Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/life-insurance-corp-of-india-lic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28829:1" rel="noopener">Life Insurance Corp of India (LIC) (LICI IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15618:1" rel="noopener">Tata Power (TPWR IN)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nmdc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2016:1" rel="noopener">Nmdc Ltd (NMDC IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/piramal-enterprises-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14158:1" rel="noopener">Piramal Enterprises (PIEL IN)</a> at the close on 5 August.</li>
<li>In September, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-wilmar" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34763:1" rel="noopener">Adani Wilmar (AWLTD IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-railway-catering-and-tourism-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33951:1" rel="noopener">Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics (BHE IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindustan-aeronautics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26747:1" rel="noopener">Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd (HNAL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mphasis-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7672:1" rel="noopener">Mphasis Ltd (MPHL IN)</a> are potential inclusions.</li>
<li>At over 4 days of deliverable volume to trade, the impact is especially large on  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics (BHE IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zydus-lifesciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12914:1" rel="noopener">Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lupin-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17910:1" rel="noopener">Lupin Ltd (LPC IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Life Insurance Corp of India (LIC) (LICI IN) and Tata Power (TPWR IN) will replace Nmdc Ltd (NMDC IN) and Piramal Enterprises (PIEL IN) at the close on 5 August.
In September, Adani Wilmar (AWLTD IN), Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN), Bharat Electronics (BHE IN), Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd (HNAL IN) and Mphasis Ltd (MPHL IN) are potential inclusions.
At over 4 days of deliverable volume to trade, the impact is especially large on  Bharat Electronics (BHE IN), Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN) and Lupin Ltd (LPC IN). 


NIFTY100 Index Rebalance Preview: Couple of Changes in August, Then 5 More in September

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The NIFTY Index Family has a series of broad equity indices that represents large, mid and small market capitalisation segments of the Indian public equity market.</li>
<li>The review of broad market indices will be done on a semi-annual basis and the changes will be implemented at the end of March and September every year.</li>
<li>Below is a look at the names leading the race to become Adds and Deletes for NIFTY 50, NIFTY 100, and NIFTY 500 in September 2022.</li>
</ul>


The NIFTY Index Family has a series of broad equity indices that represents large, mid and small market capitalisation segments of the Indian public equity market.
The review of broad market indices will be done on a semi-annual basis and the changes will be implemented at the end of March and September every year.
Below is a look at the names leading the race to become Adds and Deletes for NIFTY 50, NIFTY 100, and NIFTY 500 in September 2022.


NIFTY Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for September 2022

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>PI Industries (PIIND) posted a steady quarter in line with our estimates as the company proved its execution &amp; operational capabilities in this volatile environment. The company reported revenue of Rs. 1395 cr higher by 17.7% / 3% YoY/QoQ.</li><li>EBITDA Margin came in at 22% which was 101 bps higher YoY, led by favourable product mix in export &amp; domestic market and ISAGRO performance, coupled with improved operating leverage</li><li>The stock currently trades at 47x at FY22 EPS, given strong performance on the export and domestic front we value PIIND at 35x (its FY24E EPS) coming at a Target Price of Rs 3161.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

PI Industries (PIIND) posted a steady quarter in line with our estimates as the company proved its execution &amp; operational capabilities in this volatile environment. The company reported revenue of Rs. 1395 cr higher by 17.7% / 3% YoY/QoQ.EBITDA Margin came in at 22% which was 101 bps higher YoY, led by favourable product mix in export &amp; domestic market and ISAGRO performance, coupled with improved operating leverageThe stock currently trades at 47x at FY22 EPS, given strong performance on the export and domestic front we value PIIND at 35x (its FY24E EPS) coming at a Target Price of Rs 3161.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

PI Industries: Executional & Operational Improvement. Positive Outlook!

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<div><ul><li>Operating performance better than our estimates - PI Industries (PI)’s consolidated revenue growth was primarily driven by the domestic Crop Protection segment (up 47% YoY) in 4QFY22 with CSM segment rising 11% YoY.</li></ul><div><ul><li>Higher volume as well as value growth drives overall sales growth - <span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">PI’s revenue of INR14b (est. INR13.3b) was up 17% YoY in 4QFY22 driven by price increase of ~7% and the balance from volume growth.</span></li></ul><div><ul><li>Highlights from the management interaction - <span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">New products: PI aims to commercialize seven new molecules under the CSM business (three non-agrochemical and four agrochemical molecules) and five new products under the domestic business in FY23E. Two new process innovations would be commercialized in FY23E.</span></li></ul></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Operating performance better than our estimates - PI Industries (PI)’s consolidated revenue growth was primarily driven by the domestic Crop Protection segment (up 47% YoY) in 4QFY22 with CSM segment rising 11% YoY.Higher volume as well as value growth drives overall sales growth - PI’s revenue of INR14b (est. INR13.3b) was up 17% YoY in 4QFY22 driven by price increase of ~7% and the balance from volume growth.Highlights from the management interaction - New products: PI aims to commercialize seven new molecules under the CSM business (three non-agrochemical and four agrochemical molecules) and five new products under the domestic business in FY23E. Two new process innovations would be commercialized in FY23E.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

PI Industries - Domestic Business Resilient, Drivers in Place for Future

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

A Relationship Beyond Broking

Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Key positives: (i) PI added 8 new customers in FY22 (ii) New thrust on non-agrochem CSM - 35% of its 36 enquiries (iii) PI’s goal is to develop high-value CSM services in Agrochem/Pharma/Specialty Chemicals, based on cost leadership and sustainable manufacturing through differentiated technology/synthesis.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>We see a bull case/bear case valuation of Rs3,318/Rs2,943 based on 100%/nil impact of the DCF value of a potential M&amp;A deal for a Pharma asset.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>4QFY22 results are lower than our estimates. Revenue at Rs13.95bn was a miss of 1.1% vs NBIE estimate, but a beat of 2% vs street estimate.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Key positives: (i) PI added 8 new customers in FY22 (ii) New thrust on non-agrochem CSM - 35% of its 36 enquiries (iii) PI’s goal is to develop high-value CSM services in Agrochem/Pharma/Specialty Chemicals, based on cost leadership and sustainable manufacturing through differentiated technology/synthesis.We see a bull case/bear case valuation of Rs3,318/Rs2,943 based on 100%/nil impact of the DCF value of a potential M&amp;A deal for a Pharma asset.4QFY22 results are lower than our estimates. Revenue at Rs13.95bn was a miss of 1.1% vs NBIE estimate, but a beat of 2% vs street estimate.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

PI Industries - Domestic Revenue Growth Outpaces Exports

India

PI Industries Limited manufactures agricultural and fine chemicals, and polymers. The Company produces fine chemicals; crop protection, plant nutrients, and seeds; and engineering plastics for use in the automobile, electrical, and home appliances industries.

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Pi Industries (PI IN)

NIFTY100 Index Rebalance Preview: Couple of Changes in August, Then 5 More in September

There are two index changes at the close on 5 August, then there should be 5 more at the close on 29 September. Passive funds will have over 4-5...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for September 2022

A look at the names leading the race to become Adds and Deletes for NIFTY 50, NIFTY 100, and NIFTY 500 in September 2022.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

PI Industries: Executional & Operational Improvement. Positive Outlook!

The stock currently trades at 47x at FY22 EPS, given strong performance on the export and domestic front we value PIIND at 35x (its FY24E EPS)...

Axis Direct

PI Industries - Domestic Business Resilient, Drivers in Place for Future

Operating performance better than our estimates - PI Industries (PI)’s consolidated revenue growth was primarily driven by the domestic Crop...

Motilal Oswal

PI Industries - Domestic Revenue Growth Outpaces Exports

We maintain Buy on PI Industries (PI) after a marginal increase in FY23E/FY24E and SOTP- based target price (TP) to Rs3,063 includes PI’s core...

Nirmal Bang

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