IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Connect Biopharma / Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/connect-biopharma-holdings-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32187:1" rel="noopener">Connect Biopharma (CNTB US)</a> is a global clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing therapies for the treatment of T cell-driven inflammatory diseases. Connect has a pipeline of four drug candidates. The two most advanced clinical-stage programs, CBP-201 and CBP-307, are potentially differentiated product candidates against validated targets.</p><p>Connect has launched a Nasdaq IPO to raise net proceeds of $135 million at the mid-point of the IPO price range of $15.00 and $17.00 per ADS. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, Connect will command a market cap of $863 million.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p>Connect specialises in designing and developing product candidates that modulate the immune system, with a particular focus on T cells. CBP-201, the lead product candidate, has the potential to bring improved therapeutic benefit to atopic dermatitis (AD) patients than the current standard of care. CBP-307 has the potential to deliver best-in-class lymphocyte recovery times in combination with a well-tolerated safety profile for the treatment of UC (ulcerative colitis) and CD (Crohn’s disease). Overall, we believe that the prospects of Connect’s clinical-stage drug assets are favourable. We will discuss the rNPV of the assets in our next note.</p></div>

Connect Biopharma (CNTB US) is a global clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing therapies for the treatment of T cell-driven inflammatory diseases. Connect has a pipeline of four drug candidates. The two most advanced clinical-stage programs, CBP-201 and CBP-307, are potentially differentiated product candidates against validated targets.Connect has launched a Nasdaq IPO to raise net proceeds of $135 million at the mid-point of the IPO price range of $15.00 and $17.00 per ADS. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, Connect will command a market cap of $863 million.Connect specialises in designing and developing product candidates that modulate the immune system, with a particular focus on T cells. CBP-201, the lead product candidate, has the potential to bring improved therapeutic benefit to atopic dermatitis (AD) patients than the current standard of care. CBP-307 has the potential to deliver best-in-class lymphocyte recovery times in combination with a well-tolerated safety profile for the treatment of UC (ulcerative colitis) and CD (Crohn’s disease). Overall, we believe that the prospects of Connect’s clinical-stage drug assets are favourable. We will discuss the rNPV of the assets in our next note.

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>SK Bioscience announced an excellent IPO book building results on 8 March. The IPO price has been confirmed at 65,000 won per share, which is at the top of the IPO price range. At the IPO price of 65,000 won, the company's initial market cap will be 5.0 trillion won.</li>
<li>The total demand ratio of the SK Bioscience IPO was 1,275.5 to 1, which is very high. Of these institutional investors, 96.7% of them thought that the value of the company should be 65,000 won or more. Our base case valuation for the company is a market cap of 11.5 trillion won or <strong>149,000 won</strong> per share, which would represent a 129% upside from the IPO price of 65,000 won. </li>
<li>Despite the numerous positives about the SK Bioscience IPO, the biggest near-term and long-term problem of SK Bioscience is whether or not the COVID-19 vaccines of AstraZeneca, NovaVax, and other major global vaccine developers are safe or not.  Since 26 February (when COVID-19 vaccinations started in Korea), there have been <a href="https://blog.naver.com/jijisjungle/222264180891" target="_blank" rel="noopener">11 people</a> that have died in Korea after taking the AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccines (death rate of 0.003%). For now, the Korean authorities have ruled out any association that may link the deaths of these 11 people with the COVID-19 vaccines.</li>
</ul>


SK Bioscience announced an excellent IPO book building results on 8 March. The IPO price has been confirmed at 65,000 won per share, which is at the top of the IPO price range. At the IPO price of 65,000 won, the company's initial market cap will be 5.0 trillion won.
The total demand ratio of the SK Bioscience IPO was 1,275.5 to 1, which is very high. Of these institutional investors, 96.7% of them thought that the value of the company should be 65,000 won or more. Our base case valuation for the company is a market cap of 11.5 trillion won or 149,000 won per share, which would represent a 129% upside from the IPO price of 65,000 won. 
Despite the numerous positives about the SK Bioscience IPO, the biggest near-term and long-term problem of SK Bioscience is whether or not the COVID-19 vaccines of AstraZeneca, NovaVax, and other major global vaccine developers are safe or not.  Since 26 February (when COVID-19 vaccinations started in Korea), there have been 11 people that have died in Korea after taking the AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccines (death rate of 0.003%). For now, the Korean authorities have ruled out any association that may link the deaths of these 11 people with the COVID-19 vaccines.


Trading Strategy of SK Bioscience IPO Post Pricing

Sciclone Pharmaceuticals / Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sciclone-pharmaceuticals-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17351:1" rel="noopener">Sciclone Pharmaceuticals (1863447D HK)</a> is a biopharmaceutical company with an integrated platform for product development and commercialisation of drugs in the oncology and severe infection therapeutic areas. The predecessor company, SciClone US, listed on NASDAQ in March 1992 and was subsequently privatised and delisted in October 2017. SciClone is pre-marketing a Hong Kong IPO to raise $500 million, according to press reports. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>SciClone is a less than ideal IPO candidate. Despite efforts at diversification, SciClone is highly dependent on a single product, Zadaxin, which was launched in 1996. Commendably, Zadaxin sales have increased despite several challenges, including generic competition, changes in reimbursement policies and the centralised tender processes. However, the risk to Zadaxin’s sales remains undiminished. The large pre-IPO dividends by existing shareholders in face of these challenges also sends the wrong message to potential IPO investors. Overall, on a fundamental basis, we are inclined to give this IPO a pass. </p></div>

Sciclone Pharmaceuticals (1863447D HK) is a biopharmaceutical company with an integrated platform for product development and commercialisation of drugs in the oncology and severe infection therapeutic areas. The predecessor company, SciClone US, listed on NASDAQ in March 1992 and was subsequently privatised and delisted in October 2017. SciClone is pre-marketing a Hong Kong IPO to raise $500 million, according to press reports. SciClone is a less than ideal IPO candidate. Despite efforts at diversification, SciClone is highly dependent on a single product, Zadaxin, which was launched in 1996. Commendably, Zadaxin sales have increased despite several challenges, including generic competition, changes in reimbursement policies and the centralised tender processes. However, the risk to Zadaxin’s sales remains undiminished. The large pre-IPO dividends by existing shareholders in face of these challenges also sends the wrong message to potential IPO investors. Overall, on a fundamental basis, we are inclined to give this IPO a pass. 

SciClone Pharmaceuticals IPO Initiation: A Hard Sell

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<div>
<p>A group of shareholders plans to raise around US$200m via selling a 4.6% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/i-mab" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28384:1" rel="noopener">I-Mab (IMAB US).</a></p>
<p>We have previously covered the IPO in:</p>
</div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/i-mab-pre-ipo-strong-management-and-investor-backing-with-differentiated-products" target="_blank" rel="noopener">I-Mab (天境生物) Pre-IPO: Strong management and investor backing with differentiated products</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/i-mab-ipo-everest-deal-a-valuation-booster" target="_blank" rel="noopener">I-Mab (天境生物) IPO: Everest Deal a Valuation Booster</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/i-mab-ipo-trading-tiny-float-and-undemanding-valuation" target="_blank" rel="noopener">I-Mab (天境生物) IPO Trading: Tiny Float and Undemanding Valuation</a></li>
</ul></div><div><p>In this insight, we will talk about updates since then and run the deal through our ECM framework.</p></div>


A group of shareholders plans to raise around US$200m via selling a 4.6% stake in I-Mab (IMAB US).
We have previously covered the IPO in:

I-Mab (天境生物) Pre-IPO: Strong management and investor backing with differentiated products
I-Mab (天境生物) IPO: Everest Deal a Valuation Booster
I-Mab (天境生物) IPO Trading: Tiny Float and Undemanding Valuation
In this insight, we will talk about updates since then and run the deal through our ECM framework.

I-Mab Placement - Heading in the Right Direction

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Despite the lockdown and ceaseless increase in the infection cases in Indonesia, the mobility rate in the workplace has improved by 50% that helped to narrow Q3 2020 loss apart from the cost savings initiative. </p>
<p>Vaccine discovery has helped Bluebird's share price ascension but the real push will come from the vaccination in Indonesia that will lead to a looser government policy lockdown and it is bound to create a more permanent feeling that it is business as usual (pre-COVID) therefore may even lead to a re-opening of the borders. </p>
<div class="content-highlight">
<p>At 9.8 EV/EBITDA and 0.73 PBR, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blue-bird-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19482:1" rel="noopener">Blue Bird (BIRD IJ)</a> is currently trading at 42% and 44% discount in EV/EBITDA and PBR compared to its peers despite a 57% rally. We should expect to see further multiple expansion in Blue Bird as mass vaccination is taking place and people have more confidence in the economic recovery in Indonesia. </p>
</div>
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/182/498/original/image_2762037721610626999059.png?1610626999" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="182498"></figure>
<div class="content-remarks">
<p>source: Capital IQ</p>
</div>

Despite the lockdown and ceaseless increase in the infection cases in Indonesia, the mobility rate in the workplace has improved by 50% that helped to narrow Q3 2020 loss apart from the cost savings initiative. 
Vaccine discovery has helped Bluebird's share price ascension but the real push will come from the vaccination in Indonesia that will lead to a looser government policy lockdown and it is bound to create a more permanent feeling that it is business as usual (pre-COVID) therefore may even lead to a re-opening of the borders. 

At 9.8 EV/EBITDA and 0.73 PBR, Blue Bird (BIRD IJ) is currently trading at 42% and 44% discount in EV/EBITDA and PBR compared to its peers despite a 57% rally. We should expect to see further multiple expansion in Blue Bird as mass vaccination is taking place and people have more confidence in the economic recovery in Indonesia. 



source: Capital IQ


United States

Pfizer Inc. is a research-based, global pharmaceutical company that discovers, develops, manufactures, and markets medicines for humans and animals.  The Company's products include prescription pharmaceuticals, non-prescription self-medications, and animal health products such as anti-infective medicines and vaccines.

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Pfizer Inc (PFE US)

Connect Biopharma IPO: Potent Medicine

Connect has launched a Nasdaq IPO to raise net proceeds of $135m at the mid-point of the IPO price range. Overall, we believe that the prospects of...

Arun George

Trading Strategy of SK Bioscience IPO Post Pricing

The IPO price of SK Bioscience was confirmed at 65,000 won per share, which is at the top of the IPO price range. The total demand ratio of the SK...

Douglas Kim

SciClone Pharmaceuticals IPO Initiation: A Hard Sell

SciClone is pre-marketing a Hong Kong IPO to raise $500 million, according to press reports. Overall, on a fundamental basis, we are inclined to...

Arun George

I-Mab Placement - Heading in the Right Direction

A group of shareholders plans to raise around US$200m via selling a 4.6% stake in I-Mab (IMAB US). We have previously covered the IPO as well.

Sumeet Singh

BlueBird (BIRD): Flying Higher

At 9.8 EV/EBITDA and 0.73 PBR, Blue Bird (BIRD IJ) is currently trading at 42% and 44% discount in EV/EBITDA and PBR compared to its peers despite...

Henry Soediarko

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