Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a> index constituents in May 2021.</li>
<li>News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.</li>
<li>There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.</li>
</ul>


Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 index constituents in May 2021.
News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.
There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.


Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>A Democratic Party insider noted some proposals need legal tweaks, so the December 10 deadline may slip, but they’re set on passing the expanded director loyalty duty.</li>
<li>FKI analyzed top conglomerates’ shareholder structures and found four of the top 10 facing substantial risks.</li>
<li>We need more clarity before jumping in, but with MBK driving Korea's hostile M&amp;A scene and the Commercial Act amendments, local chaebols facing control battles are a key KOSPI theme.</li>
</ul>


A Democratic Party insider noted some proposals need legal tweaks, so the December 10 deadline may slip, but they’re set on passing the expanded director loyalty duty.
FKI analyzed top conglomerates’ shareholder structures and found four of the top 10 facing substantial risks.
We need more clarity before jumping in, but with MBK driving Korea's hostile M&amp;A scene and the Commercial Act amendments, local chaebols facing control battles are a key KOSPI theme.


Korea Pushes to Expand Director’s Duty of Loyalty: Focus on Hostile Takeover-Risk Conglomerates

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>As interest in the Emerging Markets Ex-China space grows, we have sourced data on 30 actively managed strategies that provide filings for us to analyse.</li>
<li>Combined AUM has gradually increased among all strategies to $1.67bn.  Remains a long behind the $17.6bn AUM of the iShares MSCI EM Ex-China ETF</li>
<li>Developed markets and Argentina O/W.  India, Saudi Arabia, and Taiwan U/W.  TSMC universally owned, SK Hynix and Samsung prominent.  POSCO unloved.</li>
</ul>


As interest in the Emerging Markets Ex-China space grows, we have sourced data on 30 actively managed strategies that provide filings for us to analyse.
Combined AUM has gradually increased among all strategies to $1.67bn.  Remains a long behind the $17.6bn AUM of the iShares MSCI EM Ex-China ETF
Developed markets and Argentina O/W.  India, Saudi Arabia, and Taiwan U/W.  TSMC universally owned, SK Hynix and Samsung prominent.  POSCO unloved.


EM Ex-China: First Look at Active Positioning

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Oct 11th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD4.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Posco, Shinhan Group.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Oct 11th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD4.7bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Posco, Shinhan Group.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 11th): Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Posco, Shinhan Group

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Oct 11th which has an aggregated holding worth USD532.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD61mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Sk Hynix, Hanwha Aerospace, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics, Samsung Elec (PREF).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Oct 11th which has an aggregated holding worth USD532.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD61mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Sk Hynix, Hanwha Aerospace, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics, Samsung Elec (PREF).


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 11th): Sk Hynix, Hanwha Aerospace, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics

South Korea

POSCO Holdings Inc. manufactures and distributes steel products. The Company produces crude steel, hot rolled steel, cold rolled steel, stainless steel, steel plates, wire rods, galvanized steel, electrical steel, and other related products. POSCO Holdings markets its products worldwide.

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POSCO Holdings (005490 KS)

Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Media reports indicate that there could be a temporary short sell ban in Korea. This could lead to futures backwardation, market manipulation and a...

Brian Freitas

Korea Pushes to Expand Director’s Duty of Loyalty: Focus on Hostile Takeover-Risk Conglomerates

Korea’s majority party is doubling down on expanding the director’s duty of loyalty to include shareholders. This post spotlights on major chaebols...

Sanghyun Park

EM Ex-China: First Look at Active Positioning

India becomes key underweight among active Emerging Market Ex-China funds. Argentina, Mexico and Developed Markets strategic overweights.

Steven Holden

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 11th): Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Posco, Shinhan Group

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Posco, Shinhan Group.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 11th): Sk Hynix, Hanwha Aerospace, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Sk Hynix, Hanwha Aerospace, Korzinc, Samsung...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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