Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC's 2022 outlook is bright, but new drama around Intel's possible orders could define the foundry in 2023</li>
<li>IPhone's 2022 modem is currently equipped with Qualcomm’s design but 2023's will be designed by Apple</li>
<li>TSMC's continuously updated technology roadmap shows it as a tech-leader in the foundry space</li>
</ul>


TSMC's 2022 outlook is bright, but new drama around Intel's possible orders could define the foundry in 2023
IPhone's 2022 modem is currently equipped with Qualcomm’s design but 2023's will be designed by Apple
TSMC's continuously updated technology roadmap shows it as a tech-leader in the foundry space


TSMC (TSM.US, 2330.TT): Bright Outlook in 2022

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>Asustek Guides for 20%+ YoY PC Revenue Growth in 4Q24E;  Lenovo Delivers 17% YoY PC Revenue Growth in CY3Q24</li>
<li>AI PCs: A Multi-Year Upgrade Cycle with Rising Average Selling Prices; AI PCs 80% of the PC Market by 2027E</li>
<li>Maintain Structural Long View for AI PC Up-Cycle; Asustek, Acer, &amp; Lenovo Well-Positioned Through 2025E</li>
</ul>


Asustek Guides for 20%+ YoY PC Revenue Growth in 4Q24E;  Lenovo Delivers 17% YoY PC Revenue Growth in CY3Q24
AI PCs: A Multi-Year Upgrade Cycle with Rising Average Selling Prices; AI PCs 80% of the PC Market by 2027E
Maintain Structural Long View for AI PC Up-Cycle; Asustek, Acer, &amp; Lenovo Well-Positioned Through 2025E


PC Monitor: Asustek & Lenovo Signal Strong PC Growth, AI PC Expansion in Process

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC: more restrictions on export to China. TSMC can’t make 2nm in US before 2028-29. Lawsuit in Arizona.</li>
<li>Korea: special chips act to give chipmakers subsidies and an exemption from a national cap on working hours. Korean engineers only work 52 hours / week. That’s a problem.</li>
<li>Amazon more in-house AI chips. Super Micro trying to avoid delisting. Smartphone ASP keep increasing because chip prices are increasing (ie Mediatek, Qualcomm). AI PC reaching 20% in 3Q214. </li>
</ul>


TSMC: more restrictions on export to China. TSMC can’t make 2nm in US before 2028-29. Lawsuit in Arizona.
Korea: special chips act to give chipmakers subsidies and an exemption from a national cap on working hours. Korean engineers only work 52 hours / week. That’s a problem.
Amazon more in-house AI chips. Super Micro trying to avoid delisting. Smartphone ASP keep increasing because chip prices are increasing (ie Mediatek, Qualcomm). AI PC reaching 20% in 3Q214. 


Tech News This Week: TSMC, Samsung, Amazon / Nvidia, Super Micro, Smartphone ASP Increasing, AI PC

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors, The Circuit

The Circuit

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors

A Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors. With Jay Goldberg and Ben Bajarin

<ul><li>ARM reported good numbers with steady guidance for the coming quarter.</li><li>Qualcomm's earnings performed well, but concerns exist over rising costs and potential loss of customers.</li><li>Uncertainty surrounds US government policies on semiconductor manufacturing and trade with China, impacting industry players like Intel and Nvidia.</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

ARM reported good numbers with steady guidance for the coming quarter.Qualcomm's earnings performed well, but concerns exist over rising costs and potential loss of customers.Uncertainty surrounds US government policies on semiconductor manufacturing and trade with China, impacting industry players like Intel and Nvidia.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Episode 93: Arm/QCOM Earnings, Trump Presidency Impact on Semis, NVDA Preview

<ul>
<li>TSMC and UMC reported large increase in Oct sales: +25%  and +13% MoM. Impressive, but within the big trends: TSMC high growth plateau. UMC slow recovery period.</li>
<li>Semiconductor global sales growth is accelerating slightly: up 19% YoY over the previous 6 months and +23% YoY in Sept. Reflecting both sustained AI growth and a mass-markets bottoming out.</li>
<li>TSMC: valuations are high, not extreme, the stock is not breaking the NT$1,100 barrier. UMC at average valuations, at the bottom of its NT$45-55 trading range, maybe a short-term trade.</li>
</ul>


TSMC and UMC reported large increase in Oct sales: +25%  and +13% MoM. Impressive, but within the big trends: TSMC high growth plateau. UMC slow recovery period.
Semiconductor global sales growth is accelerating slightly: up 19% YoY over the previous 6 months and +23% YoY in Sept. Reflecting both sustained AI growth and a mass-markets bottoming out.
TSMC: valuations are high, not extreme, the stock is not breaking the NT$1,100 barrier. UMC at average valuations, at the bottom of its NT$45-55 trading range, maybe a short-term trade.


TSMC, UMC, Global Semi Monthly Sales: Small Acceleration

United States

QUALCOMM, Inc . manufactures digital wireless communications equipment.  The Company licenses its code division multiple access (CDMA) and orthogonal frequency division multiplexing access intellectual property to other companies, and produces CDMA-based integrated circuits; and produces equipment and software used to track workers and assets; and software for wireless content enablement.

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Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US)

TSMC (TSM.US, 2330.TT): Bright Outlook in 2022

2022 outlook being bright. Intel’s possible orders in 2023. iPhone 2023 will be designed by Apple. TSMC's continuing updated technology roadmap.

Patrick Liao

PC Monitor: Asustek & Lenovo Signal Strong PC Growth, AI PC Expansion in Process

Asustek, Acer, and Lenovo well-positioned for AI PC market growth, with Asus guiding for 20%+ YoY PC revenue growth in 4Q24E. AI PCs expected to...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech News This Week: TSMC, Samsung, Amazon / Nvidia, Super Micro, Smartphone ASP Increasing, AI PC

TSMC faces export restrictions to China. Korea offers subsidies to chipmakers, but faces labor issue. Amazon ramps up AI chip production. Chip...

Nicolas Baratte

Episode 93: Arm/QCOM Earnings, Trump Presidency Impact on Semis, NVDA Preview

In this episode of The Circuit podcast, various semiconductor companies including ARM, Qualcomm, Intel, and Nvidia are discussed, with a focus on...

The Circuit

TSMC, UMC, Global Semi Monthly Sales: Small Acceleration

TSMC and UMC report strong Oct sales growth, but remain on their bigger trends: TSMC on a high growth plateau, UMC in a slow recovery period.

Nicolas Baratte

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52-week Range

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TSMC (TSM.US, 2330.TT): Bright Outlook in 2022

2022 outlook being bright. Intel’s possible orders in 2023. iPhone 2023 will be designed by Apple. TSMC's continuing updated technology roadmap.

Patrick Liao

PC Monitor: Asustek & Lenovo Signal Strong PC Growth, AI PC Expansion in Process

​Asustek, Acer, and Lenovo well-positioned for AI PC market growth, with Asus guiding for 20%+ YoY PC revenue growth in 4Q24E. AI PCs expected to...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech News This Week: TSMC, Samsung, Amazon / Nvidia, Super Micro, Smartphone ASP Increasing, AI PC

​TSMC faces export restrictions to China. Korea offers subsidies to chipmakers, but faces labor issue. Amazon ramps up AI chip production. Chip...

Nicolas Baratte

Episode 93: Arm/QCOM Earnings, Trump Presidency Impact on Semis, NVDA Preview

In this episode of The Circuit podcast, various semiconductor companies including ARM, Qualcomm, Intel, and Nvidia are discussed, with a focus on...

The Circuit

TSMC, UMC, Global Semi Monthly Sales: Small Acceleration

​TSMC and UMC report strong Oct sales growth, but remain on their bigger trends: TSMC on a high growth plateau, UMC in a slow recovery period.

Nicolas Baratte

Asustek, Acer, and Lenovo well-positioned for AI PC market growth, with Asus guiding for 20%+ YoY PC revenue growth in 4Q24E. AI PCs expected to...

TSMC faces export restrictions to China. Korea offers subsidies to chipmakers, but faces labor issue. Amazon ramps up AI chip production. Chip...

TSMC and UMC report strong Oct sales growth, but remain on their bigger trends: TSMC on a high growth plateau, UMC in a slow recovery period.