Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Our aggregate analysis of the 1Q23 earnings season showed a more balanced beat/miss ratio than 4Q22 likely due to already-downgraded forecasts presenting a lower expectations hurdle.</li>
<li>Semiconductor's inventory situation overall appeared to get worse in 1Q23... Excess inventory digestion is still a few quarters away for many semiconductor companies. Margins fell to the last cycle lows.</li>
<li>Hardware showed small signs of overall inventory improvement. Margins fell further but remained pretty high relative to the previous cycle.</li>
</ul>


Our aggregate analysis of the 1Q23 earnings season showed a more balanced beat/miss ratio than 4Q22 likely due to already-downgraded forecasts presenting a lower expectations hurdle.
Semiconductor's inventory situation overall appeared to get worse in 1Q23... Excess inventory digestion is still a few quarters away for many semiconductor companies. Margins fell to the last cycle lows.
Hardware showed small signs of overall inventory improvement. Margins fell further but remained pretty high relative to the previous cycle.


Taiwan Tech: Insights from 1Q23 Earnings Season Into Where We Are in the Cycle

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The steep part of the chip collapse has run its course, and prices are now following cost</li>
<li>Revenues will rise once demand growth fully offsets price decreases, probably in the fourth quarter</li>
<li>The market will regain profitability only after a new shortage develops, which may be the middle of 2024</li>
</ul>


The steep part of the chip collapse has run its course, and prices are now following cost
Revenues will rise once demand growth fully offsets price decreases, probably in the fourth quarter
The market will regain profitability only after a new shortage develops, which may be the middle of 2024


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 12th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Wistron, Novatek, Nan Ya Printed.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 12th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.4bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Wistron, Novatek, Nan Ya Printed.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 12th): Wistron, Novatek, Nan Ya Printed

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 5th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine, Unimicron Tech, Largan Precision, Powerchip Semico, Taiwan Mobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 5th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine, Unimicron Tech, Largan Precision, Powerchip Semico, Taiwan Mobile.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 5th): Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine

<ul>
<li>We analyze increase in institutional ownership across our Taiwan Tech universe.</li>
<li>Realtek, Nuvoton, Powerchip, Faraday Technology stand out as stocks that have had rising institutional ownership but have traded flat over the same period. Realtek will have earnings April 21st.</li>
<li>Advanced Energy has fallen in price even as institutions appear to have accumulated the stock.</li>
</ul>


We analyze increase in institutional ownership across our Taiwan Tech universe.
Realtek, Nuvoton, Powerchip, Faraday Technology stand out as stocks that have had rising institutional ownership but have traded flat over the same period. Realtek will have earnings April 21st.
Advanced Energy has fallen in price even as institutions appear to have accumulated the stock.


Ten Taiwan Tech Stocks With Largest Rising Institutional Ownership

Taiwan

Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing Corporation develops, manufactures, and distirbutes advanced memory components. The Company produces power integrated circuits, discrete components, image sensors, integrated memory chips and other products. Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing conducts businesses across worldwide.

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Powerchip Semiconductor Manufa (6770 TT)

Taiwan Tech: Insights from 1Q23 Earnings Season Into Where We Are in the Cycle

Semiconductor's inventory situation got worse in 1Q23... Excess inventory digestion is still a few quarters away for many semiconductor companies....

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Where Are We in the Semiconductor Cycle?

Will the semiconductor market turn around? Revenues are likely to regain modest growth in the fourth quarter, but profits shouldn't return until...

Jim Handy

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 12th): Wistron, Novatek, Nan Ya Printed

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wistron, Novatek, Nan Ya Printed.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 5th): Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Ten Taiwan Tech Stocks With Largest Rising Institutional Ownership

Realtek, Nuvoton, Powerchip, Faraday Technology stand out as stocks that have had rising institutional ownership but have traded flat over the same...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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