Equity Research in HK and Mainland China

Li Tang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The China Development Bank has issued the first special loan for guaranteeing property in Shenyang, capital of Liaoning province, and resumption of qualified stalled projects.</li>
<li>We believe, even if the policy side is eased, the stimulus to housing demand is still limited</li>
<li>We maintain preferences for high-quality, lower-leveraged developers, mostly state-owned developers.</li>
</ul>


The China Development Bank has issued the first special loan for guaranteeing property in Shenyang, capital of Liaoning province, and resumption of qualified stalled projects.
We believe, even if the policy side is eased, the stimulus to housing demand is still limited
We maintain preferences for high-quality, lower-leveraged developers, mostly state-owned developers.


First Special Loan for Guaranteeing Property Deliveries Issued to Shenyang City

<ul>
<li>Following the repeated calls for stability of the economy and the housing market, local governments are stepping up support.</li>
<li>More cities cut the down-payment ratio for the first home buyers</li>
<li>In 2022 we expect a nuanced policy response to the downturn in the housing market:</li>
</ul>


Following the repeated calls for stability of the economy and the housing market, local governments are stepping up support.
More cities cut the down-payment ratio for the first home buyers
In 2022 we expect a nuanced policy response to the downturn in the housing market:


<ul>
<li>Relevant government departments have reportedly issued opinions on the supervision of presales funds</li>
<li>Property lending dropped YoY in January despite adequate liquidity in last month</li>
<li>We think policy support is still inadequate and should step up in the real estate sector on the demand-side</li>
</ul>


Relevant government departments have reportedly issued opinions on the supervision of presales funds
Property lending dropped YoY in January despite adequate liquidity in last month
We think policy support is still inadequate and should step up in the real estate sector on the demand-side


China Plan Easing Rules on Presales Funds Held in Escrow

<ul>
<li>Some developers have been informed by banks that M&amp;A loans will not be counted in the "three red lines" if these loans are used for takeovers of insolvent companies' projects</li>
<li>Stronger state and private developers will be given funding support for project-level M&amp;A</li>
<li>The impact of credit policy plus local level policy shifts will be continued</li>
</ul>


Some developers have been informed by banks that M&amp;A loans will not be counted in the "three red lines" if these loans are used for takeovers of insolvent companies' projects
Stronger state and private developers will be given funding support for project-level M&amp;A
The impact of credit policy plus local level policy shifts will be continued


Developers Informed by Banks that M&A Loans Are Excluded from Three Red Lines

<ul>
<li>Wang Menghui, Minister of MOHURD, gave an interview with Xinhua News .</li>
<li>As ministry did not release the report of their post-CEWC meeting, his words in the interview help set the tone for their work plans for next year.</li>
<li>He reiterated that "houses are for living in, not speculation" and "refrain from using real estate as a short-term means for stimulating the economy".</li>
</ul>


Wang Menghui, Minister of MOHURD, gave an interview with Xinhua News .
As ministry did not release the report of their post-CEWC meeting, his words in the interview help set the tone for their work plans for next year.
He reiterated that "houses are for living in, not speculation" and "refrain from using real estate as a short-term means for stimulating the economy".


China Housing Ministry Flags Key Tasks for Next Year

China

Poly Real Estate Group Co., Ltd. mainly develops and sells residential homes. The company is also in the business of leasing and rental of real estates, and property management.

Poly Real Estate Group Co., Ltd (600048 CH)

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Poly Real Estate Group Co., Ltd (600048 CH)

First Special Loan for Guaranteeing Property Deliveries Issued to Shenyang City

We maintain preferences for high-quality, lower-leveraged developers, mostly state-owned, We view the home completion-side will to benefit...

Li Tang

China Cities Start Cutting Down-Payments

In terms of the investment impact, we expect the home market recovery to continue to be differentiated by region and developer

Li Tang

China Plan Easing Rules on Presales Funds Held in Escrow

Recovery of the real estate sector is still reliant on the demand side, which should take longer to recover as people wait for policy support and...

Li Tang

Developers Informed by Banks that M&A Loans Are Excluded from Three Red Lines

We maintain our view that state-backed developers would take the advantage to obtain quality assets and gain market share, of which our recommends

Li Tang

China Housing Ministry Flags Key Tasks for Next Year

We believe prefab and green construction will be supported China's push for affordable rental housing during the 14th Five-Year period

Li Tang

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