External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Vietcap

Vietcap

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

We specialize in consulting both individual and institutional clients, providing them with effective financial solutions that are tailored to their specific needs.

Equity Bottom-Up

PetroVietnam Drilling and Well Services / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li><p style="text-align: justify;">We lower our target price (TP) for PVD by 14% to VND30,800/share but maintain our OUTPERFORM rating as PVD’s share price has declined 15% over the last three months.</p></li><li>Our lower TP reflects a 14% lower aggregate 2024-2028F reported NPAT-MI forecast (respective changes of -9%/-26%/-13%/-12%/-12% for 2024/25/26/27/28F).</li><li>Our lower aggregate reported NPAT-MI forecast is due to (1) lowering our projections for well-related services revenue and lower profit from associate companies following H1 2024’s results, and our assumption for a delay in Block B’s groundbreaking from mid-2024 to late-2024.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We lower our target price (TP) for PVD by 14% to VND30,800/share but maintain our OUTPERFORM rating as PVD’s share price has declined 15% over the last three months.Our lower TP reflects a 14% lower aggregate 2024-2028F reported NPAT-MI forecast (respective changes of -9%/-26%/-13%/-12%/-12% for 2024/25/26/27/28F).Our lower aggregate reported NPAT-MI forecast is due to (1) lowering our projections for well-related services revenue and lower profit from associate companies following H1 2024’s results, and our assumption for a delay in Block B’s groundbreaking from mid-2024 to late-2024.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

PVD [OUTPERFORM +11.4%] - Lowering forecasts on slower domestic E&P spending - Update

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Mirae Asset Securities

Mirae Asset Securities

Leading full-service brokerage firm in Vietnam. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The recovery of China’s market points to rising demand for crude oil.</li><li>China’s total imports have increased by 20% YoY, providing significant support for oil prices amid the global economy’s still-slow recovery.</li><li>According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), global crude oil demand is forecast to increase to 103mnbd by 2mnbd (+2% YoY) in 2023.</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

The recovery of China’s market points to rising demand for crude oil.China’s total imports have increased by 20% YoY, providing significant support for oil prices amid the global economy’s still-slow recovery.According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), global crude oil demand is forecast to increase to 103mnbd by 2mnbd (+2% YoY) in 2023.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Industry Report - Oil and Gas - Neutral - China's recovery holds key to growth

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hagl-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6632:1" rel="noopener">Hagl Jsc (HAG VN)</a> is an inclusion while An Phat Holdings (APH VN) and CEO Group (CEO VN) are deletes from the MVIS Vietnam Index at the September rebalance.</li>
<li>There are a lot of float and capping changes that will result in one-way turnover of 12% and a one-way trade of US$45m.</li>
<li>There are a lot of stocks that have over 1 day of ADV to trade and there could be opportunities to enter/exit positions on a move in the stocks.</li>
</ul>



Hagl Jsc (HAG VN) is an inclusion while An Phat Holdings (APH VN) and CEO Group (CEO VN) are deletes from the MVIS Vietnam Index at the September rebalance.
There are a lot of float and capping changes that will result in one-way turnover of 12% and a one-way trade of US$45m.
There are a lot of stocks that have over 1 day of ADV to trade and there could be opportunities to enter/exit positions on a move in the stocks.


MVIS Vietnam Index Rebalance: One Add, Two Deletes

<ul>
<li>There are 2 additions and 1 deletion for the MVIS Vietnam Index at the upcoming rebalance at the close on 17 June. Plus capping and float changes.</li>
<li>The adds are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saigon-hanoi-commercial" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17575:1" rel="noopener">Saigon - Hanoi Commercial (SHB VN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/viet-nam-construction-impo" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17309:1" rel="noopener">Viet Nam Construction &amp; Impo (VCG VN)</a>, while Tien Phong Securities (ORS VN) is the deletion.</li>
<li>The largest passive outflows are on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vingroup-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13213:1" rel="noopener">Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/feng-tay-enterprise-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18329:1" rel="noopener">Feng Tay Enterprise (9910 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eclat-textile-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13209:1" rel="noopener">Eclat Textile Company (1476 TT)</a>. </li>
</ul>


There are 2 additions and 1 deletion for the MVIS Vietnam Index at the upcoming rebalance at the close on 17 June. Plus capping and float changes.
The adds are Saigon - Hanoi Commercial (SHB VN) and Viet Nam Construction &amp; Impo (VCG VN), while Tien Phong Securities (ORS VN) is the deletion.
The largest passive outflows are on Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN), Feng Tay Enterprise (9910 TT) and Eclat Textile Company (1476 TT). 


MVIS Vietnam Index Rebalance: Two Adds, One Delete, Capping & Float Changes

<ul><li>Vietnam's crude oil trade has shifted towards net imports since 2018. The main reason for this is that domestic demand for crude oil has surged</li><li>From 2015 onwards, the import value of petroleum has decreased significantly compared with the previous period.</li><li>In 2018, when the Nghi Son Refinery and Petrochemical project came into operation, the proportion of crude oil imports rose sharply, exceeding the import proportion of petroleum in 2020 and 2021.</li></ul>

Vietnam's crude oil trade has shifted towards net imports since 2018. The main reason for this is that domestic demand for crude oil has surgedFrom 2015 onwards, the import value of petroleum has decreased significantly compared with the previous period.In 2018, when the Nghi Son Refinery and Petrochemical project came into operation, the proportion of crude oil imports rose sharply, exceeding the import proportion of petroleum in 2020 and 2021.

Oil Price Shock’s Impacts on Vietnam’s Oil and Gas Industry

Vietnam

PetroVietnam Drilling and Well Services JSC offers technical services to the oil and natural gas industry.  The Company offers drilling and work-over contracting; chartering and operating drilling rigs; well testing, cementing, wire-line logging, tubular handling and other services; and engineering, fabrication, installation, inspection, refurbishment and maintenance of tools.

PetroVietnam Drilling and Well Services (PVD VN)

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PetroVietnam Drilling and Well Services (PVD VN)

PVD [OUTPERFORM +11.4%] - Lowering forecasts on slower domestic E&P spending - Update

We lower our target price (TP) for PVD by 14% to VND30,800/share but maintain our OUTPERFORM rating as PVD’s share price has declined 15% over the...

Vietcap

Industry Report - Oil and Gas - Neutral - China's recovery holds key to growth

According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), global crude oil demand is forecast to increase to 103mnbd by 2mnbd (+2% YoY) in 2023.

Mirae Asset Securities

MVIS Vietnam Index Rebalance: One Add, Two Deletes

There is 1 addition and 2 deletions for the MVIS Vietnam Index. There are a lot of float and capping changes that will result in one-way turnover...

Brian Freitas

MVIS Vietnam Index Rebalance: Two Adds, One Delete, Capping & Float Changes

There are 2 adds, 1 delete, float and capping changes for the MVIS Vietnam Index to be implemented at the close on 17 June. One-way turnover is...

Brian Freitas

Oil Price Shock’s Impacts on Vietnam’s Oil and Gas Industry

Vietnam's crude oil trade has shifted towards net imports since 2018. The main reason for this is that domestic demand for crude oil has surged

Mirae Asset Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)