Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After market close on Friday 20th May 2022, the constituency changes for S&amp;P BSE 100, SENSEX 50, and SENSEX Next 50 Indices were announced. </li>
<li>There will be no changes for S&amp;P BSE SENSEX and S&amp;P BSE BANKEX Indices in the June 2022 Rebalance. </li>
<li>These changes will become effective at the open of Monday 20th June 2022. Below is a closer look at each of the names involved in the June 2022 Rebalance.</li>
</ul>


After market close on Friday 20th May 2022, the constituency changes for S&amp;P BSE 100, SENSEX 50, and SENSEX Next 50 Indices were announced. 
There will be no changes for S&amp;P BSE SENSEX and S&amp;P BSE BANKEX Indices in the June 2022 Rebalance. 
These changes will become effective at the open of Monday 20th June 2022. Below is a closer look at each of the names involved in the June 2022 Rebalance.


S&P BSE Indices: No Changes for SENSEX; 7 ADDs/DELs for BSE 100 in June 2022

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

A Relationship Beyond Broking

Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>4QFY22 key takeaways: While the revenues were broadly in line with expectations, supply-side challenges meant that margins disappointed.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>A massive margin regime change on the cards in FY24, but this will not mean much from a stock performance perspective in the next 12 months:</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Tier-2 could face significant risks in the new environment: We fear Indian Tier-2 IT would suffer more because of vendor consolidation under the pressured profit picture for customers, a less diversified revenue mix (client, service line, vertical), which could throw up negative growth surprises, and a larger exposure to non-Global 1000 clientele whose profits are more vulnerable in the current challenging macro environment. Indian Tier-2 IT is now at a PE premium of ~20% to Tier-1 from a discount of 14% on 1st January, 2020.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

4QFY22 key takeaways: While the revenues were broadly in line with expectations, supply-side challenges meant that margins disappointed.A massive margin regime change on the cards in FY24, but this will not mean much from a stock performance perspective in the next 12 months:Tier-2 could face significant risks in the new environment: We fear Indian Tier-2 IT would suffer more because of vendor consolidation under the pressured profit picture for customers, a less diversified revenue mix (client, service line, vertical), which could throw up negative growth surprises, and a larger exposure to non-Global 1000 clientele whose profits are more vulnerable in the current challenging macro environment. Indian Tier-2 IT is now at a PE premium of ~20% to Tier-1 from a discount of 14% on 1st January, 2020.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sector Update - Cut Target Prices yet Again; Customer Stress Shows up Earlier than Expected

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Persistent Systems Ltd (Persistent) reported strong and broad-based growth in Q4FY22 and beat our expectations on all key parameters.</li><li>The company's revenue stood at Rs 1,638 Cr, up 9.8% QoQ and 42.2% YoY. Its operating profits registered a growth of 14% QoQ to Rs 230 Cr and operating margins marginally expanded by 40bps QoQ to 14%</li><li>We recommend a BUY rating on the stock and assign a 38x P/E multiple to its FY24E earnings of Rs 126.8/share to arrive at a TP of Rs 4,820/share, indicating an upside potential of 18% from CMP.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Persistent Systems Ltd (Persistent) reported strong and broad-based growth in Q4FY22 and beat our expectations on all key parameters.The company's revenue stood at Rs 1,638 Cr, up 9.8% QoQ and 42.2% YoY. Its operating profits registered a growth of 14% QoQ to Rs 230 Cr and operating margins marginally expanded by 40bps QoQ to 14%We recommend a BUY rating on the stock and assign a 38x P/E multiple to its FY24E earnings of Rs 126.8/share to arrive at a TP of Rs 4,820/share, indicating an upside potential of 18% from CMP.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Persistent Systems: Robust Business & Strong Execution to Provide Growth

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P BSE family of indices represents the performance of stocks listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) across various sizes, themes, industries, and strategies.</li>
<li>This series will mainly focus on the following indices of the S&amp;P BSE family: S&amp;P BSE 500, S&amp;P BSE 200, S&amp;P BSE 100, and S&amp;P BSE SENSEX.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the leading candidates who could become Adds/Deletes during the June 2022 Semi-annual Rebalance.</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P BSE family of indices represents the performance of stocks listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) across various sizes, themes, industries, and strategies.
This series will mainly focus on the following indices of the S&amp;P BSE family: S&amp;P BSE 500, S&amp;P BSE 200, S&amp;P BSE 100, and S&amp;P BSE SENSEX.
In this insight, we take a look at the leading candidates who could become Adds/Deletes during the June 2022 Semi-annual Rebalance.


S&P BSE Indices (SENSEX Family): Quiddity Leaderboard for June 2022 Rebalance (Final)

<ul><li>We are downgrading Indian IT Services sector to underweight (UW) on a 12-month basis, though in the near term, there is relative earnings resilience against certain domestic sectors.</li><li>But, the likely 1HFY23 strength should be used to pare positions if overweight (OW), especially in expensive Tier-2 companies.</li><li>Nifty IT index is up ~144% from 1st Jan, 2020 till 31st March, 2022 while Nifty is up 44% (Nifty Bank up only 13%!)</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We are downgrading Indian IT Services sector to underweight (UW) on a 12-month basis, though in the near term, there is relative earnings resilience against certain domestic sectors.But, the likely 1HFY23 strength should be used to pare positions if overweight (OW), especially in expensive Tier-2 companies.Nifty IT index is up ~144% from 1st Jan, 2020 till 31st March, 2022 while Nifty is up 44% (Nifty Bank up only 13%!)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Information Technology Sector- Sector Update- Move to Underweight

India

Persistent Systems Limited offers outsourced software product development. The Company offer services that include testing, support, and professional services.

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Persistent Systems (PSYS IN)

S&P BSE Indices: No Changes for SENSEX; 7 ADDs/DELs for BSE 100 in June 2022

S&P BSE Index changes for June 2022 were announced last week. No changes for SENSEX. 7 Adds/Deletes for BSE 100 including some negative and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Sector Update - Cut Target Prices yet Again; Customer Stress Shows up Earlier than Expected

Just 40 days post our downgrade of the IT sector to ‘underweight’, we have reduced target prices yet again and have moved our entire coverage...

Nirmal Bang

Persistent Systems: Robust Business & Strong Execution to Provide Growth

We recommend a BUY rating on the stock and assign a 38x P/E multiple to its FY24E earnings of Rs 126.8/share to arrive at a TP of Rs 4,820/share,...

Axis Direct

S&P BSE Indices (SENSEX Family): Quiddity Leaderboard for June 2022 Rebalance (Final)

A look at the Potential ADDs and Potential DELETEs for the S&P BSE SENSEX, S&P BSE 100, S&P BSE 200, and S&P BSE 500 Indices for the upcoming...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Information Technology Sector- Sector Update- Move to Underweight

We are downgrading Indian IT Services sector to underweight (UW) on a 12-month basis, though in the near term, there is relative earnings...

Nirmal Bang

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