HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The plunge in medical beauty sector last week was due to the industry-wide overhaul and investigation resulting from the increase in business bribery/tax evasion/medical malpractice/customer complaints.</li>
<li>We found an interesting phenomenon – Investors dare not buy biotech, opting instead for Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) companies, scientific research service companies and medical service companies.</li>
<li>If investors still want to trade CXO, here are two suggestions.</li>
</ul>


The plunge in medical beauty sector last week was due to the industry-wide overhaul and investigation resulting from the increase in business bribery/tax evasion/medical malpractice/customer complaints.
We found an interesting phenomenon – Investors dare not buy biotech, opting instead for Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) companies, scientific research service companies and medical service companies.
If investors still want to trade CXO, here are two suggestions.


China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.25) - CXO Trading Strategy, Plunge in Medical Beauty, Belief in Biotech

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>For RC18, it depends on whether RemeGen can seize this short period of strategic opportunities to further establish its leading position. The situation faced by RC48 is much more complex.</li>
<li>From the current situation, it’s very challenging for RemeGen to evolve into biopharma.That is to say, RemeGen’s future positioning is still likely to remain a biotech, which limits valuation expansion.</li>
<li>Even based on conservative forecast, there’s still decent upside potential. We're bullish on RemeGen. Due to unfriendly macro, investors may need to consider the potential downside risks when going long.</li>
</ul>


For RC18, it depends on whether RemeGen can seize this short period of strategic opportunities to further establish its leading position. The situation faced by RC48 is much more complex.
From the current situation, it’s very challenging for RemeGen to evolve into biopharma.That is to say, RemeGen’s future positioning is still likely to remain a biotech, which limits valuation expansion.
Even based on conservative forecast, there’s still decent upside potential. We're bullish on RemeGen. Due to unfriendly macro, investors may need to consider the potential downside risks when going long.


Remegen Co Ltd (9995.HK) 22H1 - Mr. Market's "Misjudgment" Brings Opportunities to Make Money

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 116.6% as of Sep 2nd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 4.9ppt, led by Communication Services, Financials, Health Care and offset by Energy, Consumer Staples.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, Huaxin, Huatai, Tianqi Lithium, Shandong Gold.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 116.6% as of Sep 2nd.
The average A-H premium changed by 4.9ppt, led by Communication Services, Financials, Health Care and offset by Energy, Consumer Staples.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, Huaxin, Huatai, Tianqi Lithium, Shandong Gold.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 2nd): Remegen, Huaxin, Huatai, Tianqi Lithium

Sihuan Pharmaceutical Hldgs / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The disposal of generic drug segment would bring one-time cash flow. Together with the cash on hand, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sihuan-pharmaceutical-hldgs" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33:1" rel="noopener">Sihuan Pharmaceutical Hldgs (460 HK)</a> is undervalued based on its current market value. </li>
<li>In the context of its innovative drug segment facing long-term losses, and the decreasing profit margins of medical beauty segment due to increasing competition, Sihuan’s prospects are no brighter.</li>
<li>Due to the concerns on outlook and its development mode, Sihuan’s upside potential could be lower than expected, and the share price could fluctuate largely. </li>
</ul>


The disposal of generic drug segment would bring one-time cash flow. Together with the cash on hand, Sihuan Pharmaceutical Hldgs (460 HK) is undervalued based on its current market value. 
In the context of its innovative drug segment facing long-term losses, and the decreasing profit margins of medical beauty segment due to increasing competition, Sihuan’s prospects are no brighter.
Due to the concerns on outlook and its development mode, Sihuan’s upside potential could be lower than expected, and the share price could fluctuate largely. 


Sihuan Pharmaceutical (460.HK) - The Potential Disposal of Generic Drug Business and the Outlook

<ul>
<li>Due to doctors’ poor diagnosis/limited affordability, commercialization prospects of China autoimmune disease market could be much lower than expected. Internationalization is inevitable, but Keymed is lack of cash for MRCT.</li>
<li>For CM310 and CM326, their total sales in China could be less than RMB2 billion. For CMG901, it is hard to say if Claudin 18.2 (ADC) would finally be successful.</li>
<li>As long as Keymed can successfully develop either CM310 or CM326 (key premise), even temporarily only commercializing in the domestic market, the Company has the potential to double in valuation.</li>
</ul>


Due to doctors’ poor diagnosis/limited affordability, commercialization prospects of China autoimmune disease market could be much lower than expected. Internationalization is inevitable, but Keymed is lack of cash for MRCT.
For CM310 and CM326, their total sales in China could be less than RMB2 billion. For CMG901, it is hard to say if Claudin 18.2 (ADC) would finally be successful.
As long as Keymed can successfully develop either CM310 or CM326 (key premise), even temporarily only commercializing in the domestic market, the Company has the potential to double in valuation.


Keymed Biosciences (2162.HK) - The Potential for Doubling Valuation and the Corresponding Risks

China

RemeGen Co., Ltd. operates biotechnology businesses. The Company develops therapeutic antibody drugs such as antibody drug conjugates (ADC), antibody fusion proteins, monoclonal antibodies and double antibodies. RemeGen provides solutions autoimmune diseases, tumor diseases, and ophthalmic diseases.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Remegen (9995 HK)

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.25) - CXO Trading Strategy, Plunge in Medical Beauty, Belief in Biotech

If investor still want to trade CXO,here are two suggestions; The plunge in medical beauty sector last week was due to industry-wide...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Remegen Co Ltd (9995.HK) 22H1 - Mr. Market's "Misjudgment" Brings Opportunities to Make Money

RemeGen’s future positioning is still likely to remain a biotech, but even based on conservative forecast, there is decent upside potential. We're...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 2nd): Remegen, Huaxin, Huatai, Tianqi Lithium

We analyzed A-H premium last week and highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, Huaxin, Huatai, Tianqi Lithium, Shandong Gold.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Sihuan Pharmaceutical (460.HK) - The Potential Disposal of Generic Drug Business and the Outlook

The medical aesthetics/innovative drug business face various challenges.Though Sihuan is undervalued,concerns on outlook/development mode will...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Keymed Biosciences (2162.HK) - The Potential for Doubling Valuation and the Corresponding Risks

As long as Keymed can successfully develop either CM310 or CM326, even temporarily only commercializing in China market, Keymed has the potential...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)