Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Guolian Securities Co Ltd H / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND's buy streak was interrupted again this past week, but they still net bought, as did NORTHBOUND. HK stocks continued their rise with liquid Hs outperforming their As by 3.8%. </li>
<li>There were some BIG moves the past two weeks and Average AH Premia are now the lowest in nearly four years vs near 5yr wides less than 12 weeks ago. </li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
SOUTHBOUND's buy streak was interrupted again this past week, but they still net bought, as did NORTHBOUND. HK stocks continued their rise with liquid Hs outperforming their As by 3.8%. 
There were some BIG moves the past two weeks and Average AH Premia are now the lowest in nearly four years vs near 5yr wides less than 12 weeks ago. 


A/H Premium Tracker (To 17 May 2024):  Hs Rally Huge Vs As, Again. Avg A/H Premium Lowest in 4yrs

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 147 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 106.3% as of May 17th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -7.7ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, real estate, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Shenhua, Sinopec, PetroChina, China Telecom, CICC, GWM.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 147 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 106.3% as of May 17th.
The average A-H premium changed by -7.7ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, real estate, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Shenhua, Sinopec, PetroChina, China Telecom, CICC, GWM.


A-H Premium Weekly (May 17th): 44 Stocks at 52 Week High

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 17th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$1,460.9 million, led by financials, information technology, industrials sectors, and offset by utilities, communication services, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Luxshare Precision, China Merchants Bank, Midea.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 17th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$1,460.9 million, led by financials, information technology, industrials sectors, and offset by utilities, communication services, energy.
We highlight flows for Luxshare Precision, China Merchants Bank, Midea.


Northbound Flows (May 17th): Luxshare Precision, CMB, Midea

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Surging by 19.4% since the trough on 19-Apr, the HSI is now only 3.2% shy away from the psychological resistance of 20,000. We look at some potential profit-taking names. </li>
<li>Heavy-Weights like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> are among the best-performing ones YTD and since the trough. Hence they are more exposed, particularly for Meituan.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haidilao-international-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27044:1" rel="noopener">Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a> are another two on the list. Their valuations are no longer inexpensive relative to 3-year earnings CAGR.</li>
</ul>


Surging by 19.4% since the trough on 19-Apr, the HSI is now only 3.2% shy away from the psychological resistance of 20,000. We look at some potential profit-taking names. 
Heavy-Weights like Meituan (3690 HK) and Tencent (700 HK) are among the best-performing ones YTD and since the trough. Hence they are more exposed, particularly for Meituan.

Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK) and ENN Energy (2688 HK) are another two on the list. Their valuations are no longer inexpensive relative to 3-year earnings CAGR.


HK Strategy: To Sell or Not to Sell, that Is the Question

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Go Digit General Insurance / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/go-digit-general-insurance-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36266:1" rel="noopener">Go Digit General Insurance </a>is looking to raise around US$315m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>Go Digit General Insurance is a digital full stack insurance company, offering motor insurance, health insurance, travel insurance, property insurance, marine insurance, liability insurance and other insurance products.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s performance in our past note. In this note, we talk about the refiling updates and valuations.</li>
</ul>



Go Digit General Insurance is looking to raise around US$315m in its India IPO.
Go Digit General Insurance is a digital full stack insurance company, offering motor insurance, health insurance, travel insurance, property insurance, marine insurance, liability insurance and other insurance products.
We have looked at the company’s performance in our past note. In this note, we talk about the refiling updates and valuations.


Go Digit General Insurance IPO - Growth Remains Strong, Valuation Isn’t Cheap

China

Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China Limited provides products and services through its five ecosystems in financial services, healthcare, auto services, real estate services and Smart City solutions. The Group's insurance business writes property, casualty, and life insurance products.

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Ping An Insurance Group of (601318 CH)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 17 May 2024): Hs Rally Huge Vs As, Again. Avg A/H Premium Lowest in 4yrs

AH Premia now the lowest, on average, for nearly four years. This is against near-5yr highs just 12wks ago. Hs are moving on foreign flows into HK...

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (May 17th): 44 Stocks at 52 Week High

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Shenhua, Sinopec, PetroChina, China Telecom, CICC, GWM.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (May 17th): Luxshare Precision, CMB, Midea

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Luxshare Precision, CMB, Midea.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Strategy: To Sell or Not to Sell, that Is the Question

HSI surges by 19.4% nearing the 20,000 resistance, potential profit-taking names include Meituan, Tencent, Haidilao, and ENN Energy due to strong...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Go Digit General Insurance IPO - Growth Remains Strong, Valuation Isn’t Cheap

Go Digit General Insurance is looking to raise around US$315m in its India IPO. We have looked at the company's past performance in our earlier...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 17 May 2024): Hs Rally Huge Vs As, Again. Avg A/H Premium Lowest in 4yrs

AH Premia now the lowest, on average, for nearly four years. This is against near-5yr highs just 12wks ago. Hs are moving on foreign flows into HK...

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (May 17th): 44 Stocks at 52 Week High

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Shenhua, Sinopec, PetroChina, China Telecom, CICC, GWM.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (May 17th): Luxshare Precision, CMB, Midea

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Luxshare Precision, CMB, Midea.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Strategy: To Sell or Not to Sell, that Is the Question

​HSI surges by 19.4% nearing the 20,000 resistance, potential profit-taking names include Meituan, Tencent, Haidilao, and ENN Energy due to strong...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Go Digit General Insurance IPO - Growth Remains Strong, Valuation Isn’t Cheap

Go Digit General Insurance is looking to raise around US$315m in its India IPO. We have looked at the company's past performance in our earlier...

Sumeet Singh

HSI surges by 19.4% nearing the 20,000 resistance, potential profit-taking names include Meituan, Tencent, Haidilao, and ENN Energy due to strong...