HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>RC48’s commercialization performance in China market could be lower than expected. The breakthrough point is whether the deal with Seagen can bring any surprise in the global markets.</li>
<li>Due to large R&amp;D and selling expenses, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/remegen-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29191:1" rel="noopener">Remegen Co Ltd (9995 HK)</a> is facing cash flow pressure, indicating that this IPO in SSE STAR market is very important for the Company.</li>
<li>Let’s see if RemeGen would in-license some unique late-stage candidates or reach new blockbuster license-out deals that surprise us again, both of which would help turn things around.</li>
</ul>


RC48’s commercialization performance in China market could be lower than expected. The breakthrough point is whether the deal with Seagen can bring any surprise in the global markets.
Due to large R&amp;D and selling expenses, Remegen Co Ltd (9995 HK) is facing cash flow pressure, indicating that this IPO in SSE STAR market is very important for the Company.
Let’s see if RemeGen would in-license some unique late-stage candidates or reach new blockbuster license-out deals that surprise us again, both of which would help turn things around.


Pre-IPO Remegen Co Ltd - Some Points Worth the Attention

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Last week, we saw some rebounds in the healthcare sector, and many investors begin to believe that a complete reversal is imminent. </li>
<li>Our view is that this is <strong>a temporary rebound</strong> after continuous pull-back due to the broken logic, rather than <strong>a complete reversal</strong>.We recommend investors to see the rebound rationally.</li>
<li>In terms of the future direction of stock price, we analyze it based on three scenarios.</li>
</ul>


Last week, we saw some rebounds in the healthcare sector, and many investors begin to believe that a complete reversal is imminent. 
Our view is that this is a temporary rebound after continuous pull-back due to the broken logic, rather than a complete reversal.We recommend investors to see the rebound rationally.
In terms of the future direction of stock price, we analyze it based on three scenarios.


The Insecure Rebound in Healthcare Sector and the Future Direction of Stock Price (2022)

<ul>
<li>Based on our analysis, the growth rate of China's drug spending is linked to GDP, and it would not be a high growth rate, but a stable growth rate.</li>
<li>The logic behind China and US biotech companies is different. To some extent, the lower the domestic biotech’s share price, the greater the risk.</li>
<li>In the current policy environment, the risks of VBP on anesthetics could be low because of their high barriers, strict control and potential social risks.</li>
</ul>


Based on our analysis, the growth rate of China's drug spending is linked to GDP, and it would not be a high growth rate, but a stable growth rate.
The logic behind China and US biotech companies is different. To some extent, the lower the domestic biotech’s share price, the greater the risk.
In the current policy environment, the risks of VBP on anesthetics could be low because of their high barriers, strict control and potential social risks.


China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.7)-China's Drug Spending,Logic Behind China/US Biotech, Anesthetics VBP

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We analyzed both the strength and the concerns about the core and key candidates in the pipeline.</li>
<li>We also analyzed the concerns about the valuation growth potential due to the strategy that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keymed-biosciences-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33011:1" rel="noopener">Keymed Biosciences Inc (2162 HK)</a> chose.</li>
<li>For trading strategy, opportunities occur when the share price goes down,and then take profits when it goes up, but it is not recommended to hold it for a long time.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed both the strength and the concerns about the core and key candidates in the pipeline.
We also analyzed the concerns about the valuation growth potential due to the strategy that Keymed Biosciences Inc (2162 HK) chose.
For trading strategy, opportunities occur when the share price goes down,and then take profits when it goes up, but it is not recommended to hold it for a long time.


Keymed Biosciences (2162.HK) - The Pipeline, the Concerns on Valuation Growth & The Trading Strategy

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We analyzed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-junshi-bioscience-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27760:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Junshi Bioscience Co. Ltd. (1877 HK)</a>’s pipeline, the commercialization strategy, the talents, the outlook and the related concerns.</li>
<li>We also analyzed what the valuation system ecology of top and first-class companies could be like as well as the logic behind.</li>
<li>Revolutionary companies can establish new business models, change the game rule at any time and have the initiative in hands. So, will Junshi progress or go backwards instead?</li>
</ul>


We analyzed Shanghai Junshi Bioscience Co. Ltd. (1877 HK)’s pipeline, the commercialization strategy, the talents, the outlook and the related concerns.
We also analyzed what the valuation system ecology of top and first-class companies could be like as well as the logic behind.
Revolutionary companies can establish new business models, change the game rule at any time and have the initiative in hands. So, will Junshi progress or go backwards instead?


Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (1877.HK) - Will Junshi Progress or Go Backwards Instead?

China

RemeGen Co., Ltd. operates biotechnology businesses. The Company develops therapeutic antibody drugs such as antibody drug conjugates (ADC), antibody fusion proteins, monoclonal antibodies and double antibodies. RemeGen provides solutions autoimmune diseases, tumor diseases, and ophthalmic diseases.

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Remegen (9995 HK)

Pre-IPO Remegen Co Ltd - Some Points Worth the Attention

We analyzed the competitive landscape of RC48 in both China and global markets,the outlook and concerns.We also pointed out the cashflow pressure...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

The Insecure Rebound in Healthcare Sector and the Future Direction of Stock Price (2022)

The rebound in China healthcare sector last week was a temporary rebound rather than a complete reversal. In terms of future direction of stock...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.7)-China's Drug Spending,Logic Behind China/US Biotech, Anesthetics VBP

The insight mainly analyzed the relationship of drug spending with GDP growth, different logic behind China/US biotech companies and related risks...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Keymed Biosciences (2162.HK) - The Pipeline, the Concerns on Valuation Growth & The Trading Strategy

This article mainly analyzed Keymed in terms of the business, the core and key candidates in the pipeline, the concerns about valuation growth...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (1877.HK) - Will Junshi Progress or Go Backwards Instead?

The article mainly analyzed Junshi in terms of the pipeline, commercialization strategy, the talents, the outlook, the related concerns, as well as...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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