Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng index committee has added four stocks to take the number of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> constituents to 80. A year late, but we're there!</li>
<li>The next leg of the increase in the number of index constituents will take us up to 100. There is no timeline, so this should take a couple of years.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 2.93% leading to a one-way trade of HK$5.7bn (US$730m). All adds will have over 2x ADV to buy from passive trackers.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng index committee has added four stocks to take the number of Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) constituents to 80. A year late, but we're there!
The next leg of the increase in the number of index constituents will take us up to 100. There is no timeline, so this should take a couple of years.
Estimated one-way turnover is 2.93% leading to a one-way trade of HK$5.7bn (US$730m). All adds will have over 2x ADV to buy from passive trackers.


HSI Index Rebalance: Yippee! Finally at 80!

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 28th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Genscript Bio, China Merchants Bank, Baba.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 28th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Genscript Bio, China Merchants Bank, Baba.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Genscript Bio, CMB, Alibaba

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.2% as of May 5th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.3ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, communication services, health care and offset by real estate, energy, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CCB, BOC, Sinopec, China Shenhua, CMOC, CRRC, China Southern Airlines, CSC Financials.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.2% as of May 5th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.3ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, communication services, health care and offset by real estate, energy, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CCB, BOC, Sinopec, China Shenhua, CMOC, CRRC, China Southern Airlines, CSC Financials.


A-H Premium Weekly (May 5th): CCB, BOC, Sinopec, China Shenhua, CMOC, CRRC, China Southern Airlines

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 5th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$75.1 million, led by information technology, materials, and offset by financials, consumer staples, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Gree Electric Appliances.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 5th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$75.1 million, led by information technology, materials, and offset by financials, consumer staples, health care.
We highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Gree Electric Appliances.


Northbound Flows (May 5th): Kweichow Moutai, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Gree Electric Appliances

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Inflows into industrials, energy, and utilities were offset by outflows from financials, and information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for COSCO Shipping, Shenzhen Inovance, Zhejiang Jingsheng, Ningbo Tuopu, Wuliangye, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, East Money, CMB, Midea.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Inflows into industrials, energy, and utilities were offset by outflows from financials, and information technology.
We highlight flows for COSCO Shipping, Shenzhen Inovance, Zhejiang Jingsheng, Ningbo Tuopu, Wuliangye, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, East Money, CMB, Midea.


Northbound Flows Monthly (April): Inflows into Industrials Offset by Outflows from Financials

China

Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China Limited provides products and services through its five ecosystems in financial services, healthcare, auto services, real estate services and Smart City solutions. The Group's insurance business writes property, casualty, and life insurance products.

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Ping An Insurance Group of (601318 CH)

HSI Index Rebalance: Yippee! Finally at 80!

The 4 adds get us to 80 members. The next leg up to 100 members should take a few years. 1-way turnover in June is 2.9% resulting in a 1-way trade...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Genscript Bio, CMB, Alibaba

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 28th and highlight short interest changes in Genscript Bio, CMB, Alibaba.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (May 5th): CCB, BOC, Sinopec, China Shenhua, CMOC, CRRC, China Southern Airlines

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for CCB, BOC, Sinopec, China Shenhua, CMOC, CRRC, China Southern...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (May 5th): Kweichow Moutai, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Gree Electric Appliances

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Gree...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows Monthly (April): Inflows into Industrials Offset by Outflows from Financials

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for April and highlight flows for COSCO Shipping, Inovance, Jingsheng, Tuopu, Wuliangye, Ping An...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)