Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Consumer Staples ($962 million worth of outflows), Consumer Discretionary ($561 million worth of outflows) led the outflows (first chart below).</li>
<li>We highlight monthly outflows for CATL, Zhongji, Moutai, Wuliangye, Mindray.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Consumer Staples ($962 million worth of outflows), Consumer Discretionary ($561 million worth of outflows) led the outflows (first chart below).
We highlight monthly outflows for CATL, Zhongji, Moutai, Wuliangye, Mindray.


Northbound Flows (July): Two Months of Outflows

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Cambricon Technologies  Lt / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li><em>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</em></li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 11.4bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND sold everything. Seemed somewhat cap-weighted. Not a pretty flow picture. </li>
<li>A-Shares sharply underperformed HK indices, but AH spreads didn't recover the prior week's disaster. That said, there WAS dip-buying this week on the worst hit, which is unusual recently.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 11.4bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND sold everything. Seemed somewhat cap-weighted. Not a pretty flow picture. 
A-Shares sharply underperformed HK indices, but AH spreads didn't recover the prior week's disaster. That said, there WAS dip-buying this week on the worst hit, which is unusual recently.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 19 July 2024): A Big Broad Sell in Third Plenum Week

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 26th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,578.2 million, led by consumer staples, information technology, financials, and offset by consumer discretionary, health care, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Zijin Mining, Moutai, CATL, Zhongji Innolight, Wuliangye, Boe Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 26th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,578.2 million, led by consumer staples, information technology, financials, and offset by consumer discretionary, health care, utilities.
We highlight flows for Zijin Mining, Moutai, CATL, Zhongji Innolight, Wuliangye, Boe Technology.


Northbound Flows (Jul 26th): Zijin Mining, Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Wuliangye, Boe Technology

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The CSRC has approved <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a>'s application to issue H-shares to be listed on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Under the approval, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a> can issue up to 650.85m shares. Depending on the H-share discount, that could raise up to HK$43.6bn (US$5.6bn).</li>
<li>The IPO is likely to be smaller and will depend on market conditions and the discount demanded on the H-shares. That in turn will determine index inclusion for the H-shares.</li>
</ul>


The CSRC has approved Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)'s application to issue H-shares to be listed on the HKEX (388 HK). 
Under the approval, Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH) can issue up to 650.85m shares. Depending on the H-share discount, that could raise up to HK$43.6bn (US$5.6bn).
The IPO is likely to be smaller and will depend on market conditions and the discount demanded on the H-shares. That in turn will determine index inclusion for the H-shares.


Midea Group (000333 CH): CSRC Approval ✓; IPO Size Will Depend on H-Share Discount

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 103.3% as of Jun 21st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.5ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, communication services, consumer staples and offset by utilities, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC, Huadian.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 103.3% as of Jun 21st.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.5ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, communication services, consumer staples and offset by utilities, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC, Huadian.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 21st): China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC

China

Haier Smart Home Co. Ltd. manufactures and distributes appliances. The Company produces air conditioners, refrigerators, freezers, small household electrical appliances, and other related products. Haier Smart Home markets its products domestically and internationally.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Haier Smart Home (600690 CH)

Northbound Flows (July): Two Months of Outflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for July and highlight outflows for CATL, Zhongji, Moutai, Wuliangye, Mindray.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 19 July 2024): A Big Broad Sell in Third Plenum Week

NORTHBOUND saw selling again, making the strong buying blip two weeks ago just that. Selling across the heavyweights as A-shares underperformed HK....

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Jul 26th): Zijin Mining, Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Wuliangye, Boe Technology

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Zijin Mining, Moutai, CATL, Zhongji Innolight,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 21st): China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Northbound Flows (July): Two Months of Outflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for July and highlight outflows for CATL, Zhongji, Moutai, Wuliangye, Mindray.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 19 July 2024): A Big Broad Sell in Third Plenum Week

NORTHBOUND saw selling again, making the strong buying blip two weeks ago just that. Selling across the heavyweights as A-shares underperformed HK....

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Jul 26th): Zijin Mining, Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Wuliangye, Boe Technology

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Zijin Mining, Moutai, CATL, Zhongji Innolight,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Midea Group (000333 CH): CSRC Approval ✓; IPO Size Will Depend on H-Share Discount

The CSRC has approved Midea Group's application to list H-shares on the HKEX. The amount raised will depend on market conditions, investor...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 21st): China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM