External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Equity Bottom-Up

Dayamitra Telekomunikasi PT / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>MTEL posted strong 4Q23 revenue growth, aiding inline FY23 earnings (+12.6% yoy) and EBITDA to reach critical mass at Rp6.9tr (+12.7% yoy).</li><li>We expect oFCF to turn positive in FY24 and raise our non-tower capex estimate. Our FY24F revenue are unchanged as we trim tenancies.</li><li>We maintain our Buy rating and TP of Rp960 on MTEL’s stronger growth outlook vs. peers, advantages in ex-Java and its attractive 9x EV/EBITDA.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

MTEL posted strong 4Q23 revenue growth, aiding inline FY23 earnings (+12.6% yoy) and EBITDA to reach critical mass at Rp6.9tr (+12.7% yoy).We expect oFCF to turn positive in FY24 and raise our non-tower capex estimate. Our FY24F revenue are unchanged as we trim tenancies.We maintain our Buy rating and TP of Rp960 on MTEL’s stronger growth outlook vs. peers, advantages in ex-Java and its attractive 9x EV/EBITDA.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Mitratel (MTEL) -  Becoming a Stronger M&A Player with Robust Revenue and OFCF Trends

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), MNC Sekuritas

MNC Sekuritas

MNC Sekuritas, the first wholly-owned subsidiary established by the Group back in 1989, provides a complete range of services, from equity, fixed income, investment banking to providing research to optimize clients’ investments. Thus far, the company has more than 140 points of sales with over 100,000 clients. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>MTEL substantiates its leading position in Indonesia’s digital infrastructure industry through both organic and several acquisitions of towers and fiber optics in FY23E, resulting in total 37,894 towers (41.55% inside Java and 58.45% ex-Java), estimation of 1.51x/1.55x tenancy ratio in FY23E/FY24E, and ~30,000 km of fiber optic rollouts in FY23E.</li><li>We forecast the revenue to grow at +11.4% YoY in FY23E and +9.9% YoY in FY24E, supported by the increasing income in tower leasing and fiber optics segments.</li><li>Preparing capex of ~IDR6 tn for FY24E, MTEL is in for the tender offer to acquire the shares of PT Inti Bangun Sejahtera Tbk (IBST) who owns 16,642 km of fiber optic, 3,383 towers with 5,791 tenants, and tenancy ratio of 1.71x.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

MTEL substantiates its leading position in Indonesia’s digital infrastructure industry through both organic and several acquisitions of towers and fiber optics in FY23E, resulting in total 37,894 towers (41.55% inside Java and 58.45% ex-Java), estimation of 1.51x/1.55x tenancy ratio in FY23E/FY24E, and ~30,000 km of fiber optic rollouts in FY23E.We forecast the revenue to grow at +11.4% YoY in FY23E and +9.9% YoY in FY24E, supported by the increasing income in tower leasing and fiber optics segments.Preparing capex of ~IDR6 tn for FY24E, MTEL is in for the tender offer to acquire the shares of PT Inti Bangun Sejahtera Tbk (IBST) who owns 16,642 km of fiber optic, 3,383 towers with 5,791 tenants, and tenancy ratio of 1.71x.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

MTEL IJ - MNC Sekuritas Equity Report February 16, 2024

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index July rebalance ended 30 June. The changes should be announced the last week of July, becoming effective after the close on 31 July.</li>
<li>Based on the index methodology, there could be up to 5 changes at the rebalance. Plus there will be capping changes for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat (BBRI)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA)</a>.</li>
<li>For a change, the impact on the potential inclusions will be higher since they will join the index with higher weights compared to the potential deletions.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index July rebalance ended 30 June. The changes should be announced the last week of July, becoming effective after the close on 31 July.
Based on the index methodology, there could be up to 5 changes at the rebalance. Plus there will be capping changes for Bank Rakyat (BBRI) and Bank Central Asia (BBCA).
For a change, the impact on the potential inclusions will be higher since they will join the index with higher weights compared to the potential deletions.


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (July): Identifying Potential Index Changes

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index ended on 31 December. The changes should be announced in the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 31 January.</li>
<li>We see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/waskita-karya-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15739:1" rel="noopener">Waskita Karya (Persero) (WSKT IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harum-energy-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1604:1" rel="noopener">Harum Energy (HRUM IJ)</a> as higher probability inclusions in the LQ45 Index.</li>
<li>Given the focus is on liquidity, we see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jasa-marga-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12747:1" rel="noopener">Jasa Marga (Persero) (JSMR IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumi-serpong-damai-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15498:1" rel="noopener">Bumi Serpong Damai (BSDE IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akr-corporindo-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13338:1" rel="noopener">AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ)</a> as higher probability deletion candidates.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index ended on 31 December. The changes should be announced in the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 31 January.
We see Waskita Karya (Persero) (WSKT IJ), BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) and Harum Energy (HRUM IJ) as higher probability inclusions in the LQ45 Index.
Given the focus is on liquidity, we see Jasa Marga (Persero) (JSMR IJ), Bumi Serpong Damai (BSDE IJ) and AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) as higher probability deletion candidates.


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Feb 2022): Potential Changes Later This Month

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Telco’s: Data Traffic and ARPU Trends Indonesia's economic growth is driven by investments in digital infrastructure, aiming for 79.5% penetration by 2024 and a USD1 trillion digital economy by 2030, aligning with the Golden Indonesia 2045 vision.</li><li>Meanwhile, competition among telco operators remains fierce. TLKM leads in data traffic and ARPU but faced an ARPU decline in Q3 2024, nearing 2021 levels, due to seasonal factors and a shift toward affordable packages like Telkomsel Lite, which increased data traffic.</li><li>XL and IOH demonstrated growth in both ARPU and data traffic, bolstered by successful price adjustments and confidence in user growth. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Telco’s: Data Traffic and ARPU Trends Indonesia's economic growth is driven by investments in digital infrastructure, aiming for 79.5% penetration by 2024 and a USD1 trillion digital economy by 2030, aligning with the Golden Indonesia 2045 vision.Meanwhile, competition among telco operators remains fierce. TLKM leads in data traffic and ARPU but faced an ARPU decline in Q3 2024, nearing 2021 levels, due to seasonal factors and a shift toward affordable packages like Telkomsel Lite, which increased data traffic.XL and IOH demonstrated growth in both ARPU and data traffic, bolstered by successful price adjustments and confidence in user growth. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Telco & Tower Sectoral Update November 25, 2024

Indonesia

PT Dayamitra Telekomunikasi operates as an infrastructure construction company. The Company constructs telecommunications towers. Dayamitra Telekomunikasi serves customers in Indonesia.

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Dayamitra Telekomunikasi PT (MTEL IJ)

Mitratel (MTEL) - Becoming a Stronger M&A Player with Robust Revenue and OFCF Trends

MTEL posted strong 4Q23 revenue growth, aiding inline FY23 earnings (+12.6% yoy) and EBITDA to reach critical mass at Rp6.9tr (+12.7% yoy).

BRI Danareksa Research

MTEL IJ - MNC Sekuritas Equity Report February 16, 2024

We forecast the revenue to grow at +11.4% YoY in FY23E and +9.9% YoY in FY24E, supported by the increasing income in tower leasing and fiber optics...

MNC Sekuritas

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (July): Identifying Potential Index Changes

We have identified 5 potential changes for the LQ45 Index in July. There will also be capping flows for BBCA and BBRI. Historically, adds and...

Brian Freitas

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Feb 2022): Potential Changes Later This Month

Changes to the LQ45 Index will be announced soon & become effective after the close on 31 Jan. We see three potential changes. The adds outperform...

Brian Freitas

Telco & Tower Sectoral Update November 25, 2024

Data Traffic and ARPU Trends Indonesia's economic growth is driven by investments in digital infrastructure, aiming for 79.5% penetration by 2024...

MNC Sekuritas

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