Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>EV Adoption in ASEAN is low compared to developed markets, however, development of a robust EV ecosystem remains a primary goal for the respective nations.</li>
<li>Governments in the region continues to introduce new policy measures and offer incentives to promote the sector, while companies continue to attract large investment to develop the EV market.</li>
<li>The four companies we looked at have reported earnings and we have discussed their latest results and our investment thesis.</li>
</ul>


EV Adoption in ASEAN is low compared to developed markets, however, development of a robust EV ecosystem remains a primary goal for the respective nations.
Governments in the region continues to introduce new policy measures and offer incentives to promote the sector, while companies continue to attract large investment to develop the EV market.
The four companies we looked at have reported earnings and we have discussed their latest results and our investment thesis.


ASEAN EV Ecosystem Update: Progressing Towards a Robust EV Ecosystem

Independent Asian Credit Research, Bondcritic

Warut Promboon

Independent Asian Credit Research

Asian Fixed Income/Frontier Market Research

Bondcritic

Bondcritic, established in 2009, is designed to be an independent credit research voice that helps investors gain insights and unbiased analyses on Asian fixed income market. Our mission is to discover deep-value Asian high-yield and distressed bonds with a bottom-up approach, together with the help of our proprietary ESG (Environmental, Social Development, and Governance) model. At the same time, we focus on bringing investment cases of unrated and unloved issuers to the general public.

Credit

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stark-corporation-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6337:1" rel="noopener">STARK Corporation (STARK TB) </a>(Stark) defaulted on its interest payments on 2-June, leading to a default event.</li>
<li>Stark’s default has exposed the structural weakness in the Thai bond market which is worth discussion.</li>
<li>We do not believe there is a reasonable basis for calculating the bond recovery value at this juncture.</li>
</ul>



STARK Corporation (STARK TB) (Stark) defaulted on its interest payments on 2-June, leading to a default event.
Stark’s default has exposed the structural weakness in the Thai bond market which is worth discussion.
We do not believe there is a reasonable basis for calculating the bond recovery value at this juncture.


Stark Corporation: Not the Guy from the Movie

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>U.S. chip restrictions have hobbled Hon Hai's China EV competition.</li>
<li>AI and advanced semiconductors will become a necessity for a globally competitive EV platform and Hon Hai appears to be moving aggressively to capture this opportunity.</li>
<li>The shares should see topline growth and major margin expansion into 2025, and the market appears to have not yet priced-in Hon Hai's latest advantageous position.</li>
</ul>


U.S. chip restrictions have hobbled Hon Hai's China EV competition.
AI and advanced semiconductors will become a necessity for a globally competitive EV platform and Hon Hai appears to be moving aggressively to capture this opportunity.
The shares should see topline growth and major margin expansion into 2025, and the market appears to have not yet priced-in Hon Hai's latest advantageous position.


Hon Hai: U.S. Chip Restrictions Vs. China Have Put Hon Hai in a Stronger Than Ever Position

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>I-Tail Corporation, an original equipment manufacturer (OEM) in the wet pet food category, aims to list in Thailand in 4Q22. ITC is a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-union-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:161:1" rel="noopener">Thai Union Group (TU TB)</a>. </li>
<li>As per ITC, it was the number two pet food company in Asia and in the top ten pet food companies globally. ITC expertise lies in fish-based wet pet food.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


I-Tail Corporation, an original equipment manufacturer (OEM) in the wet pet food category, aims to list in Thailand in 4Q22. ITC is a subsidiary of Thai Union Group (TU TB). 
As per ITC, it was the number two pet food company in Asia and in the top ten pet food companies globally. ITC expertise lies in fish-based wet pet food.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


I-Tail Corporation Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Non-Uniform Growth

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Dec 20th.We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in PTT, CP AXTRA NON-VOTING DR, Bangchak, Kasikornbank, Gulf Energy Development.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Dec 20th.We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in PTT, CP AXTRA NON-VOTING DR, Bangchak, Kasikornbank, Gulf Energy Development.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Dec 20th): PTT, CP AXTRA NON-VOTING DR, Bangchak, Kasikornbank

Thailand

PTT Public Company Limited operates as an oil and gas company. The Company produces, transports, and sells natural gas, crude oil, lubricants, aviation and marine, and petrochemical products. PTT offers fleet cards, storage, electronic bill presentment, and other related services. PTT serves customers in Thailand.

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PTT PCL (PTT TB)

ASEAN EV Ecosystem Update: Progressing Towards a Robust EV Ecosystem

Development of a robust EV ecosystem remains a primary goal and the governments in the ASEAN region continue to introduce new policy measures and...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Stark Corporation: Not the Guy from the Movie

Stark already defaulted on its interest payments on STARK239A and STARK249A . This is a classic fraud case where management could have siphoned...

Bondcritic

Hon Hai: U.S. Chip Restrictions Vs. China Have Put Hon Hai in a Stronger Than Ever Position

AI and advanced semiconductors will become a necessity for a globally competitive EV platform -- This means that U.S. chip restricitons for China...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

I-Tail Corporation Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Non-Uniform Growth

I-Tail Corporation, an original equipment manufacturer (OEM) in the wet pet food category, aims to list in Thailand in 4Q22. ITC is a subsidiary of...

Sumeet Singh

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Dec 20th): PTT, CP AXTRA NON-VOTING DR, Bangchak, Kasikornbank

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in PTT, CP AXTRA NON-VOTING DR, Bangchak,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

ASEAN EV Ecosystem Update: Progressing Towards a Robust EV Ecosystem

​Development of a robust EV ecosystem remains a primary goal and the governments in the ASEAN region continue to introduce new policy measures and...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Stark Corporation: Not the Guy from the Movie

Stark already defaulted on its interest payments on STARK239A and STARK249A . This is a classic fraud case where management could have siphoned...

Bondcritic

Hon Hai: U.S. Chip Restrictions Vs. China Have Put Hon Hai in a Stronger Than Ever Position

AI and advanced semiconductors will become a necessity for a globally competitive EV platform -- This means that U.S. chip restricitons for China...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

I-Tail Corporation Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Non-Uniform Growth

I-Tail Corporation, an original equipment manufacturer (OEM) in the wet pet food category, aims to list in Thailand in 4Q22. ITC is a subsidiary of...

Sumeet Singh

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Dec 20th): PTT, CP AXTRA NON-VOTING DR, Bangchak, Kasikornbank

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in PTT, CP AXTRA NON-VOTING DR, Bangchak,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Development of a robust EV ecosystem remains a primary goal and the governments in the ASEAN region continue to introduce new policy measures and...