New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm, Forsyth Barr

Forsyth Barr

New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm

We are proud to be a New Zealand owned firm, with 21 offices throughout the country and over 300 employees. We assist personal, institutional and corporate clients providing a full range of investment services.

Forsyth Barr is a foundation New Zealand Exchange firm (NZX) and accredited market participant. We have been confirmed by the Financial Markets Authority as a Qualifying Financial Entity (QFE).

Research is the cornerstone of our advice. We have one of New Zealand's leading teams of analysts. Our global affiliations ensure comprehensive research coverage of all major investment markets.

Equity Bottom-Up

Precinct Properties New Zealand / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We reinstate our rating on PCT at OUTPERFORM with a NZ$1.30/share 12 month target price.</li><li>Following the issuance of its convertible notes, PCT has one of the lowest geared balance sheets in the sector and has capital to invest in opportunities within its growing capital partnerships.</li><li>PCT has c.NZ$1.8bn (built value) of assets under management and believes it has a pathway to &gt;NZ$4.0bn, with the Auckland Downtown Carpark redevelopment a significant driver.</li></ul>

We reinstate our rating on PCT at OUTPERFORM with a NZ$1.30/share 12 month target price.Following the issuance of its convertible notes, PCT has one of the lowest geared balance sheets in the sector and has capital to invest in opportunities within its growing capital partnerships.PCT has c.NZ$1.8bn (built value) of assets under management and believes it has a pathway to &gt;NZ$4.0bn, with the Auckland Downtown Carpark redevelopment a significant driver.

Precinct Properties NZ - Growing the Partnerships

<ul>
<li>Precinct Properties (PCT) is making an offer of up to NZ$150m of subordinated convertible notes (Notes) (plus the ability for PCT to issue an additional NZ$50m at PCT's discretion across the two series of Notes).</li>
<li>The Notes can be converted into ordinary PCT shares after fixed terms of three and four years (subject to a cash election).</li>
<li>The notes will pay a fixed rate of interest above the three and four year swap rates and, if the PCT share price is above the individual Notes strike price at the end of their term, convert (or be cash settled) at a premium to their face value. </li>
</ul>


Precinct Properties (PCT) is making an offer of up to NZ$150m of subordinated convertible notes (Notes) (plus the ability for PCT to issue an additional NZ$50m at PCT's discretion across the two series of Notes).
The Notes can be converted into ordinary PCT shares after fixed terms of three and four years (subject to a cash election).
The notes will pay a fixed rate of interest above the three and four year swap rates and, if the PCT share price is above the individual Notes strike price at the end of their term, convert (or be cash settled) at a premium to their face value. 


Precinct Properties NZ - Offer for up to NZ200m of Convertible Notes

<ul><li>Precinct Properties (PCT) FY23 result was in line with guidance and Visible Alpha consensus expectations.</li><li>Higher rental and management fee income was partly offset by a lift in operating costs and increased interest rates.</li><li>Prime office market rents continue to increase and PCT believes its portfolio is now c.11% under-rented. </li></ul>

Precinct Properties (PCT) FY23 result was in line with guidance and Visible Alpha consensus expectations.Higher rental and management fee income was partly offset by a lift in operating costs and increased interest rates.Prime office market rents continue to increase and PCT believes its portfolio is now c.11% under-rented. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Following a torrid few months, a fall in long bond rates provided relief for the property sector in November.</li><li>1H24 results were generally uneventful, with the major surprise being Investore (IPL) cutting its dividend ahead of the tax changes next year.</li><li>We expect a few others will follow suit when guidance for FY25 is issued in May. On the positive side, Auckland Council approved the sale of the Downtown Carpark to Precinct (PCT). </li></ul>

Following a torrid few months, a fall in long bond rates provided relief for the property sector in November.1H24 results were generally uneventful, with the major surprise being Investore (IPL) cutting its dividend ahead of the tax changes next year.We expect a few others will follow suit when guidance for FY25 is issued in May. On the positive side, Auckland Council approved the sale of the Downtown Carpark to Precinct (PCT). 

Real Estate Reflections - On the Interest Rate Roller Coaster

<ul><li>It has been a bleak couple of months for the listed property sector.</li><li>The one-two punch of the proposed tax changes and higher for longer interest rates has seen the sector sell off -14% over the last three months.</li><li>This was the fourth largest three month correction since 1996, behind only the Asian debt crisis, the rapid rate hiking cycle in June last year, and the start of the COVID pandemic. </li></ul>

It has been a bleak couple of months for the listed property sector.The one-two punch of the proposed tax changes and higher for longer interest rates has seen the sector sell off -14% over the last three months.This was the fourth largest three month correction since 1996, behind only the Asian debt crisis, the rapid rate hiking cycle in June last year, and the start of the COVID pandemic. 

Real Estate Reflections - The Storm Before the Storm

New Zealand

Vital Healthcare Property Trust is a property trust that invests in and manages healthcare facilities in New Zealand and Australia.

Kiwi Property Group Ltd is a property trust that invests in, manages and develops a portfolio of diversified properties throughout New Zealand. The Trust's properties include office, retail and industrial properties.

Property for Industry Limited is a property company that invests in New Zealand industrial properties. The Company's property portfolio includes sites in Auckland, Hamilton, Tauranga, Wellington and Christchurch.

Argosy Property Limited invests in and manages retail, commercial and industrial properties in New Zealand.

Goodman Property Trust is a property trust that invests in, manages and develope portfolio of diversified property assets in Auckland. The Trust's portfolio comprises of office, industrial and retail properties.

Stride Stapled Group operates as a real estate investment company. The Company invests in a portfolio of places with enduring demand, as well as acquires retail properties. Stride Stapled conducts business in New Zealand.

Investore Property Limited operates as a real estate investment company. The Company invests in retail property assets. Investore Property also provides leasing services. Investore Property serves clients in New Zealand.

Asset Plus Limited carries on the business of a property company that invests in and manages commercial, industrial and retail properties. The Company's investment property portfolio consists of retail, commercial, and industrial properties located in New Zealand.

CDL Investments New Zealand Limited operates as a property investment and development company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, provide land-based investment and development, management and the provision of property services. CDL Investments New Zealand serves clients in New Zealand.

Champion REIT is a real estate investment trust. The Trust, through its subsidiaries, invests in a wide range of real estate properties, including offices and retail.

OUE Commercial Real Estate Investment Trust (“OUE C-REIT”) is one of the largest diversified Singapore REITs (“S-REITs”) with total assets of S$6.0 billion as at 31 December 2022. With seven properties across the commercial and hospitality segments in Singapore and Shanghai, the property portfolio comprises more than 2.1 million square feet of prime office and retail space, and 1,643 upper upscale hotel rooms.

OUE C-REIT invests in income-producing real estate used primarily for commercial purposes (including real estate used primarily for office and/or retail purposes) in financial and business hubs, hospitality and/or hospitality-related purposes, as well as real estate-related assets.

Sunway Real Estate Investment Trust invests in retail, office, and hotel properties.

Sunway Real Estate Investment Trust (SREIT MK)

Hulic Reit, Inc. is a real estate investment trust which mainly invests in real estate and securitized real estate products. The Company invests mainly in properties which are business offices, commercial buildings and nursing homes.

Paramount Group, Inc operates and manages Class A office properties. The Company provides asset management, leasing, acquisitions, redevelopment and financing. Paramount Group owns properties in New York City, Washington D.C. and San Francisco.

UMH Properties, Inc. is a real estate investment trust.  The trust owns and operates manufactured home communities located in New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Tennessee.

NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. operates as a REIT.  The Company owns and operates real estate properties in the United States, primarily Multi-family in the Southeast and Southwest.

Alexander's, Inc. leases, manages, develops and redevelops real estate properties. The Company focuses on properties in the metropolitan and suburban areas of New York City where its department stores had previously been located. Alexander's owns operating properties and properties undergoing redevelopment.

Charter Hall Retail REIT owns a portfolio of supermarkets and shopping centers located in non-metropolitan areas throughout Australia, New Zealand and the United States.

Japan Excellent, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT), which mainly invests in office buildings in Tokyo area and major cities in Japan.

Precinct Properties New Zealand Ltd. invests in manages and leases commercial office properties. The Company invests in properties in Auckland and Wellington.

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Precinct Properties New Zealand (PCT NZ)

Precinct Properties NZ - Growing the Partnerships

PCT has c.NZ$1.8bn (built value) of assets under management and believes it has a pathway to >NZ$4.0bn, with the Auckland Downtown Carpark...

Forsyth Barr

Precinct Properties NZ - Offer for up to NZ200m of Convertible Notes

The Notes can be converted into ordinary PCT shares after fixed terms of three and four years (subject to a cash election).

Forsyth Barr

Precinct Properties NZ - FY23 Result

Precinct Properties (PCT) FY23 result was in line with guidance and Visible Alpha consensus expectations. Higher rental and management fee income...

Forsyth Barr

Real Estate Reflections - On the Interest Rate Roller Coaster

1H24 results were generally uneventful, with the major surprise being Investore (IPL) cutting its dividend ahead of the tax changes next year.

Forsyth Barr

Real Estate Reflections - The Storm Before the Storm

The one-two punch of the proposed tax changes and higher for longer interest rates has seen the sector sell off -14% over the last three months.

Forsyth Barr

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