CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Two stock remains, 12 stocks added into portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 168% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 82%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology
Portfolio changes: Two stock remains, 12 stocks added into portfolio
Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 168% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 82%


Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

<ul>
<li>We expect the energy sector to deliver a mixed performance in 3Q24E.</li>
<li>We maintain a Neutral investment rating on the sector, reflecting weak industry indicators in 2H24E (e.g., oil prices, refining margins, marketing margins).</li>
<li>In addition, we downgrade our recommendation for refinery stocks (BCP and TOP) to Outperform (from Buy) due to tactical factors, as their share prices have risen in line with improving refining margins. </li>
</ul>


We expect the energy sector to deliver a mixed performance in 3Q24E.
We maintain a Neutral investment rating on the sector, reflecting weak industry indicators in 2H24E (e.g., oil prices, refining margins, marketing margins).
In addition, we downgrade our recommendation for refinery stocks (BCP and TOP) to Outperform (from Buy) due to tactical factors, as their share prices have risen in line with improving refining margins. 


Industry Update - Energy (Upstream-Downstream)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Seven stocks remain, seven new join the fray</li>
<li>Ince inception, it has gained 112% versus the SET 100 Index’s return of 24%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Seven stocks remain, seven new join the fray
Ince inception, it has gained 112% versus the SET 100 Index’s return of 24%


The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 46

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The June 2024 index changes for Thailand's SET 50 index were announced after market close yesterday (17th June 2024).</li>
<li>Initially we <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-set50-jun-24-3-changes-likely-banpu-still-not-safe-from-deletion" target="_blank" rel="noopener">expected only three changes</a> but after the index methodology was revised in May 2024, we <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-set50-jun-24-banpu-vs-sawad-has-to-be-monitored-closely" target="_blank" rel="noopener">revised our expectations</a> and we had 4 expected ADDs/DELs.</li>
<li>All 4 expected ADDs/DELs turned out to correct. In this insight, we take a look at our estimation of expected flows and potential trade ideas based on the flow dynamics.</li>
</ul>


The June 2024 index changes for Thailand's SET 50 index were announced after market close yesterday (17th June 2024).
Initially we expected only three changes but after the index methodology was revised in May 2024, we revised our expectations and we had 4 expected ADDs/DELs.
All 4 expected ADDs/DELs turned out to correct. In this insight, we take a look at our estimation of expected flows and potential trade ideas based on the flow dynamics.


Quiddity SET 50 Jun 24 Rebal: 4 Changes Confirmed; LONGs up 5.2% Vs SHORTs in a Month

<ul><li>The prolonged interest rate upcycle and USD appreciation pose downside risks to global oil demand and crude oil prices.</li><li>Moreover, the initiation of new refining capacity is pressuring energy stock prices, especially those in the refinery sector.</li><li>Refinery stock prices have already reflected weaker refining margins and operating performance trends anticipated for 2Q24E. </li></ul>

The prolonged interest rate upcycle and USD appreciation pose downside risks to global oil demand and crude oil prices.Moreover, the initiation of new refining capacity is pressuring energy stock prices, especially those in the refinery sector.Refinery stock prices have already reflected weaker refining margins and operating performance trends anticipated for 2Q24E. 

Energy (Upstream-Downstream) - Weak 2Q24E Earnings for Refineries

Thailand

PTT Exploration and Production Public Company Limited explores for crude oil and natural gas, develops fields for production, and produces oil and natural gas. The Company is a subsidiary of the Petroleum Authority of Thailand.

PTT Exploration & Production P (PTTEP-R TB)

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PTT Exploration & Production P (PTTEP-R TB)

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 46

We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology. Portfolio changes: Two stock remains, 12 stocks added.

A. Stotz Investment Research

Industry Update - Energy (Upstream-Downstream)

We maintain a Neutral investment rating on the sector, reflecting weak industry indicators in 2H24E (e.g., oil prices, refining margins, marketing...

Krungthai XSpring

The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 46

We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Seven stocks remain, seven new...

A. Stotz Investment Research

Quiddity SET 50 Jun 24 Rebal: 4 Changes Confirmed; LONGs up 5.2% Vs SHORTs in a Month

Our sector-neutral trade ideas have generated a long-short return of 5.2% in a month which was significantly better than being LONG 4 Expected ADDs...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Energy (Upstream-Downstream) - Weak 2Q24E Earnings for Refineries

Refinery stock prices have already reflected weaker refining margins and operating performance trends anticipated for 2Q24E.

Krungthai XSpring

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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P/E

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