CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Equity Bottom-Up

Pembangunan Perumahan (Persero) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Low correlation with Western stock markets, low debt levels, and relatively strong analyst recommendation relative to its sector</li><li>PTPP to benefit from the public affordable housing program; already secured first low-cost housing project in Serpong worth $135 million</li><li>The govt’s 35GW program to build 300 power plants should support growth in the higher margin engineering procurement and construction (EPC) segment; where revenue grew by more than 150% in 2016 YoY</li><li>Trades in line with ASEAN Capital Goods at 17CE* 6.6% ROE/PB and offers a solid net-cash position</li><li>Risks: Gov’t budget cuts and delay in land clearing process for toll roads</li></ul>* Consensus Estimates

Low correlation with Western stock markets, low debt levels, and relatively strong analyst recommendation relative to its sectorPTPP to benefit from the public affordable housing program; already secured first low-cost housing project in Serpong worth $135 millionThe govt’s 35GW program to build 300 power plants should support growth in the higher margin engineering procurement and construction (EPC) segment; where revenue grew by more than 150% in 2016 YoYTrades in line with ASEAN Capital Goods at 17CE* 6.6% ROE/PB and offers a solid net-cash positionRisks: Gov’t budget cuts and delay in land clearing process for toll roads* Consensus Estimates

PTPP: Public Infrastructure Goals to Build Revenue

ASEAN (Indo) & China-focused. Ex-Deputy HoR UBS.

Johannes Salim, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Our Global Reflation Pulse Check indicates the global reflation theme remains intact.</li>
<li>Earnings and economic growth in the US and Europe have accelerated in particular.</li>
<li>China risk is manageable; in fact, we are supportive of recent Chinese government emphasis on reform over growth.</li>
<li>Indo has seen some political reform setbacks.</li>
<li>We continue to prefer ASEAN financials, China information technology, Sino-ASEAN consumer discretionary, and Sino-ASEAN infrastructure. </li>
</ul>In this note, we would like to do…


Our Global Reflation Pulse Check indicates the global reflation theme remains intact.
Earnings and economic growth in the US and Europe have accelerated in particular.
China risk is manageable; in fact, we are supportive of recent Chinese government emphasis on reform over growth.
Indo has seen some political reform setbacks.
We continue to prefer ASEAN financials, China information technology, Sino-ASEAN consumer discretionary, and Sino-ASEAN infrastructure. 
In this note, we would like to do…

Sino-ASEAN Strategy: Is There No Stopping This Bull Run? - Part II

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

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§  The SGX Maritime &amp; Offshore Services (MOE) Index, a benchmark for the MOE Sector, has rebounded 19.7% from its trough on 1 Sep 2016 in tandem with the recovery of crude oil prices, which may be an indication that the sector could be bottoming out.
 
§  Despite the rally, the 18 constituents within the SGX MOE Index are trading at an average current price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.7x, with 10 of them trading below their book values.
 
§  Consensus estimates are expecting oil prices to stabilise and…
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</tbody></table>


 

§  The SGX Maritime &amp; Offshore Services (MOE) Index, a benchmark for the MOE Sector, has rebounded 19.7% from its trough on 1 Sep 2016 in tandem with the recovery of crude oil prices, which may be an indication that the sector could be bottoming out.
 
§  Despite the rally, the 18 constituents within the SGX MOE Index are trading at an average current price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.7x, with 10 of them trading below their book values.
 
§  Consensus estimates are expecting oil prices to stabilise and…



SGX's MOE Sector Sustains 4Q16 Momentum into 2017

<ul>
<li>In the 2016 calendar year, more than 100 companies were involved in share buybacks, with the buyback considerations amounting to S$826 million. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/74" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:74">Singapore Airlines Ltd (SIA SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/114" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:114">Oversea Chinese Banking Corp. Limited (OCBC SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/2894" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2894">Global Logistic Properties Ltd (GLP SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/765" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:765">Olam International Ltd (OLAM SP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/22" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22">DBS Group Holdings Ltd (DBS SP)</a> ranked highest in terms of buyback consideration value over the calendar year.</li>
<li>More recently, for the month of December 2016, there were a total of 13,915,200 shares…</li>
</ul>


In the 2016 calendar year, more than 100 companies were involved in share buybacks, with the buyback considerations amounting to S$826 million. Singapore Airlines Ltd (SIA SP), Oversea Chinese Banking Corp. Limited (OCBC SP), Global Logistic Properties Ltd (GLP SP), Olam International Ltd (OLAM SP) and DBS Group Holdings Ltd (DBS SP) ranked highest in terms of buyback consideration value over the calendar year.
More recently, for the month of December 2016, there were a total of 13,915,200 shares…


Over 100 Firms Conducted Share Buybacks Totaling S$826M in 2016

Founder, Riedel Research

David Riedel

Founder

Independent equity research on GEM Markets

Riedel Research

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Please feel free to contact us for complimentary access to our written research.  We want to show you that our unique research flow can add value and help develop a long-term, high value-add relationship.

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<ul>
<li>Obama continues the 'pivot to Asia' by attending the ASEAN meeting in Laos.</li>
<li>ASEAN is a critical component of SE Asian stability, partnership with the US and should be a united front in protesting Chinese intrusions into the South China Sea.</li>
<li>A high-profile spat with Philippine president Duterte was an unfortunate distraction and an unhelpful development for the Philippines which benefits from strong U.S. support.</li>
<li>Thailand and Malaysia look like the best opportunities in ASEAN in the medium-term.</li>
<li>BUY…</li>
</ul>


Obama continues the 'pivot to Asia' by attending the ASEAN meeting in Laos.
ASEAN is a critical component of SE Asian stability, partnership with the US and should be a united front in protesting Chinese intrusions into the South China Sea.
A high-profile spat with Philippine president Duterte was an unfortunate distraction and an unhelpful development for the Philippines which benefits from strong U.S. support.
Thailand and Malaysia look like the best opportunities in ASEAN in the medium-term.
BUY…


Takeaways from ASEAN - Investment Opportunities

Indonesia

PT Pembangunan Perumahan Persero Tbk is a full service construction company. The Company develops offices and hotels in Indonesia.

Pembangunan Perumahan (Persero) (PTPP IJ)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Pembangunan Perumahan (Persero) (PTPP IJ)

PTPP: Public Infrastructure Goals to Build Revenue

Low correlation with Western stock markets, low debt levels, andrelatively strong analyst recommendation relative to its sector PTPP to benefit...

A. Stotz Investment Research

Sino-ASEAN Strategy: Is There No Stopping This Bull Run? - Part II

Our Global Reflation Pulse Check indicates the global reflation theme remains intact. Earnings and economic growth in the US and Europe have...

Johannes Salim, CFA

SGX's MOE Sector Sustains 4Q16 Momentum into 2017

§ The SGX Maritime & Offshore Services (MOE) Index, a benchmark for the MOE Sector, has rebounded 19.7% from its trough on 1 Sep 2016 in...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Takeaways from ASEAN - Investment Opportunities

Obama continues the 'pivot to Asia' by attending the ASEAN meeting in Laos. ASEAN is a critical component of SE Asian stability, partnership with...

David Riedel

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

PTPP: Public Infrastructure Goals to Build Revenue

Low correlation with Western stock markets, low debt levels, andrelatively strong analyst recommendation relative to its sector PTPP to benefit...

A. Stotz Investment Research

Sino-ASEAN Strategy: Is There No Stopping This Bull Run? - Part II

Our Global Reflation Pulse Check indicates the global reflation theme remains intact. Earnings and economic growth in the US and Europe have...

Johannes Salim, CFA

SGX's MOE Sector Sustains 4Q16 Momentum into 2017

§ The SGX Maritime & Offshore Services (MOE) Index, a benchmark for the MOE Sector, has rebounded 19.7% from its trough on 1 Sep 2016 in...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Over 100 Firms Conducted Share Buybacks Totaling S$826M in 2016

In the 2016 calendar year, more than 100 companies were involved in share buybacks, with the buyback considerations amounting to S$826 million....

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Takeaways from ASEAN - Investment Opportunities

Obama continues the 'pivot to Asia' by attending the ASEAN meeting in Laos. ASEAN is a critical component of SE Asian stability, partnership with...

David Riedel