Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Three quarters of the way through the review period, we forecast 10 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-price-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">Chinext Price Index (SZ399006 INDEX)</a> and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in June.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy +/-0.5 days of ADV for most inclusions and exclusions from the indices. On average, the impact on the potential deletions is higher.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last six months, and there has been a sharp widening of the gap over the last few weeks.</li>
</ul>


Three quarters of the way through the review period, we forecast 10 changes for the Chinext Price Index (SZ399006 INDEX) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in June.
Passive trackers will need to buy +/-0.5 days of ADV for most inclusions and exclusions from the indices. On average, the impact on the potential deletions is higher.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last six months, and there has been a sharp widening of the gap over the last few weeks.


ChiNext/​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Overlapping Stocks & Recent Outperformance

Equity Research in HK and Mainland China

Li Tang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Ministry of Finance released the NEV subsidy program for 2021, cutting them by 20% compared to the 2020 level for private purchases Xinhua reported. The subsidy for NEVs designated for public sector use, including buses, taxi, logistics, postal vehicles and public fleets, will be cut by 10% in 2021 from the 2020 level, coming into effect on 1 January 2021. The subsidies are dependent on a range of indicators including driving range and battery density.
<div>
China has bet big on NEVs as a strategically important industry, the government has five essential policy support tools for NEVs include reduced taxes, direct subsidies to manufacturers, consumer subsidies, mandated government procurements.
We are still positive on NEV makers (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Li Auto Inc. (LI US)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27399:1" rel="noopener">NIO Inc (NIO US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-motors" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29217:1" rel="noopener">Xpeng Motors (XPEV US)</a>) and NEV charging infrastructure (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-titans-energy-technology-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3953:1" rel="noopener">China Titans Energy Technology Group Co (2188 HK)</a> ,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ten-pao-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27241:1" rel="noopener">Ten Pao Group Holdings Ltd (1979 HK)</a> as both segments stand to gain from an improvement in NEV sales after NEV sales lagged the recovery in traditional auto sales, and with local governments providing various support measures.
</div>

Ministry of Finance released the NEV subsidy program for 2021, cutting them by 20% compared to the 2020 level for private purchases Xinhua reported. The subsidy for NEVs designated for public sector use, including buses, taxi, logistics, postal vehicles and public fleets, will be cut by 10% in 2021 from the 2020 level, coming into effect on 1 January 2021. The subsidies are dependent on a range of indicators including driving range and battery density.

China has bet big on NEVs as a strategically important industry, the government has five essential policy support tools for NEVs include reduced taxes, direct subsidies to manufacturers, consumer subsidies, mandated government procurements.
We are still positive on NEV makers (Li Auto Inc. (LI US) , NIO Inc (NIO US) and Xpeng Motors (XPEV US)) and NEV charging infrastructure (China Titans Energy Technology Group Co (2188 HK) ,  Ten Pao Group Holdings Ltd (1979 HK) as both segments stand to gain from an improvement in NEV sales after NEV sales lagged the recovery in traditional auto sales, and with local governments providing various support measures.


China Will Reduce Its Subsidies for Regular New Energy Vehicles by 20% in 2021

China full-year NEVs sales will reach 1.25m units this year, according to China Association of Auto Manufacturers (CAAM) which would bring cumulative sales to 5.06mn units, surpassing the 2016 target of 5mn units by 2020.CAAM forecasts are usually close to the market. China's NEV sales was 1.206 million units last year, representing a year-on-year drop of 4%.
CAAM also pointed out as part of the country's rural revitalisation strategy that central government is studying a new policy to promote the use of new energy vehicles (NEVs) in rural areas in 2021.Overall, autos have been the beneficiary of much policy action including the upgrade of VI emissions standards, supportive NEV policies, and trucks sales due to construction activity picking up, with profits increasing 6.6% in January-October.
We are positive on NEV makers (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Li Auto Inc. (LI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc" target="_blank" rel="noopener">NIO Inc (NIO US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-motors" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29217:1" rel="noopener">Xpeng Motors (XPEV US)</a> and NEV charging infrastructure <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-titans-energy-technology-group-co" target="_blank" rel="noopener">China Titans Energy Technology Group Co (2188 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ten-pao-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ten Pao Group Holdings Ltd (1979 HK)</a>.We believe both sectors stand to gain from an improvement in NEV sales after NEV sales lagged the recovery in traditional auto sales, and with local governments providing various support measures.

China full-year NEVs sales will reach 1.25m units this year, according to China Association of Auto Manufacturers (CAAM) which would bring cumulative sales to 5.06mn units, surpassing the 2016 target of 5mn units by 2020.CAAM forecasts are usually close to the market. China's NEV sales was 1.206 million units last year, representing a year-on-year drop of 4%.
CAAM also pointed out as part of the country's rural revitalisation strategy that central government is studying a new policy to promote the use of new energy vehicles (NEVs) in rural areas in 2021.Overall, autos have been the beneficiary of much policy action including the upgrade of VI emissions standards, supportive NEV policies, and trucks sales due to construction activity picking up, with profits increasing 6.6% in January-October.
We are positive on NEV makers (Li Auto Inc. (LI US), NIO Inc (NIO US) and Xpeng Motors (XPEV US) and NEV charging infrastructure China Titans Energy Technology Group Co (2188 HK), Ten Pao Group Holdings Ltd (1979 HK).We believe both sectors stand to gain from an improvement in NEV sales after NEV sales lagged the recovery in traditional auto sales, and with local governments providing various support measures.

China Expects to Surpass 2020 NEV Sales Target

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

The latest gathering of China’s National People’s Congress has produced some reassuring news for the domestic infrastructure sector. In our view, we should see a similar level of fixed-asset investment, or FAI, growth (8%-9%) in 2017, and the public-private partnership, or PPP, project financing method will play an increasingly instrumental role in infrastructure development. The National Development and Reform Commission, the nation’s top economic development planning agency, is targeting about 8% year-on-year FAI growth, with a heavy emphasis on transportation infrastructure development in both inland regions and prosperous coastal provinces. The implied growth target in 2017 is in line with our assumption and reinforces our view that infrastructure firms with heavy PPP exposure (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/265" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:265:1">China Communications Construction Co Ltd (1800 HK)</a>, or CCCC, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/265" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:265:1">China Communications Construction Co Ltd (1800 HK)</a>, or CSCI) are among the top beneficiaries in the latest transportation driven spending push. Our fair value estimates for no-moat CCCC and narrow-moat CSCI are unchanged at HKD 11.5 per share and HKD 14 per share, respectively, and we will revisit our valuations upon the release of annual results in late March.Analyst: John Hu

The latest gathering of China’s National People’s Congress has produced some reassuring news for the domestic infrastructure sector. In our view, we should see a similar level of fixed-asset investment, or FAI, growth (8%-9%) in 2017, and the public-private partnership, or PPP, project financing method will play an increasingly instrumental role in infrastructure development. The National Development and Reform Commission, the nation’s top economic development planning agency, is targeting about 8% year-on-year FAI growth, with a heavy emphasis on transportation infrastructure development in both inland regions and prosperous coastal provinces. The implied growth target in 2017 is in line with our assumption and reinforces our view that infrastructure firms with heavy PPP exposure (China Communications Construction Co Ltd (1800 HK), or CCCC, and China Communications Construction Co Ltd (1800 HK), or CSCI) are among the top beneficiaries in the latest transportation driven spending push. Our fair value estimates for no-moat CCCC and narrow-moat CSCI are unchanged at HKD 11.5 per share and HKD 14 per share, respectively, and we will revisit our valuations upon the release of annual results in late March.Analyst: John Hu

The Latest Government FAI Target Warrants Stable Growth Prospects for Infrastructure Sector

Founder, Supreme Peoples Court Monitor

Susan Finder

Founder

Supreme Peoples Court Monitor

About a year and a half ago, many of the major business media (<a href="https://www.ft.com/content/f4edabe4-d36e-11e4-a792-00144feab7de" target="_blank">Financial Times</a>, <a href="http://blogs.wsj.com/chinarealtime/2015/12/17/awash-in-duds-chinas-bad-banks-are-looking-good/" target="_blank">Wall Street Journal</a>, and <a href="http://blogs.wsj.com/chinarealtime/2015/12/17/awash-in-duds-chinas-bad-banks-are-looking-good/" target="_blank">Bloomberg</a>) reported on the sale of Chinese distressed assets on Taobao and other Chinese online platforms.  This note provides a quick look at what a search of Taobao turns up.From this <a href="https://zc-paimai.taobao.com/zc/npl.htm?spm=a219w.7976194.237368.4.jgJsfL" target="_blank">page</a> (asset exchange, distressed assets):<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/021/514/original/Screen%20Shot%202017-02-25%20at%209.00.13%20AM.png?1487984504" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="21514"></figure>the diligent person can review the type of assets being auctioned: real estate, creditors rights, intellectual property rights, and then further drill down on the…

About a year and a half ago, many of the major business media (Financial Times, Wall Street Journal, and Bloomberg) reported on the sale of Chinese distressed assets on Taobao and other Chinese online platforms.  This note provides a quick look at what a search of Taobao turns up.From this page (asset exchange, distressed assets):the diligent person can review the type of assets being auctioned: real estate, creditors rights, intellectual property rights, and then further drill down on the…

China

Qingdao TGOOD Electric Co Ltd designs and manufactures electrical transformers and provides related technical services.  The Company also provides system solutions for the electrical transformer substations.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Qingdao TGOOD Electric A (300001 CH)

ChiNext/ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Overlapping Stocks & Recent Outperformance

We forecast 10 changes to the ChiNext & 5 changes to the ChiNext50 in June. There are a few overlapping stocks & the potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

China Will Reduce Its Subsidies for Regular New Energy Vehicles by 20% in 2021

China Cuts Nev Subsidy in 2021,looking ahead from a policy perspective, removing local subsidies after 2022 should lead to greater consolidation in...

Li Tang

China Expects to Surpass 2020 NEV Sales Target

China's NEV market is expected to grow fast in next year thanks to government policies and other factors.We continue to be positive on the...

Li Tang

The Latest Government FAI Target Warrants Stable Growth Prospects for Infrastructure Sector

The latest gathering of China’s National People’s Congress has produced some reassuring news for the domestic infrastructure sector. In our view,...

Morningstar, Inc.

China Distressed Assets on Taobao

About a year and a half ago, many of the major business media (Financial Times, Wall Street Journal, and Bloomberg) reported on the sale of Chinese...

Susan Finder

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

ChiNext/​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Overlapping Stocks & Recent Outperformance

We forecast 10 changes to the ChiNext & 5 changes to the ChiNext50 in June. There are a few overlapping stocks & the potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

China Will Reduce Its Subsidies for Regular New Energy Vehicles by 20% in 2021

China Cuts Nev Subsidy in 2021,looking ahead from a policy perspective, removing local subsidies after 2022 should lead to greater consolidation in...

Li Tang

China Expects to Surpass 2020 NEV Sales Target

China's NEV market is expected to grow fast in next year thanks to government policies and other factors.We continue to be positive on the...

Li Tang

The Latest Government FAI Target Warrants Stable Growth Prospects for Infrastructure Sector

The latest gathering of China’s National People’s Congress has produced some reassuring news for the domestic infrastructure sector. In our view,...

Morningstar, Inc.

China Distressed Assets on Taobao

About a year and a half ago, many of the major business media (Financial Times, Wall Street Journal, and Bloomberg) reported on the sale of Chinese...

Susan Finder

ChiNext/ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Overlapping Stocks & Recent Outperformance