Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The big parcel couriers, Yamato Transport and Sagawa, announced price increases averaging around 10% last month. </li>
<li>Unlike the last big hike in 2017, the latest round is in response to multiple external pressures such as increased costs and a growing labour shortage.</li>
<li>But the constant growth in e-commerce demand remains the most significant factor.</li>
</ul>


The big parcel couriers, Yamato Transport and Sagawa, announced price increases averaging around 10% last month. 
Unlike the last big hike in 2017, the latest round is in response to multiple external pressures such as increased costs and a growing labour shortage.
But the constant growth in e-commerce demand remains the most significant factor.


Yamato and Sagawa Increase Prices as Delivery Volume Increases

<ul>
<li>The big online malls continue to grow at higher rates than many branded e-commerce stores, meaning consecutive annual gains in market share. </li>
<li>Amazon’s lead now seems to be widening while Rakuten is also pulling ahead of Z Holdings, which continues to struggle with poor integration of assets, and we see little upside.</li>
<li>Amazon is now Japan's 2nd biggest retailer but, despite its problems in Mobile, Rakuten is proving a relentless competitor in e-commerce and we remain bullish on its e-commerce prospects.</li>
</ul>


The big online malls continue to grow at higher rates than many branded e-commerce stores, meaning consecutive annual gains in market share. 
Amazon’s lead now seems to be widening while Rakuten is also pulling ahead of Z Holdings, which continues to struggle with poor integration of assets, and we see little upside.
Amazon is now Japan's 2nd biggest retailer but, despite its problems in Mobile, Rakuten is proving a relentless competitor in e-commerce and we remain bullish on its e-commerce prospects.


Japan's E-Commerce Wars: Rakuten Fighting Hard as Amazon Japan Becomes No. 2 Retailer

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trial-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36821:1" rel="noopener">Trial Holdings (5882 JP)</a> is looking to raise around US$375m in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>TH operates a network of retail stores that offer one-stop shopping under its everyday low price model, across a variety of daily necessities, food items and other products.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Trial Holdings (5882 JP) is looking to raise around US$375m in its Japan IPO.
TH operates a network of retail stores that offer one-stop shopping under its everyday low price model, across a variety of daily necessities, food items and other products.
In this note, we will talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Trial Holdings Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Wafer-Thin Margins

SBI Sumishin Net Bank  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a> (SSNB) is looking to raise around US$390m in its second listing attempt.</li>
<li>SBI Sumishin Net Bank is a Japanese digital bank set up as a 50-50 joint venture between Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank, Japan’s largest trust bank, and SBI Group.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about implied valuations in the IPO price range</li>
</ul>



SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) (SSNB) is looking to raise around US$390m in its second listing attempt.
SBI Sumishin Net Bank is a Japanese digital bank set up as a 50-50 joint venture between Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank, Japan’s largest trust bank, and SBI Group.
In this note, we talk about implied valuations in the IPO price range


SBI Sumishin Net Bank IPO - It Was All Good, till Friday

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 16th Nov 22, post-market close, along with its 3Q22 results Tencent declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan.</li>
<li>At the time of declaration, the dividend amounted to US$20bn or 15.5% of Meituan’s outstanding shares. Its value has since declined to US$17bn.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the implications of the deal and what one can glean from looking at the previous dividend payout for JD.com.</li>
</ul>


On 16th Nov 22, post-market close, along with its 3Q22 results Tencent declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan.
At the time of declaration, the dividend amounted to US$20bn or 15.5% of Meituan’s outstanding shares. Its value has since declined to US$17bn.
In this note, we talk about the implications of the deal and what one can glean from looking at the previous dividend payout for JD.com.


Tencent Meituan Dividend - The US$17bn Overhang Is Almost Here - Lesson from JD.com

Japan

Rakuten Group, Inc. provides Internet services. The Company offers Internet finance services which including "Rakuten Card" and "Rakuten Bank". Rakuten Group also provides digital content services including electronic book services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Rakuten (4755 JP)

Yamato and Sagawa Increase Prices as Delivery Volume Increases

Prices for e-commerce deliveries are on the rise, at a time when inflation is hurting trade, but demand is likely to mean further pressures on...

Michael Causton

Japan's E-Commerce Wars: Rakuten Fighting Hard as Amazon Japan Becomes No. 2 Retailer

Amazon is now Japan's 2nd biggest retailer by JPN revenues. Rakuten claims parity on GTVs and is trying hard to build share through a better...

Michael Causton

Trial Holdings Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Wafer-Thin Margins

Trial Holdings (5882 JP) is looking to raise around US$375m in its Japan IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

SBI Sumishin Net Bank IPO - It Was All Good, till Friday

SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) (SSNB) is looking to raise around US$390m in its second listing attempt. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Tencent Meituan Dividend - The US$17bn Overhang Is Almost Here - Lesson from JD.com

On 16th Nov 22, Tencent declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan. The US$17bn overhang...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)