Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Reddit's second quarter 2024 earnings reflect a company in the midst of scaling its user base and revenue streams, with notable strides in technological advancements and international expansion.</li>
<li>The discourse during the call highlighted that Reddit, under the leadership of CEO Steve Huffman and COO Jen Wong, continues to push aggressively on growth, particularly through enhancements in user experience and advertising efficacy.</li>
<li>Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.</li>
</ul>


Reddit's second quarter 2024 earnings reflect a company in the midst of scaling its user base and revenue streams, with notable strides in technological advancements and international expansion.
The discourse during the call highlighted that Reddit, under the leadership of CEO Steve Huffman and COO Jen Wong, continues to push aggressively on growth, particularly through enhancements in user experience and advertising efficacy.
Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.


US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, Ortex

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

Ortex

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reddit-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40917:1" rel="noopener">Reddit (RDDT US)</a> is ineligible for inclusion for the upcoming August review because of fcap failing the fcap threshold if it qualifies for the standard segment. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reddit-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40917:1" rel="noopener">Reddit (RDDT US)</a> is ineligible for inclusion for the upcoming September review because of failing the minimum public voting rights threshold.</li>
<li>The IPO lock-up expiry increases the probability for inclusion in November and December review for US and Global indices. Forecasted demand in December is ~$360m and 2.1 ADV. </li>
</ul>



Reddit (RDDT US) is ineligible for inclusion for the upcoming August review because of fcap failing the fcap threshold if it qualifies for the standard segment. 

Reddit (RDDT US) is ineligible for inclusion for the upcoming September review because of failing the minimum public voting rights threshold.
The IPO lock-up expiry increases the probability for inclusion in November and December review for US and Global indices. Forecasted demand in December is ~$360m and 2.1 ADV. 


Reddit (RDDT): Post-IPO Inclusion in US & Global Indices

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reddit-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40917:1" rel="noopener">Reddit (RDDT US)</a> is looking to raise up to US$750m in its US IPO.</li>
<li>Reddit is an online social media platform where users are able to join communities, engage in conversations, research, exchange goods and services as well as create new communities.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we talked about the company’s historical performance. In this note, we share our quick thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Reddit (RDDT US) is looking to raise up to US$750m in its US IPO.
Reddit is an online social media platform where users are able to join communities, engage in conversations, research, exchange goods and services as well as create new communities.
In our previous note, we talked about the company’s historical performance. In this note, we share our quick thoughts on valuation.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reddit-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40917:1" rel="noopener">Reddit (RDDT US)</a> is looking to raise up to US$750m in its US IPO. </li>
<li>Reddit is an online social media platform where users are able to join communities, engage in conversations, research, exchange goods and services as well as create new communities.  </li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.</li>
</ul>



Reddit (RDDT US) is looking to raise up to US$750m in its US IPO. 
Reddit is an online social media platform where users are able to join communities, engage in conversations, research, exchange goods and services as well as create new communities.  
In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.


Reddit IPO - Well-Known Brand but Sustainability of Growth Is Questionable

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

<ul>
<li>According to Pitchbook and their S-1, Reddit has raised ~$1.5B in equity financing. Their last private round, a Series F led by Fidelity in August 2021, was around ~$10B valuation.</li>
<li>I derive a target valuation for Reddit using a ~8x EV/Revenue multiple on my 2024 estimates. The multiple represents a top-range multiple of the peer group.</li>
<li>I arrived at my ~$9.6B target valuation, which implies 50% upside to indicative IPO valuation at the midpoint. I expect Reddit will trade above their last round valuation of $10B.</li>
</ul>


According to Pitchbook and their S-1, Reddit has raised ~$1.5B in equity financing. Their last private round, a Series F led by Fidelity in August 2021, was around ~$10B valuation.
I derive a target valuation for Reddit using a ~8x EV/Revenue multiple on my 2024 estimates. The multiple represents a top-range multiple of the peer group.
I arrived at my ~$9.6B target valuation, which implies 50% upside to indicative IPO valuation at the midpoint. I expect Reddit will trade above their last round valuation of $10B.


Reddit IPO Valuation Analysis: $1B+ Revenue and Profitable Company in 2024

United States

Reddit, Inc. operates as an online discussion platform. The Company publicizes online items recommended by members and aggregates news stories submitted by users. Reddit serves customers worldwide.

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Reddit (RDDT US)

Reddit, Inc. - Objective Of The Report

Reddit's second quarter 2024 earnings reflect a company in the midst of scaling its user base and revenue streams, with notable strides in...

Baptista Research

Reddit (RDDT): Post-IPO Inclusion in US & Global Indices

Reddit faces potential exclusion in August and September due to failing fcap threshold and public voting rights. The IPO lock-up expiry makes its...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Reddit IPO - Quick Thoughts on Valuation

Reddit (RDDT US) is looking to raise up to US$750m in its US IPO. In our previous note, we talked about the company’s historical performance. In...

Ethan Aw

Reddit IPO - Well-Known Brand but Sustainability of Growth Is Questionable

Reddit (RDDT US) is looking to raise up to US$750m in its US IPO. In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

Ethan Aw

Reddit IPO Valuation Analysis: $1B+ Revenue and Profitable Company in 2024

I see upside for Reddit shares and my implied equity value of ~$9.6B represents ~50% upside vs. expected IPO price range of $31 to $34 per share at...

Andrei Zakharov

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52-week Range

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Reddit, Inc. - Objective Of The Report

Reddit's second quarter 2024 earnings reflect a company in the midst of scaling its user base and revenue streams, with notable strides in...

Baptista Research

Reddit (RDDT): Post-IPO Inclusion in US & Global Indices

​Reddit faces potential exclusion in August and September due to failing fcap threshold and public voting rights. The IPO lock-up expiry makes its...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Reddit IPO - Quick Thoughts on Valuation

Reddit (RDDT US) is looking to raise up to US$750m in its US IPO. In our previous note, we talked about the company’s historical performance. In...

Ethan Aw

Reddit IPO - Well-Known Brand but Sustainability of Growth Is Questionable

Reddit (RDDT US) is looking to raise up to US$750m in its US IPO. In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

Ethan Aw

Reddit IPO Valuation Analysis: $1B+ Revenue and Profitable Company in 2024

I see upside for Reddit shares and my implied equity value of ~$9.6B represents ~50% upside vs. expected IPO price range of $31 to $34 per share at...

Andrei Zakharov

Reddit faces potential exclusion in August and September due to failing fcap threshold and public voting rights. The IPO lock-up expiry makes its...