Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

New and ongoing developments continue to support our bullish outlook. In the “new” column, we have bullish inflections in Treasury yields, the value vs. growth ratio, and broad commodities (Bloomberg Commodity index). These are classic signs that the economy is improving and is historically consistent with prior equity bull markets. Another new development is the market becoming increasingly overbought. As we outline in today's report, being “overbought” is far from a sell signal.  We also highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Energy and Materials: Large-, Mid-, and Small-Cap Domestic Oil &amp; Gas E&amp;P , Chemicals, Diversified, and Specialty Chemicals, Petro/Basic/Commodity.

New and ongoing developments continue to support our bullish outlook. In the “new” column, we have bullish inflections in Treasury yields, the value vs. growth ratio, and broad commodities (Bloomberg Commodity index). These are classic signs that the economy is improving and is historically consistent with prior equity bull markets. Another new development is the market becoming increasingly overbought. As we outline in today's report, being “overbought” is far from a sell signal.  We also highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Energy and Materials: Large-, Mid-, and Small-Cap Domestic Oil &amp; Gas E&amp;P , Chemicals, Diversified, and Specialty Chemicals, Petro/Basic/Commodity.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Value Overtaking Growth; Treasury Yields and Commodities Bottoming

In today's report we highlight key levels and several metrics we are watching that will provide us clues as to where the S&amp;P 500 is headed next. We also highlight several attractive stocks from a relative strength perspective across Sectors.

In today's report we highlight key levels and several metrics we are watching that will provide us clues as to where the S&amp;P 500 is headed next. We also highlight several attractive stocks from a relative strength perspective across Sectors.

U.S. Equities: Upside Momentum Lost, But Not Breaking Down

Despite the bulls still being in control, we have several ongoing concerns and we cannot rule out the potential for a pullback. Below we highlight developments that are inconsistent with a major bottom in equities that suggests the broad equity market is not yet out of the woods.  In fact, during today's action, the 2760 support level on the S&amp;P 500 briefly held but ultimately gave way. With the SPX holding below 2760 today, we are looking for downside targets of 2650 first, and then potentially 2470 if that fails to hold.

Despite the bulls still being in control, we have several ongoing concerns and we cannot rule out the potential for a pullback. Below we highlight developments that are inconsistent with a major bottom in equities that suggests the broad equity market is not yet out of the woods.  In fact, during today's action, the 2760 support level on the S&amp;P 500 briefly held but ultimately gave way. With the SPX holding below 2760 today, we are looking for downside targets of 2650 first, and then potentially 2470 if that fails to hold.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Several Indicators Suggest a Pullback Likely

Materials, IPO & Equity Analyst

Venkat Ramana Nandyal

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Quantitative Analysis

The US natural gas markets have gone into a tailspin since May of this year as inventory spread between FY19 vs FY18 started to widen.  In this note, we analyze the Natural gas markets using statistical data analysis and machine learning tools.

The US natural gas markets have gone into a tailspin since May of this year as inventory spread between FY19 vs FY18 started to widen.  In this note, we analyze the Natural gas markets using statistical data analysis and machine learning tools.

Statistical Machine Learning - Analysis of US Natural Gas Markets

Key points:<ul>
<li>Energy names are showing signs of bottoming with the recent uptick in crude, and weakness in the U.S. dollar</li>
<li>REITs are continuing to firm up as rates have plateaued</li>
<li>Biotech stocks are continuing to show leadership characteristics</li>
</ul>Charts highlighted: AFI, ODP, SPWH, CVS, KMB, THS, CHK, KMI, RRC, AXS, ESS, KIM, APTS, KRG, REGN, NERV, NSTG, RARX, AYI, CFX, AXL, PAH, FNSR, TRUE, ALK, HA, SAVE, and PEGI

Key points:
Energy names are showing signs of bottoming with the recent uptick in crude, and weakness in the U.S. dollar
REITs are continuing to firm up as rates have plateaued
Biotech stocks are continuing to show leadership characteristics
Charts highlighted: AFI, ODP, SPWH, CVS, KMB, THS, CHK, KMI, RRC, AXS, ESS, KIM, APTS, KRG, REGN, NERV, NSTG, RARX, AYI, CFX, AXL, PAH, FNSR, TRUE, ALK, HA, SAVE, and PEGI

Technically Attractive U.S. Stocks for Value Investors

United States

Range Resources Corporation is an independent oil and gas company  that explore, develops, and acquires oil and gas properties. The Company conducts operations primarily in the Southwestern, Appalachian and Gulf Coast regions of the United States.

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Range Resources (RRC US)

U.S. Equity Strategy: Value Overtaking Growth; Treasury Yields and Commodities Bottoming

New and ongoing developments continue to support our bullish outlook. In the “new” column, we have bullish inflections in Treasury yields, the...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equities: Upside Momentum Lost, But Not Breaking Down

In today's report we highlight key levels and several metrics we are watching that will provide us clues as to where the S&P 500 is headed...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Several Indicators Suggest a Pullback Likely

Despite the bulls still being in control, we have several ongoing concerns and we cannot rule out the potential for a pullback. Below we highlight...

Vermilion Research

Statistical Machine Learning - Analysis of US Natural Gas Markets

The US natural gas markets have gone into a tailspin since May of this year as inventory spread between FY19 vs FY18 started to widen. In this...

Venkat Ramana Nandyal

Technically Attractive U.S. Stocks for Value Investors

Key points: Energy names are showing signs of bottoming with the recent uptick in crude, and weakness in the U.S. dollar REITs are continuing to...

Vermilion Research

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