Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/11230" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1">Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd.</a> reports a better 2Q16 and guides a stronger 3Q16 but hints 4Q16 inventory and demand adjustment. We believe most of analysts will remain their views unchanged but be struggling between long term positive catalysts vs. short term seasonal adjustments after recent strong share price performance (26% ytd vs. 11% std on Taiwan Weighted Index). Analysts will need to know what will be likely seasonal sales decline and margin contraction in 4Q16 and 1Q17 in order to…

Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. reports a better 2Q16 and guides a stronger 3Q16 but hints 4Q16 inventory and demand adjustment. We believe most of analysts will remain their views unchanged but be struggling between long term positive catalysts vs. short term seasonal adjustments after recent strong share price performance (26% ytd vs. 11% std on Taiwan Weighted Index). Analysts will need to know what will be likely seasonal sales decline and margin contraction in 4Q16 and 1Q17 in order to…

Global Asset Allocation, Politics & Governance, Ecstrat

John-Paul Smith

Global Asset Allocation, Politics & Governance

Ecstrat

Ecstrat is a consultancy advising on asset allocation between global equity markets, with a focus on the intersection of governments, geopolitics, governance and markets.
 
Over the past few years and more especially since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), investors have become more focused on short-term market movements and real-time returns and have consequently neglected the analysis of the underlying structural themes that underpin longer term performance.
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More specifically we believe that the evolution of governance-based relationships between investors, controlling shareholders, labour and the state is one of the primary determinants of both relative and absolute performance between individual equity markets.
 
We will endeavour to provide investors with some of the context surrounding governance-related issues which encompass many different disciplines including history, economics and political science, as well as the financial metrics which are the most obvious manifestation of the structural characteristics of each market.
 
We will pay particular attention to the shifts and potential inflection points for governance in individual markets as these are often the best lead indicators for both economic and market performance.

Cross Asset Strategy

In this brief piece we take a considered stance on the likelihood of Brexit actually proceeding in the wake of June’s referendum and examine some of the strategic implications for equity investors in terms of the potential shifts in sovereign and corporate governance.

In this brief piece we take a considered stance on the likelihood of Brexit actually proceeding in the wake of June’s referendum and examine some of the strategic implications for equity investors in terms of the potential shifts in sovereign and corporate governance.

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

I recently sat down for a catch up with a finance friend running a CFO type role in a major company. Some points he noted on banks led to what I see as continued coming compliance feeding frenzy, and which may lead to another major hurdle/headache for investors/bank account holders and global banks (not all bad, but confusing and execution issues). As a result of my initial discussion, I followed up with other bank and company managers as well as a private bank executive representing overseas…

I recently sat down for a catch up with a finance friend running a CFO type role in a major company. Some points he noted on banks led to what I see as continued coming compliance feeding frenzy, and which may lead to another major hurdle/headache for investors/bank account holders and global banks (not all bad, but confusing and execution issues). As a result of my initial discussion, I followed up with other bank and company managers as well as a private bank executive representing overseas…

CRS/AEOI: The Next FATCA …And Which May Affect Even More Asia Accounts

EM PM, Ecstrat

Emad Mostaque

EM PM

In my last piece I discussed why I thought an actual Brexit was unlikely despite the result of the referendum last week. This piece answers some questions on some of the detail of the likely path ahead and some of the interesting elements around this.

In my last piece I discussed why I thought an actual Brexit was unlikely despite the result of the referendum last week. This piece answers some questions on some of the detail of the likely path ahead and some of the interesting elements around this.

The last few days have seen a maelstrom of opinions and recrimination after the shock referendum decision to leave the EU.The lack of a concrete plan of action for an exit has shocked markets, leaving even those who avoid politics worried about the future.However, looking at the structure of western democracy a departure from the EU is very unlikely.

The last few days have seen a maelstrom of opinions and recrimination after the shock referendum decision to leave the EU.The lack of a concrete plan of action for an exit has shocked markets, leaving even those who avoid politics worried about the future.However, looking at the structure of western democracy a departure from the EU is very unlikely.

United States

QUALCOMM, Inc . manufactures digital wireless communications equipment.  The Company licenses its code division multiple access (CDMA) and orthogonal frequency division multiplexing access intellectual property to other companies, and produces CDMA-based integrated circuits; and produces equipment and software used to track workers and assets; and software for wireless content enablement.

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Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US)

Looking Long or Short Term on TSMC?

Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. reports a better 2Q16 and guides a stronger 3Q16 but hints 4Q16 inventory and demand adjustment. We believe most...

Andrew Lu

Brexit; Unintended Consequences

In this brief piece we take a considered stance on the likelihood of Brexit actually proceeding in the wake of June’s referendum and examine some...

John-Paul Smith

CRS/AEOI: The Next FATCA …And Which May Affect Even More Asia Accounts

I recently sat down for a catch up with a finance friend running a CFO type role in a major company. Some points he noted on banks led to what I...

Charles De Trenck

The Path to No Brexit

In my last piece I discussed why I thought an actual Brexit was unlikely despite the result of the referendum last week. This piece answers some...

Emad Mostaque

Why Brexit (Probably) Won't Happen

The last few days have seen a maelstrom of opinions and recrimination after the shock referendum decision to leave the EU.The lack of a concrete...

Emad Mostaque

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