Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-dx-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5198:1" rel="noopener">Posco DX (022100 KS)</a> has applied to the KRX for a transfer from the KOSDAQ market to the KOSPI market.</li>
<li>Based on history, the approval for the transfer and the listing change could take place in the next two months.</li>
<li>That means a deletion from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> and inclusion in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a>. But the timeline is important. </li>
</ul>



Posco DX (022100 KS) has applied to the KRX for a transfer from the KOSDAQ market to the KOSPI market.
Based on history, the approval for the transfer and the listing change could take place in the next two months.
That means a deletion from the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) and inclusion in the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX). But the timeline is important. 


POSCO DX (022100 KS): Index Impact of KOSDAQ to KOSPI Transfer

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>Korea Exchange is planning to change the criteria for rebalancing stocks in the KOSPI 200 index. </li>
<li>The purpose of this change is to prevent stocks that surge ahead of the actual KOSPI 200 inclusion but fall significantly after the inclusion announcement.</li>
<li>We think there is a 70-80%+ probability that POSCO DX and L&amp;F Co will be included in KOSPI 200 index in December 2023.</li>
</ul>


Korea Exchange is planning to change the criteria for rebalancing stocks in the KOSPI 200 index. 
The purpose of this change is to prevent stocks that surge ahead of the actual KOSPI 200 inclusion but fall significantly after the inclusion announcement.
We think there is a 70-80%+ probability that POSCO DX and L&amp;F Co will be included in KOSPI 200 index in December 2023.


KOSPI 200 Rebalance Candidates in December 2023 & Changes to the KOSPI 200 Rebalance Process

<ul>
<li>Following the short sell ban announced on the weekend, the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a> opened higher on Monday and rallied through the day.</li>
<li>A lot of the intraday gains on Monday have been given up over the next two trading days. Surprisingly, KRX data indicates that not a lot of shorts have covered.</li>
<li>Foreigners have been net cash buyers since Monday (could indicate covering of offshore borrow) while retail were big sellers on Monday.</li>
</ul>


Following the short sell ban announced on the weekend, the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 opened higher on Monday and rallied through the day.
A lot of the intraday gains on Monday have been given up over the next two trading days. Surprisingly, KRX data indicates that not a lot of shorts have covered.
Foreigners have been net cash buyers since Monday (could indicate covering of offshore borrow) while retail were big sellers on Monday.


Korea Short Sell Ban: Not a Lot Covered on Monday; Shorts Holding On?

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a> index constituents in May 2021.</li>
<li>News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.</li>
<li>There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.</li>
</ul>


Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 index constituents in May 2021.
News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.
There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.


Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Mar 15th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD7.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Sk Hynix, Posco Dx, Kum Yang, Samsung Biologic, Samsung SDI, Kia, Hyundai Motor.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Mar 15th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD7.5bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Sk Hynix, Posco Dx, Kum Yang, Samsung Biologic, Samsung SDI, Kia, Hyundai Motor.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 15th): Sk Hynix, Posco Dx, Kum Yang, Samsung Biologic, Samsung SDI

South Korea

Hyundai Autoever Corp. provides information technology services. The Company offers system integration, system management, information system development, and other services. Hyundai Autoever offers services worldwide.

Cafe24 Corp. provides electronic commerce services. The Company offers web hosting, server hosting, e-commerce hosting, e-commerce marketing consulting, and other web services. Cafe24 provides services worldwide.

KCP Co., Ltd. concentrates on developing enterprise-wide technology solutions to the retail industry.  The Company offers fully integrated retail automation solutions, including point of sale solutions (POS), back office management systems, goods storage managements.  KCP also provides POS related hardware such as bar-scanners as a Korean agency of IBM.

Lotte Data Communication Company provides information technology services. The Company offers digital transformation, cloud computing, data processing, automation, and analysis solutions. Lotte Data Communication serves customers globally.

Korea Information & Communications Co Ltd develops and provides transaction-based online services such as automatic transfer of credit sales and electronic deposit and withdrawal.  The Company applies these services for all types of credit cards, debit cards, and department store cards.

KG Inicis Co., Ltd. develops and provides e-commerce settlement processing services through the electronic payment software used in Internet shopping malls.  The Company also operates an online marketplace, which allows online shopping and auction.

Danal Co., Ltd. specializes in developing and providing cellular mobile telephone services.  The Company's products include ring tones, games, color graphics, instant messenger and entertainment, and mobile payments through Internet and mobile devices.

Korea Digital Communications Corp. designs, installs, and maintains local access networks (LANs).  The Company also manufactures networking products and data transmission devices, such as modems, multiplexers, and remote access servers. KDC also offers networking solutions.

DB Inc. provides IT services including application outsourcing, infrastructure outsourcing, cloud service and integrated maintenance and repair. The Company also operates trading business and manufacures electronic material s such as adhesives and magnetic powder cores.

KGMobilians Co Ltd develops and offers electronic payment solutions. The Company's services include agency business for payment settlement through general phone, cellular phone, and Internet.

NS Solutions Corporation operates system consulting services and proposal of solutions.  The Company also manages operation and maintenance of engineering systems and develops software.

Teradata Corp operates as a database management company in the technology industry. The company offers analytic data solutions through integrated data warehousing, big data analytics, and business applications.  Teradata Corp collaborates with leading innovators in software, technology, and integration services.

GMO Payment Gateway, Inc. provides credit card transaction services for electronic commerce firms.

Nihon Unisys, Ltd. wholesales and leases computers and peripheral equipment, and also develops various types of computer software.  The Company's main products include server systems and various type of software for financial, engineering, retail, and manufacturing industries.

TIS Inc is established through reorganization.  The Company provides network solutions and system integration services.  IT Holdings also engages in development, implementation, and maintenance of application software besides selling computer and computer peripheral equipment.

Euronet Worldwide, Inc. provides electronic financial transaction solutions. The Company offers financial payment middleware, financial network gateways, outsourcing, and consulting services to financial institutions and mobile operators.  Euronet has processing centers located in the United States, Europe, and Asia.

The Western Union Company offers global money transfer services. The Company offers consumer to consumer money transfer and bill paying services, and sells money orders.

Travelsky Technology Limited provides information technology solutions for China's air travel and tourism industries.  The Company provides electronic travel distribution systems, or ETD, in China, develops airport passenger processing and air cargo systems, owns and operates real-time network for China's civil aviation industry, and operates Internet-based travel platform.

Perficient, Inc. is an information technology consulting firm. The Firm designs and delivers business-driven information technology solutions, such as business analysis, portal, content management, business integration/SOA, commerce. business intelligence and customer relation management (CRM). Perficient serves clients from a network of domestic and global locations.

Indra Sistemas, S.A. offers information technology products and services.  The Company offers systems integration and outsourcing services, installs railway management and ticketing systems, installs road traffic toll and signaling systems, constructs satellite communications systems, manufactures radar air defense systems, and installs insurance management systems.

Posco DX Company Ltd. provides information and technology services. The Company provides computer systems design, computer and server merchant wholesale, computer and office machine repair and maintenance services. Posco DX also offers eic engineering, smart factory, wireless networking equipment, steel manufacturing, and digital video recorder manufacturing services.

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Posco DX (022100 KS)