Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Following on from our previous note, we now identify inexpensive consistent compounders from the small and mid-cap universe in Asia ($1 - $5 bn in market capitalization).</li>
<li>28 stocks are on our list - 18 from onshore China, 5 from India, 2 each from Japan and Taiwan and 1 from Hong Kong.</li>
<li>Industrials, technology, healthcare and financials dominate the list. The list of large and mid-cap compounders shall largely form the backbone of our top stock choices for 2025.</li>
</ul>


Following on from our previous note, we now identify inexpensive consistent compounders from the small and mid-cap universe in Asia ($1 - $5 bn in market capitalization).
28 stocks are on our list - 18 from onshore China, 5 from India, 2 each from Japan and Taiwan and 1 from Hong Kong.
Industrials, technology, healthcare and financials dominate the list. The list of large and mid-cap compounders shall largely form the backbone of our top stock choices for 2025.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Vanguard Intl Semiconductor / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 13 changes for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in June. The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) has an AUM of US$6.4bn.</li>
<li>One-Way turnover is estimated at 41% and that will result in a round-trip trade of TWD 168.8bn (US$5.2bn). There are 16 stocks that could have over 4x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The rebalance will be implemented over 8 trading days and the ETF has started trading the stocks last week.</li>
</ul>


There are 13 changes for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in June. The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) has an AUM of US$6.4bn.
One-Way turnover is estimated at 41% and that will result in a round-trip trade of TWD 168.8bn (US$5.2bn). There are 16 stocks that could have over 4x ADV to trade.
The rebalance will be implemented over 8 trading days and the ETF has started trading the stocks last week.


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: 13 Changes & US$5.2bn Round-Trip Trade

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>Three major catalysts of Poya International include easing of mask mandates/COVID restrictions, strong growth in dividends and earnings, and market share gains from competitors. </li>
<li>Poya International is the dominant supplier of cosmetics, health care products, personal care products and household products in Taiwan.</li>
<li>The company continues to execute its business strategy better than its competitors and this is evidenced in its strong growth in profits and dividends in the past year. </li>
</ul>


Three major catalysts of Poya International include easing of mask mandates/COVID restrictions, strong growth in dividends and earnings, and market share gains from competitors. 
Poya International is the dominant supplier of cosmetics, health care products, personal care products and household products in Taiwan.
The company continues to execute its business strategy better than its competitors and this is evidenced in its strong growth in profits and dividends in the past year. 


Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy, Urbem (HK) Limited

Steven Chen

Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>"The person that turns over the most rocks wins the game;"</li>
<li>This is why we would like to explore every corner on this planet, including places like Taiwan, in search of alpha-generating businesses;</li>
<li>Despite the scant attention among stock pickers, the region by no means lacks high-quality businesses, in our view;</li>
<li>To showcase, we list some of our top picks from a quality perspective (meaning no consideration of the current valuation).</li>
</ul>


"The person that turns over the most rocks wins the game;"
This is why we would like to explore every corner on this planet, including places like Taiwan, in search of alpha-generating businesses;
Despite the scant attention among stock pickers, the region by no means lacks high-quality businesses, in our view;
To showcase, we list some of our top picks from a quality perspective (meaning no consideration of the current valuation).


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p style="text-align: justify;">With the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) breaking below our $70 “line in the sand” support level we highlighted last week, we believe additional downside is likely and that the path of least resistance is lower for global equities. Considering the damage done to major indexes around the world, any potential bottom is likely to take months to develop and until we see evidence of this repair process we want to be positioned primarily in Sectors with defensive characteristics. Of course, there will be major <em>countertrend </em>rallies along the way, but for now the trend is lower and we would treat rallies as selling opportunities. We outline important technical levels across all markets and highlight actionable opportunities within EM, and the Services and Staples Sectors.</p>

With the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) breaking below our $70 “line in the sand” support level we highlighted last week, we believe additional downside is likely and that the path of least resistance is lower for global equities. Considering the damage done to major indexes around the world, any potential bottom is likely to take months to develop and until we see evidence of this repair process we want to be positioned primarily in Sectors with defensive characteristics. Of course, there will be major countertrend rallies along the way, but for now the trend is lower and we would treat rallies as selling opportunities. We outline important technical levels across all markets and highlight actionable opportunities within EM, and the Services and Staples Sectors.

ACWI Below Our Line In The Sand: Further Weakness Expected

Taiwan

Poya International Co., Ltd. operates the chain retail stores through Taiwan.  The Company carries personal care products, housewares, small appliances, stationeries, and snacks.

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Poya International (5904 TT)

Asian Equities: The SMID Compounders

We identify 28 inexpensive consistent compounders among the Asian small and mid-cap stocks. Onshore China (18) and India (5) dominate the list, as...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: 13 Changes & US$5.2bn Round-Trip Trade

There are 13 changes for the index in June. One-way turnover is estimated at 41% resulting in a round-trip trade of TWD 168.8bn (US$5.2bn). There...

Brian Freitas

Poya International: Key Catalysts

Three major catalysts of Poya International include easing of mask mandates/COVID restrictions, strong growth in dividends and earnings, and market...

Douglas Kim

Three Quality Picks From Taiwan

"The person that turns over the most rocks wins the game." This is why we would like to explore every corner on this planet, including places like...

Steven Chen

ACWI Below Our Line In The Sand: Further Weakness Expected

With the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) breaking below our $70 “line in the sand” support level we highlighted last week, we believe additional downside is...

Vermilion Research

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