US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, Ortex

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

Ortex

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>S&amp;P MidCap 400 additions by transition require market cap, float cap, sector balance, liquidity and earnings as parameters for inclusion.</li>
<li>The highest combined score from the parameters is given to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/carvana-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26471:1" rel="noopener">CVNA</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robinhood-markets-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33532:1" rel="noopener">HOOD</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lpl-financial-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16363:1" rel="noopener">LPLA</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/entegris-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12493:1" rel="noopener">ENTG</a> which makes them acceptable candidates for addition. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ensign-group-inc-the" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9297:1" rel="noopener">Ensign Group (ENSG US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mueller-industries-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18247:1" rel="noopener">Mueller Industries (MLI US)</a> have the highest probability of being added out of the migrations. Market cap of migration candidates is estimated to be insufficient.</li>
</ul>


S&amp;P MidCap 400 additions by transition require market cap, float cap, sector balance, liquidity and earnings as parameters for inclusion.
The highest combined score from the parameters is given to CVNA, HOOD, LPLA and ENTG which makes them acceptable candidates for addition. 

Ensign Group (ENSG US) and Mueller Industries (MLI US) have the highest probability of being added out of the migrations. Market cap of migration candidates is estimated to be insufficient.


S&P MidCap 400 September 2024 Forecasts: Highest Score to the HOOD, CVNA, LPLA, ENTG, ENSG and MLI

Fundamental Short Selling Research

Eric Fernandez, CFA

TwoRiversAnalytics

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>HOOD’s performance indicators are deteriorating.  Growth in funded accounts is not growing.  Monthly average users are declining, and ARPU is falling.  Margins remain negative and are declining.</li>
<li>The company’s main sources of revenue are from transactions in speculative instruments.  Options and crypto trading represent 80% of transaction revenue... in accounts that average $4,300 in size.</li>
<li>Small scale and lack of diversification leave it disadvantaged.   Further, it generates little fee income, such as asset management fees.  It is nearly entirely reliant on payment for order flow.</li>
</ul>


HOOD’s performance indicators are deteriorating.  Growth in funded accounts is not growing.  Monthly average users are declining, and ARPU is falling.  Margins remain negative and are declining.
The company’s main sources of revenue are from transactions in speculative instruments.  Options and crypto trading represent 80% of transaction revenue... in accounts that average $4,300 in size.
Small scale and lack of diversification leave it disadvantaged.   Further, it generates little fee income, such as asset management fees.  It is nearly entirely reliant on payment for order flow.


Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD):  Sell Short

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>On 28 February, WeBull announced a merger with SK Growth Opportunities SPAC on NASDAQ. The proposed transaction represented an implied pro forma enterprise value of about $7.3 billion. </li>
<li>WeBull had 4.3 million funded accounts and  $8.2bn in assets under custody at end of 2023. In comparison, Robinhood had 23.4mn funded accounts and $102.6bn in assets under custody. </li>
<li>Given the numerous material concerns about this deal, we would avoid it. There are no financials including income statement and balance sheet of WeBull in the prospectus. </li>
</ul>


On 28 February, WeBull announced a merger with SK Growth Opportunities SPAC on NASDAQ. The proposed transaction represented an implied pro forma enterprise value of about $7.3 billion. 
WeBull had 4.3 million funded accounts and  $8.2bn in assets under custody at end of 2023. In comparison, Robinhood had 23.4mn funded accounts and $102.6bn in assets under custody. 
Given the numerous material concerns about this deal, we would avoid it. There are no financials including income statement and balance sheet of WeBull in the prospectus. 


A Merger Between WeBull and SK Growth Opportunities Corp in NASDAQ

Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/carsome-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35913:1" rel="noopener">Carsome (CARSOME1 SP)</a>, Malaysia's used-car eCommerce/technology unicorn, has reportedly submitted a confidential IPO filing for a dual listing on Nasdaq and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-exchange-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1047:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Exchange</a>.</li>
<li>Carsome has a great ESG story to tell, but needs to be less humble about telling it because pre-IPO ESG messaging can impact IPO valuations, especially for transportation-related deals.</li>
<li>The centerpiece of Carsome's ESG story should be the important (but underappreciated) role of used car markets in decarbonising road transportation, a leading source of carbon emissions.</li>
</ul>



Carsome (CARSOME1 SP), Malaysia's used-car eCommerce/technology unicorn, has reportedly submitted a confidential IPO filing for a dual listing on Nasdaq and Singapore Exchange.
Carsome has a great ESG story to tell, but needs to be less humble about telling it because pre-IPO ESG messaging can impact IPO valuations, especially for transportation-related deals.
The centerpiece of Carsome's ESG story should be the important (but underappreciated) role of used car markets in decarbonising road transportation, a leading source of carbon emissions.


Carsome: A Paradigm of Circular Economy and Unsung Hero in the Decarbonisation of Transportation

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst, KT Capital Group

Alec Tseung

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

<ul>
<li>Coinbase has managed to weather the crypto winter well by reporting net profits consecutively for 4 quarters.</li>
<li>Its share price has shot up recently as the whole crypto market became exuberant, thanks to Trump's re-election, but still below the IPO debut price of $381.</li>
<li>Our thesis remains the same as when the stock was trading as low as ~$68 in May 2022: Coinbase to become an indispensable platform for Web 3, esp. first-time users.</li>
</ul>


Coinbase has managed to weather the crypto winter well by reporting net profits consecutively for 4 quarters.
Its share price has shot up recently as the whole crypto market became exuberant, thanks to Trump's re-election, but still below the IPO debut price of $381.
Our thesis remains the same as when the stock was trading as low as ~$68 in May 2022: Coinbase to become an indispensable platform for Web 3, esp. first-time users.


2025 High Conviction: Coinbase - What Doesn't Kill You, Makes You Stronger

United States

Robinhood Markets, Inc. operates a financial services platform. The Company offers brokerage and cash management applications such as stocks, exchange-traded funds, options, and cryptocurrency. Robinhood Markets serves clients in the United States.

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Robinhood Markets (HOOD US)

S&P MidCap 400 September 2024 Forecasts: Highest Score to the HOOD, CVNA, LPLA, ENTG, ENSG and MLI

Robinhood (HOOD), Entegris (ENTG) and LPL Financial Holdings (LPLA) are amongst the highest scoring addition candidates based on mcap, fcap,...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD): Sell Short

We are concerned about HOOD's payment for order flow model, the reliance on speculative trading in small accounts and their lack of...

Eric Fernandez, CFA

A Merger Between WeBull and SK Growth Opportunities Corp in NASDAQ

On 28 February, WeBull announced a merger with SK Growth Opportunities SPAC on NASDAQ. The proposed transaction represented an implied pro forma...

Douglas Kim

Carsome: A Paradigm of Circular Economy and Unsung Hero in the Decarbonisation of Transportation

Carsome has reportedly filed for an IPO (dual Nasdaq/SGX listing), and has a great ESG story to tell investors including the role that used car...

Kyle Rudden

2025 High Conviction: Coinbase - What Doesn't Kill You, Makes You Stronger

Coinbase has weathered the crypto winter extremely well. Our thesis remains more or less the same as when we were equally bullish on the stock when...

Alec Tseung

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