Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>1810 HK/BIDU: Google's Gemma is an important move for client-side AI (+)</li>
<li>3690 HK: Local news said Douyin has deemphasized take out business (+)</li>
<li>PDD/4689 JP/AMZN/4385 JP/4755 JP: Data indicates that Temu is particularly popular in Japan (+/~/-/-/-)</li>
</ul>


1810 HK/BIDU: Google's Gemma is an important move for client-side AI (+)
3690 HK: Local news said Douyin has deemphasized take out business (+)
PDD/4689 JP/AMZN/4385 JP/4755 JP: Data indicates that Temu is particularly popular in Japan (+/~/-/-/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]: 700 HK/1810 HK/BIDU/JD/BABA/PDD/1024 HK/3690 HK/WB/4689JP/4755JP

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Since the US$550 million secondary placement announcement, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toei-animation-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18641:1" rel="noopener">Toei Animation (4816 JP)</a>’s shares are down 7.0% from the undisturbed price of JPY18,560 per share (14 February).</li>
<li>Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Toei Animation’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.</li>
<li>The offering will likely be priced on 27 February. Investors participating in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.</li>
</ul>


Since the US$550 million secondary placement announcement, Toei Animation (4816 JP)’s shares are down 7.0% from the undisturbed price of JPY18,560 per share (14 February).
Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Toei Animation’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.
The offering will likely be priced on 27 February. Investors participating in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.


Toei Animation (4816 JP): The Current Playbook

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, we looked at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trial-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36821:1" rel="noopener">Trial Holdings (5882 JP)</a> refiling and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaocaiyuan-international-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40688:1" rel="noopener">Xiaocaiyuan International Holding</a> .</li>
<li>For placements, it was an action packed week in India, again, with Australia joining in as well.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, we looked at Trial Holdings (5882 JP) refiling and Xiaocaiyuan International Holding .
For placements, it was an action packed week in India, again, with Australia joining in as well.


ECM Weekly (26th Feb 2024) - Trial Holdings, Juniper, Xiaocaiyuan, Union Bank, Orica, Azure

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trial-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36821:1" rel="noopener">Trial Holdings (5882 JP)</a> (TH) is now looking to raise around US$234m in its Japan IPO, after having canceled its prior listing attempt last year.</li>
<li>TH operates a network of retail stores that offer one-stop shopping under its everyday low price model, across a variety of daily necessities, food items and other products.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we provide our updated thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Trial Holdings (5882 JP) (TH) is now looking to raise around US$234m in its Japan IPO, after having canceled its prior listing attempt last year.
TH operates a network of retail stores that offer one-stop shopping under its everyday low price model, across a variety of daily necessities, food items and other products.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we provide our updated thoughts on valuation.


Trial Holdings Pre-IPO - Updated Peer Comparison and Valuation

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Mercard, the credit card launched by Mercari in late 2022, is a success, helping the the CtoC platform grow its user base and help add to Mercari's financial services business.</li>
<li>The rate of growth in online flea markets has slowed and competition has increased so relying on the CtoC platform alone won't deliver sufficient growth.</li>
<li>Mercari will introduce a new gig-work service this Spring to further differentiate its business from the likes of Rakuma and Yahoo Flea Market.</li>
</ul>


Mercard, the credit card launched by Mercari in late 2022, is a success, helping the the CtoC platform grow its user base and help add to Mercari's financial services business.
The rate of growth in online flea markets has slowed and competition has increased so relying on the CtoC platform alone won't deliver sufficient growth.
Mercari will introduce a new gig-work service this Spring to further differentiate its business from the likes of Rakuma and Yahoo Flea Market.


Mercari's Credit Card Boosts Sales, New Gig Worker Service to Add New Revenue Stream

Japan

Rakuten Group, Inc. provides Internet services. The Company offers Internet finance services which including "Rakuten Card" and "Rakuten Bank". Rakuten Group also provides digital content services including electronic book services.

Price Gauge
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Rakuten (4755 JP)

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]: 700 HK/1810 HK/BIDU/JD/BABA/PDD/1024 HK/3690 HK/WB/4689JP/4755JP

Google's Gemma is an important move for client-side AI; Douyin shifts focus away from takeout; and Temu gains popularity in Japan.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Toei Animation (4816 JP): The Current Playbook

The offering will likely be priced on 27 February. Investors participating in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.

Arun George

ECM Weekly (26th Feb 2024) - Trial Holdings, Juniper, Xiaocaiyuan, Union Bank, Orica, Azure

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Trial Holdings Pre-IPO - Updated Peer Comparison and Valuation

Trial Holdings (5882 JP) (TH) is now looking to raise around US$234m in its Japan IPO, after having canceled its prior listing attempt last year....

Sumeet Singh

Mercari's Credit Card Boosts Sales, New Gig Worker Service to Add New Revenue Stream

Mercari's Mercard, is boosting the user base and fintech revenues, while the start of a gig-work service could mean a 3rd major revenue stream....

Michael Causton

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]: 700 HK/1810 HK/BIDU/JD/BABA/PDD/1024 HK/3690 HK/WB/4689JP/4755JP

​Google's Gemma is an important move for client-side AI; Douyin shifts focus away from takeout; and Temu gains popularity in Japan.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Toei Animation (4816 JP): The Current Playbook

The offering will likely be priced on 27 February. Investors participating in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.

Arun George

ECM Weekly (26th Feb 2024) - Trial Holdings, Juniper, Xiaocaiyuan, Union Bank, Orica, Azure

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Trial Holdings Pre-IPO - Updated Peer Comparison and Valuation

Trial Holdings (5882 JP) (TH) is now looking to raise around US$234m in its Japan IPO, after having canceled its prior listing attempt last year....

Sumeet Singh

Mercari's Credit Card Boosts Sales, New Gig Worker Service to Add New Revenue Stream

​Mercari's Mercard, is boosting the user base and fintech revenues, while the start of a gig-work service could mean a 3rd major revenue stream....

Michael Causton

Google's Gemma is an important move for client-side AI; Douyin shifts focus away from takeout; and Temu gains popularity in Japan.

Mercari's Mercard, is boosting the user base and fintech revenues, while the start of a gig-work service could mean a 3rd major revenue stream....