Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Our flash checks across a couple of dealers indicate pressure on margins across the industry. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/voltas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19924:1" rel="noopener">Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN)</a> is trying hard to gain market share.</li>
<li>Other names discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pnb-housing-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23613:1" rel="noopener">PNB Housing Finance Ltd (PNBHOUSI IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedant-fashions-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34260:1" rel="noopener">Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/varun-beverages-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23653:1" rel="noopener">Varun Beverages (VBL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/schaeffler-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6434:1" rel="noopener">Schaeffler India (SCHFL IN)</a> show up as interesting ARs to read. </li>
</ul>


Our flash checks across a couple of dealers indicate pressure on margins across the industry. Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) is trying hard to gain market share.
Other names discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd (PNBHOUSI IN), Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN) and Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN). 

Varun Beverages (VBL IN) and Schaeffler India (SCHFL IN) show up as interesting ARs to read. 


[#22] Namaste India 🙏 | Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Margin Pressure to Continue

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Bajaj Auto: Bajaj Auto’s Q3 PAT at INR20.4bn was ahead of our estimate of INR 19.7bn due to a better-than-expected margin of 20.1% (estimate of 19.5%)</li><li>The margin beat was due to an improved mix and better export realisation</li><li>While BAL has posted a healthy performance in FY24 so far, it is unlikely to sustain it, going forward, as (1) exports will take longer to revive in key markets like Africa and Latin America since they remain stressed due to inflation and fears linger due to current Red Sea crisis, (2) we expect growth rates in domestic motorcycles (and in 3Ws) to normalise in coming quarters on a high base and due to lack of adequate rainfall this fiscal, (3) Triumph is already available off the shelf, and (4) in 2W EVs, BAL is facing acute competitive pressure and uncertainty persists around FAME subsidy sustenance</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Bajaj Auto: Bajaj Auto’s Q3 PAT at INR20.4bn was ahead of our estimate of INR 19.7bn due to a better-than-expected margin of 20.1% (estimate of 19.5%)The margin beat was due to an improved mix and better export realisationWhile BAL has posted a healthy performance in FY24 so far, it is unlikely to sustain it, going forward, as (1) exports will take longer to revive in key markets like Africa and Latin America since they remain stressed due to inflation and fears linger due to current Red Sea crisis, (2) we expect growth rates in domestic motorcycles (and in 3Ws) to normalise in coming quarters on a high base and due to lack of adequate rainfall this fiscal, (3) Triumph is already available off the shelf, and (4) in 2W EVs, BAL is facing acute competitive pressure and uncertainty persists around FAME subsidy sustenanceContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Auto, Tech Mahindra, TVS Motor, United Spirits

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

India Shelter Finance / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/india-shelter-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40025:1" rel="noopener">India Shelter Finance (0570670D IN)</a> raised around US$144m from its India IPO.</li>
<li>India Shelter Finance (ISF) is a retail-focused HFC targeting the self-employed customer with a focus on first time home loan takers in the low and middle income group.</li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



India Shelter Finance (0570670D IN) raised around US$144m from its India IPO.
India Shelter Finance (ISF) is a retail-focused HFC targeting the self-employed customer with a focus on first time home loan takers in the low and middle income group.
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


India Shelter Finance IPO Trading - Subscription Pulled by Strong Insti Demand

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/india-shelter-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40025:1" rel="noopener">India Shelter Finance (0570670D IN)</a> is looking to raise US$144m from its India IPO.</li>
<li>India Shelter Finance (ISF) is a retail-focused HFC targeting the self-employed customer with a focus on first time home loan takers in the low and middle income group.</li>
<li>In this note, we will look at past performance, and share our thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



India Shelter Finance (0570670D IN) is looking to raise US$144m from its India IPO.
India Shelter Finance (ISF) is a retail-focused HFC targeting the self-employed customer with a focus on first time home loan takers in the low and middle income group.
In this note, we will look at past performance, and share our thoughts on valuation.


India Shelter Finance IPO - Strong Track Record Could Justify a Premium Valuation

<ul>
<li>While the earnings season continues, this will be the final dedicated earnings edition.</li>
<li>For reference, the previous earnings editions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/week-8-namaste-india-earnings-edition-part-i" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:115688" rel="noopener">[Week 8] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part I</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/week-9-namaste-india-earnings-edition-part-ii" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:116224" rel="noopener">[Week 9] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part II</a> </li>
<li>At the bottom, we provide a consolidated view of all earnings (~ 50) tracked so far and we would be happy to engage in discussions on any of them.</li>
</ul>


While the earnings season continues, this will be the final dedicated earnings edition.
For reference, the previous earnings editions are [Week 8] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part I &amp; [Week 9] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part II 
At the bottom, we provide a consolidated view of all earnings (~ 50) tracked so far and we would be happy to engage in discussions on any of them.


[Week 10] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Final Part

India

PNB Housing Finance Ltd. (PNBHFL) provides lending services. The Company offers housing loans to individuals and corporate bodies for construction, purchase, repair, and upgradation of houses, as well as loans for commercial space, loan against property, and loan for purchase of residential plots. PNBHFL serves customers in India.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

PNB Housing Finance Ltd (PNBHOUSI IN)

[#22] Namaste India 🙏 | Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Margin Pressure to Continue

Industry margins under pressure, Voltas Ltd striving for market share. Other companies discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd, Vedant Fashions,...

Pranav Bhavsar

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Auto, Tech Mahindra, TVS Motor, United Spirits

Bajaj Auto: Bajaj Auto’s Q3 PAT at INR20.4bn was ahead of our estimate of INR 19.7bn due to a better-than-expected margin of 20.1% (estimate of 19.5%)

HDFC Securities

India Shelter Finance IPO Trading - Subscription Pulled by Strong Insti Demand

India Shelter Finance (0570670D IN) raised around US$144m from its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Clarence Chu

India Shelter Finance IPO - Strong Track Record Could Justify a Premium Valuation

India Shelter Finance (0570670D IN) is looking to raise US$144m from its India IPO. In this note, we will look at past performance, and share our...

Clarence Chu

[Week 10] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Final Part

This Insight is the final dedicated earnings edition, providing a consolidated view of all earnings tracked so far. At the end we also provide...

Pranav Bhavsar

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[#22] Namaste India 🙏 | Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Margin Pressure to Continue

​Industry margins under pressure, Voltas Ltd striving for market share. Other companies discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd, Vedant Fashions,...

Pranav Bhavsar

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Auto, Tech Mahindra, TVS Motor, United Spirits

Bajaj Auto: Bajaj Auto’s Q3 PAT at INR20.4bn was ahead of our estimate of INR 19.7bn due to a better-than-expected margin of 20.1% (estimate of 19.5%)

HDFC Securities

India Shelter Finance IPO Trading - Subscription Pulled by Strong Insti Demand

India Shelter Finance (0570670D IN) raised around US$144m from its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Clarence Chu

India Shelter Finance IPO - Strong Track Record Could Justify a Premium Valuation

India Shelter Finance (0570670D IN) is looking to raise US$144m from its India IPO. In this note, we will look at past performance, and share our...

Clarence Chu

[Week 10] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Final Part

​This Insight is the final dedicated earnings edition, providing a consolidated view of all earnings tracked so far. At the end we also provide...

Pranav Bhavsar

Industry margins under pressure, Voltas Ltd striving for market share. Other companies discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd, Vedant Fashions,...

This Insight is the final dedicated earnings edition, providing a consolidated view of all earnings tracked so far. At the end we also provide...