Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Puregold has built an enormous moat in the Philippines around its hypermarket, supermarket, and discount/membership stores, which is evident on its steady growth in sales and profits amid challenging  environment. </li>
<li>Puregold has attractive valuations. Puregold is trading at attractive valuations of 2.7x EV/EBITDA, P/E of 8.6x, and P/B of 0.9x, based on 2025 consensus earnings estimates.</li>
<li>In the next several years, the Philippines is expected to move into the upper middle-income economy which should have a positive impact on the consumption-led categories including supermarkets and hypermarkets.</li>
</ul>


Puregold has built an enormous moat in the Philippines around its hypermarket, supermarket, and discount/membership stores, which is evident on its steady growth in sales and profits amid challenging  environment. 
Puregold has attractive valuations. Puregold is trading at attractive valuations of 2.7x EV/EBITDA, P/E of 8.6x, and P/B of 0.9x, based on 2025 consensus earnings estimates.
In the next several years, the Philippines is expected to move into the upper middle-income economy which should have a positive impact on the consumption-led categories including supermarkets and hypermarkets.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>From December 2022, the minimum free float requirement to be a part of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a> increases from 15% to 20%.</li>
<li>This could result in three deletions from the index which will result in three stocks being added to the index. Passive trackers selling the deletes will push the stocks lower.</li>
<li>The three current constituents could remain in the index if they sell stock to increase the free float. That would in turn put downward pressure on the stocks.</li>
</ul>


From December 2022, the minimum free float requirement to be a part of the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX) increases from 15% to 20%.
This could result in three deletions from the index which will result in three stocks being added to the index. Passive trackers selling the deletes will push the stocks lower.
The three current constituents could remain in the index if they sell stock to increase the free float. That would in turn put downward pressure on the stocks.


PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview Feb 23: Updated Methodology to Drive Changes

Semirara Mining And Power Corp / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semirara-mining-and-power-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18925:1" rel="noopener">Semirara Mining And Power Corp (SCC PM)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/security-bank-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3929:1" rel="noopener">Security Bank (SECB PM)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a> at the close of trading on 5 August.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy 5.5 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semirara-mining-and-power-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18925:1" rel="noopener">Semirara Mining And Power Corp (SCC PM)</a> and sell nearly 30 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/security-bank-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3929:1" rel="noopener">Security Bank (SECB PM)</a>.</li>
<li>Historically, the adds have outperformed the deletes and there has been a pop/drop in the adds/deletes the day after announcement. Square off existing pre-positions by mid week.</li>
</ul>



Semirara Mining And Power Corp (SCC PM) will replace Security Bank (SECB PM) in the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX) at the close of trading on 5 August.
Passive trackers will need to buy 5.5 days of ADV on Semirara Mining And Power Corp (SCC PM) and sell nearly 30 days of ADV on Security Bank (SECB PM).
Historically, the adds have outperformed the deletes and there has been a pop/drop in the adds/deletes the day after announcement. Square off existing pre-positions by mid week.


PCOMP Index Rebalance: Semirara Mining (SCC) Replaces Security Bank (SECB)

<ul>
<li>Cosco Holdings' stakes in Puregold Price Club and The Keepers Holding is worth US$1.1 billion, which is 176% higher than Cosco's current market cap.</li>
<li>Cosco Capital's dividend yield and dividend payout have been increasing nicely in the past several years from 1.5% in 2021 to 3% in 2022 and 8.8% in 2023.</li>
<li>We found Cosco Capital using Smartkarma's Smartscore Screener. We used three criteria including market cap, dividend score of 4 or more, and total SmartScore of 4 or more.</li>
</ul>


Cosco Holdings' stakes in Puregold Price Club and The Keepers Holding is worth US$1.1 billion, which is 176% higher than Cosco's current market cap.
Cosco Capital's dividend yield and dividend payout have been increasing nicely in the past several years from 1.5% in 2021 to 3% in 2022 and 8.8% in 2023.
We found Cosco Capital using Smartkarma's Smartscore Screener. We used three criteria including market cap, dividend score of 4 or more, and total SmartScore of 4 or more.


APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/99-speed-mart-retail-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40977:1" rel="noopener">99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings (99SPD MK)</a> raised around US$530m in its Malaysia IPO. The IPO had been a mix of primary and secondary shares.</li>
<li>99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings (99 Speedmart) operates the “99 Speedmart” chain of mini-market outlets, retailing daily necessities across Malaysia. </li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings (99SPD MK) raised around US$530m in its Malaysia IPO. The IPO had been a mix of primary and secondary shares.
99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings (99 Speedmart) operates the “99 Speedmart” chain of mini-market outlets, retailing daily necessities across Malaysia. 
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


99 Speedmart Holdings IPO Trading - Poised for a Steady Listing

Philippines

Puregold Price Club, Inc. operates wholesale and retail stores, including supermarkets.

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Puregold Price Club (PGOLD PM)

Asian Dividend Gems: Puregold Price Club

Puregold has built an enormous moat around its hypermarket, supermarket, and discount/membership stores, which is evident on its steady growth in...

Douglas Kim

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview Feb 23: Updated Methodology to Drive Changes

A methodology change that increases the minimum free float from 15% to 20% could result in 3 changes to the index. The three constituents will need...

Brian Freitas

PCOMP Index Rebalance: Semirara Mining (SCC) Replaces Security Bank (SECB)

Semirara Mining will replace Security Bank in the PCOMP at the close on 5 August. There are 5 trading days to implementation and passive fund...

Brian Freitas

Asian Dividend Gems: Cosco Capital

Cosco Holdings' stakes in Puregold Price Club and The Keepers Holding is worth US$1.1 billion, which is 176% higher than Cosco's current market cap.

Douglas Kim

99 Speedmart Holdings IPO Trading - Poised for a Steady Listing

99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings (99SPD MK) raised around US$530m in its Malaysia IPO. The IPO had been a mix of primary and secondary shares.

Clarence Chu

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