Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 10.7bn of A-shares on strong average activity after RMB +16.1bn, +9.9bn and +12.1bn the three weeks before. More National Team buying this week.</li>
<li>Five of the top ten buys among liquid NORTHBOUND stocks were finance. Again. Info Tech saw net selling. Again. People trading long gamma now instead of short gamma.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 10.7bn of A-shares on strong average activity after RMB +16.1bn, +9.9bn and +12.1bn the three weeks before. More National Team buying this week.
Five of the top ten buys among liquid NORTHBOUND stocks were finance. Again. Info Tech saw net selling. Again. People trading long gamma now instead of short gamma.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 23 Feb 2024): Foreigners Buy, Natl Team Buys; Retail Sells

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

China Traditional Chinese Medicine / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)</a> announced a privatisation offer from the Sinopharm-led consortium at HK$4.60 per share, a 47.4% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>The pre-condition relates to various Chinese regulatory approvals. As SOE entities own the offeror, regulatory approvals will be a formality. The offer price is final. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)</a>, which holds a blocking stake, will be supportive. The offer is fair when the previously (higher) rumoured offers are adjusted for the market downturn. </li>
</ul>



China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK) announced a privatisation offer from the Sinopharm-led consortium at HK$4.60 per share, a 47.4% premium to the undisturbed price.
The pre-condition relates to various Chinese regulatory approvals. As SOE entities own the offeror, regulatory approvals will be a formality. The offer price is final. 

Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK), which holds a blocking stake, will be supportive. The offer is fair when the previously (higher) rumoured offers are adjusted for the market downturn. 


China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK): Sinopharm-Led Pre-Conditional Offer at HK$4.60

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toei-animation-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18641:1" rel="noopener">Toei Animation (4816 JP)</a>'s US$550 Million secondary offering.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/outsourcing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7431:1" rel="noopener">Outsourcing Inc (2427 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/altium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18626:1" rel="noopener">Altium Ltd (ALU AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ansarada-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30718:1" rel="noopener">Ansarada Group Ltd (AND AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinda-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:475:1" rel="noopener">Vinda International (3331 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments: Toei Animation (4816 JP)'s US$550 Million secondary offering.
Event-Driven developments: Outsourcing Inc (2427 JP), Altium Ltd (ALU AU), Ansarada Group Ltd (AND AU), China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK), Vinda International (3331 HK). 


Weekly Deals Digest (18 Feb) - Toei, Outsourcing, YSK, Altium, Ansarada, China TCM, Vinda

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China insurance sector may seem like there is strong growth prospects due the population, but relatively long term data on insurance premium growth is not robust in recent years.</li>
<li>Aggregate impairment losses on assets of insurance companies have been soaring in recent years, well higher than in the GFC, which can continue with weak CRE, investments.</li>
<li>Ping An Insurance has seen sharp fall in operating income in the past 2 quarters, with levels near quarterly lows in the past five years. Lower rates may hurt further. </li>
</ul>


China insurance sector may seem like there is strong growth prospects due the population, but relatively long term data on insurance premium growth is not robust in recent years.
Aggregate impairment losses on assets of insurance companies have been soaring in recent years, well higher than in the GFC, which can continue with weak CRE, investments.
Ping An Insurance has seen sharp fall in operating income in the past 2 quarters, with levels near quarterly lows in the past five years. Lower rates may hurt further. 


Ping An Insurance - Recent Profit Growth Is Weak, Industry Aggregates Do Not Suggest a Change

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Feb 2nd.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Hscei Etf, Bud Apac, CMB, Tencent, Wuxi Apptec, Wuxi Bio, Lenovo.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Feb 2nd.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Hscei Etf, Bud Apac, CMB, Tencent, Wuxi Apptec, Wuxi Bio, Lenovo.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Hscei Etf, Bud Apac, CMB, Tencent, Wuxi Apptec, Wuxi Bio

China

Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China Limited provides a variety of insurance service in China.  The Company writes property, casualty, and life insurance.  Ping An Insurance also offers financial services.

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Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 23 Feb 2024): Foreigners Buy, Natl Team Buys; Retail Sells

NORTHBOUND was a net buy 4 weeks in a row (assuming the Chinese New Year and the week after were "1 week"). Felt like an allocation week. Retail...

Travis Lundy

China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK): Sinopharm-Led Pre-Conditional Offer at HK$4.60

The offer is attractive to historical trading ranges and peer multiples. Ping An, which holds a blocking stake, will be supportive. This looks like...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (18 Feb) - Toei, Outsourcing, YSK, Altium, Ansarada, China TCM, Vinda

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Outsourcing, YSK, Altium, Ansarada, China TCM, Vinda) and ECM (Toei Animation).

Arun George

Ping An Insurance - Recent Profit Growth Is Weak, Industry Aggregates Do Not Suggest a Change

Ping An Insurance demonstrates weakening profit, China insurance industry aggregates, do not suggest this will change. Rather, investment returns...

Daniel Tabbush

HK Short Interest Weekly: Hscei Etf, Bud Apac, CMB, Tencent, Wuxi Apptec, Wuxi Bio

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Feb 2nd and highlight short interest changes in Hscei Etf, Bud Apac, CMB,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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