Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>PAG aims to raise around US$2bn via its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>PAG is an alternative investment firm focused on Asia-Pacific (APAC), it had approximately US$50bn in assets under management (AUM), as of Dec 21.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


PAG aims to raise around US$2bn via its Hong Kong IPO.
PAG is an alternative investment firm focused on Asia-Pacific (APAC), it had approximately US$50bn in assets under management (AUM), as of Dec 21.
In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.


PAG Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Planned Reorg Doesn't Sound Great

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Today, CCASS data showed that 700,000,047 Class A Shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> popped into existence in CCASS (from outside of CCASS the day before). Poof!</li>
<li>They showed up in Deutsche Bank's CCASS Participant account. Just like the 600,000,000 Class A Shares which popped in on 15 December 2021. </li>
<li>There's a thing here, and there are things going on in the background, but the things in the foreground are not as menacing as they appear. I explore and explain.</li>
</ul>


Today, CCASS data showed that 700,000,047 Class A Shares of JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) popped into existence in CCASS (from outside of CCASS the day before). Poof!
They showed up in Deutsche Bank's CCASS Participant account. Just like the 600,000,000 Class A Shares which popped in on 15 December 2021. 
There's a thing here, and there are things going on in the background, but the things in the foreground are not as menacing as they appear. I explore and explain.


JD.com's Musical Shares - Less Than You Think

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There has been an increase of 700m shares held in HK CCASS for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> on 11 April.</li>
<li>The largest part of 421.5m shares is likely the conversion of Class B to Class A shares following Richard Liu stepping down as CEO of the company.</li>
<li>The rest is unknown at this point but could be <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a> moving their shares to HK to sell-down and use the cash to buy back their own stock.</li>
</ul>


There has been an increase of 700m shares held in HK CCASS for JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) on 11 April.
The largest part of 421.5m shares is likely the conversion of Class B to Class A shares following Richard Liu stepping down as CEO of the company.
The rest is unknown at this point but could be Prosus (PRX NA) moving their shares to HK to sell-down and use the cash to buy back their own stock.


JD.com (9618 HK): CCASS Share Increase Driver & Potential Prosus Selldown

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>Placements continued to flow in, at a slower pace than last week, with Malaysia and ANZ chipping in.</li>
<li>While the HK IPO scene failed to produce anything noteworthy with its two listing, South Korea appears to be leading the charge, once again.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
Placements continued to flow in, at a slower pace than last week, with Malaysia and ANZ chipping in.
While the HK IPO scene failed to produce anything noteworthy with its two listing, South Korea appears to be leading the charge, once again.


ECM Weekly (3rd Apr 2022)- JD, Tencent, Prosus, One Store, SK Shieldus, FWD, Ferretti, Recbio, Belle

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> shares from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> in-specie dividend settled on 25 March. That has increased the number of CCASS shares and the Hong Kong free float.</li>
<li>Given the large trading volumes in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> on 25 March and 28 March, we expect most of the forced selling from the ADR allotment is done.</li>
<li>There will be selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> from active investors and the overhang from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a> holding. Buying from HSI/HSCEI trackers in June could help a bit.</li>
</ul>



JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) shares from the Tencent (700 HK) in-specie dividend settled on 25 March. That has increased the number of CCASS shares and the Hong Kong free float.
Given the large trading volumes in JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) on 25 March and 28 March, we expect most of the forced selling from the ADR allotment is done.
There will be selling in JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) from active investors and the overhang from the Prosus (PRX NA) holding. Buying from HSI/HSCEI trackers in June could help a bit.


JD.com (9618 HK): Passive Hang Seng Buying in June

China

Prosus N.V. provides internet based services. The Company focuses on investments in internet, digital media, e-commerce retailing, and consumer internet companies. Prosus serves customers worldwide.

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Prosus NV (PRX NA)

PAG Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Planned Reorg Doesn't Sound Great

PAG aims to raise around US$2bn via its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

JD.com's Musical Shares - Less Than You Think

JD.com saw a huge swing of 700 million shares into CCASS from outside of CCASS. This is much less ominous than it looks. It is almost certainly...

Travis Lundy

ECM Weekly (3rd Apr 2022)- JD, Tencent, Prosus, One Store, SK Shieldus, FWD, Ferretti, Recbio, Belle

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

JD.com (9618 HK): Passive Hang Seng Buying in June

JD.com stock from Tencent's in-specie div has settled. The increase in CCASS shares & free float will bring in buying from HSI/HSCEI trackers in...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

PAG Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Planned Reorg Doesn't Sound Great

PAG aims to raise around US$2bn via its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

JD.com's Musical Shares - Less Than You Think

JD.com saw a huge swing of 700 million shares into CCASS from outside of CCASS. This is much less ominous than it looks. It is almost certainly...

Travis Lundy

JD.com (9618 HK): CCASS Share Increase Driver & Potential Prosus Selldown

There has been a big increase in JD.com (9618 HK) CCASS shares. A large part should be a conversion of Class B to Class A shares. The missing piece...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (3rd Apr 2022)- JD, Tencent, Prosus, One Store, SK Shieldus, FWD, Ferretti, Recbio, Belle

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

JD.com (9618 HK): Passive Hang Seng Buying in June

JD.com stock from Tencent's in-specie div has settled. The increase in CCASS shares & free float will bring in buying from HSI/HSCEI trackers in...

Brian Freitas