact that a potential Brexit may have on the global economy. While the risk of Brexit seems to have faded today the markets may not have fully appreciated the risk to the global economy of a Brexit.The UK economy and consumer sentiment is tightly tied to a number of other European countries which have high consumer sentiment that has been buoying overall consumer sentiment.  Any risk to this group of exuberant countries puts global consumer sentiment at real risk of a sharp drop.

Global Economy Dodges a Bullet - Brexit Could Cause Global Recession

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

<ul><li class="p1">The idea of e-commerce as a disruptive force is not new, with consumers becoming increasingly comfortable making everyday purchases online or through mobile devices across many developed economies.</li><li class="p1">However, as we take a step back and examine the various states of digital commerce across different geographies, we find a number of constants in not only how winners in the digital commerce space rise to the top in each region, but also how these players develop lasting network effects that serve as the foundation of the wide economic moats we assign to many of the leading players in this industry across the globe.</li></ul>Analysts: R.J. Hottovy, Suruchi Jain, Daniel Mueller

The idea of e-commerce as a disruptive force is not new, with consumers becoming increasingly comfortable making everyday purchases online or through mobile devices across many developed economies.However, as we take a step back and examine the various states of digital commerce across different geographies, we find a number of constants in not only how winners in the digital commerce space rise to the top in each region, but also how these players develop lasting network effects that serve as the foundation of the wide economic moats we assign to many of the leading players in this industry across the globe.Analysts: R.J. Hottovy, Suruchi Jain, Daniel Mueller

The Global E-Commerce Handbook: Themes Investors Need to Know as Consumer Shopping Tendencies Evolve

Information Technology Consultant

Ishita Jain

Mark Twain once said 'Too much of anything is bad, but too much of good whisky is barely enough'. The 'water of life', as it's colloquially called, is enjoyed the world over in equal measure. Whether you like it smoky, smooth or peaty, whisky has always made good company. And now, over the last few years it's caught the imagination of the general public not only on the taste buds but also in portfolios. New and innovative ways to invest have cropped up in what used to be a drink reserved for the rich and the elite. The article gives an overview of the whisky market and some ways to invest in it. For those unaware of the difference between whisky and whiskey, you can read more <a href="http://www.whiskyforeveryone.com/whisky_basics/whisky_or_whiskey.html" target="_blank">here</a>.

Mark Twain once said 'Too much of anything is bad, but too much of good whisky is barely enough'. The 'water of life', as it's colloquially called, is enjoyed the world over in equal measure. Whether you like it smoky, smooth or peaty, whisky has always made good company. And now, over the last few years it's caught the imagination of the general public not only on the taste buds but also in portfolios. New and innovative ways to invest have cropped up in what used to be a drink reserved for the rich and the elite. The article gives an overview of the whisky market and some ways to invest in it. For those unaware of the difference between whisky and whiskey, you can read more here.

Global Macro Strategy

Callum Henderson

* Concerns over China, the US and oil have driven this year's market slump, not the Fed* Yellen's Fed is likely to enact the most 'measured' tightening cycle in the history of the Federal Reserve* The offset to extremely measured Fed rate hikes will be the gradual end and reversal of the dollar rally* USD weakness on the back of growth competition will be a positive for high-beta assets, including EM* The focus within EM will be on alpha rather than beta and more specifically on relative value* Overweight ASEAN currencies vs. Underweight NEA currencies (ex-JPY) continues to generate alpha

* Concerns over China, the US and oil have driven this year's market slump, not the Fed* Yellen's Fed is likely to enact the most 'measured' tightening cycle in the history of the Federal Reserve* The offset to extremely measured Fed rate hikes will be the gradual end and reversal of the dollar rally* USD weakness on the back of growth competition will be a positive for high-beta assets, including EM* The focus within EM will be on alpha rather than beta and more specifically on relative value* Overweight ASEAN currencies vs. Underweight NEA currencies (ex-JPY) continues to generate alpha

Asia Calling: Measure for Measure - Why Fed Tightening Is Great News for High-Beta Assets

United States

Wynn Resorts, Limited owns and operates luxury hotels and destination casino resorts in Las Vegas, Nevada, Macau, and China. The Company offers amenities such as guest rooms and suites, restaurants, golf course, and an on-site luxury automotive dealership.

Las Vegas Sands Corp. owns and operates casino resorts and convention centers. The Company operates in the United States, Macau and Singapore. Las Vegas Sand Corp's casinos offer a wide range of gaming activities and entertainment as well as overnight accommodations, while its expo centers host a wide range of entertainment shows, expositions, and other activities.

Yum! Brands, Inc, owns and franchises quick-service restaurants worldwide.  The Company develops, operates, franchises and licenses a worldwide system of restaurants which prepare, package and sell a menu of food items.

Hyatt Hotels Corp. is a global hospitality company. The Company manages, franchises, owns, and develops branded hotels, resorts and residential and vacation ownership properties around the world.

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. owns and operates quick serve Mexican restaurants. The Company manages restaurants throughout the United States.

Marriott International Inc. is a worldwide operator and franchisor of hotels. The Company franchises lodging facilities and vacation timesharing resorts under various brand names. Marriott also provides services to home and condominium owner associations for projects associated with several of its brands.

Wingstop Inc. owns and operates restaurants. The Company specializes in cooked-to-order, hand-sauced, and tossed chicken wings. Wingstop serves customers worldwide.

Domino's Pizza, Inc. operates a network of Company-owned and franchise Domino's Pizza stores, located throughout the United States and in other countries.  The Company also operates regional dough manufacturing and distribution centers in the contiguous United States and outside the United States.

Carnival Corporation owns and operates cruise ships offering cruises to all major vacation destinations including North America, the United Kingdom, Germany, Southern  Europe, South America and Asia/Pacific. The Company, through a subsidiary also owns and operates hotels and lodges.  Dually-listed company with CCL LN.

Scientific Games Corporation provides services, systems, and products to both the pari-mutuel gaming and instant ticket lottery industries.  The Company operates an instant ticket and online lottery products, systems, and services business.  Scientific also operates wagering and communications, venue management, and telecommunications products businesses.

Sands China Ltd. develops, owns, and operates integrated resorts, retail malls, and casinos. The Company also manages convention and exhibition halls in Macau.

Galaxy Entertainment Group Limited, through its subsidiary, operates casino, hotel and other entertainment facilities in Macau. The company also manufactures sells and distributes construction materials.

Indian Hotels Company Limited operates The Taj Group of hotels.  The Company owns or maintains long term leases/licenses for hotels in India, in addition to International hotels.  The Group's hotels are divided into three groups: Luxury, Business, and, Leisure.

Aristocrat Leisure Limited manufactures and sells gaming machines in Australia and internationally.  The Company also supplies gaming systems, software, table gaming equipment and other gaming related products and services to casinos, clubs and hotels.

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited engages in sales of duty free goods and tax goods. The Company sells tobacco, wine and spirits, perfume, cosmetics, fashion and accessories, watches, jewelry, food, luggage products,and other products. China Tourism Group Duty Free also engages in investment and development of tourism destination commercial complexes.

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH)

ORIENTAL LAND CO., LTD. operates Tokyo Disney Resort.  The Company also operates restaurants within the complex and sells Disney merchandise.

Huazhu Group Limited operates a hotel operator and franchisor. The Company provides hotel leasing, directly hotel operation, and co-development services. Huazhu Group mainly conducts businesses in China.

Accor SA operates hotel chains and offers human resources, marketing, and expense management services.  The Company operates hotels ranging from budget to upscale worldwide.

Sodexo SA designs, manages and delivers comprehensive on-site service solutions for its clients.  The Company offers food, construction management, reception, technical maintenance and housekeeping services; maintains scanners and laboratory equipment; and operates river and harbor cruises and correctional facilities.  Sodexo also designs employee benefit and incentive programs.

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC owns and operates a portfolio of hotel businesses. The Company manages hotel loyalty and priority club rewards programs. InterContinental Hotels Group serves customers worldwide.

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. is a global cruise company operating a fleet of vessels in the cruise vacation industry. The Company operates through brands which primarily serve the contemporary, premium and deluxe segments of the cruise vacation industry, which also includes the budget and luxury segments.

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Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL US)

US: Federal Reserve to Stay on Course to Normalize Rates

The Federal Reserve can be expected to stay on course to normalize interest rate policy through the year as the unemployment rate continues to...

Rajan Govil

Global Economy Dodges a Bullet - Brexit Could Cause Global Recession

Recently global equity markets have come under stress due to the high degree of uncertainty stemming from US Fed’s recent FOMC meeting, political...

David Riedel

The Global E-Commerce Handbook: Themes Investors Need to Know as Consumer Shopping Tendencies Evolve

The idea of e-commerce as a disruptive force is not new, with consumers becoming increasingly comfortable making everyday purchases online or...

Morningstar, Inc.

Whisky - Rarer the Richer

Mark Twain once said 'Too much of anything is bad, but too much of good whisky is barely enough'. The 'water of life', as it's colloquially called,...

Ishita Jain

Asia Calling: Measure for Measure - Why Fed Tightening Is Great News for High-Beta Assets

* Concerns over China, the US and oil have driven this year's market slump, not the Fed* Yellen's Fed is likely to enact the most 'measured'...

Callum Henderson

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