Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>US President-elect Trump has proposed new tariffs on China (and others) by January</li>
<li>Higher tariffs on Chinese goods could make Chinese imports more expensive in the US</li>
<li>For SHEIN &amp; Temu, larger threat still comes from potential reform of <em>de minimis</em> rules</li>
</ul>


US President-elect Trump has proposed new tariffs on China (and others) by January
Higher tariffs on Chinese goods could make Chinese imports more expensive in the US
For SHEIN &amp; Temu, larger threat still comes from potential reform of de minimis rules


SHEIN and Temu: Higher Tariffs Under 2nd Trump Admin an Additional Threat Beyond "De Minimis" Reform

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The December rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kraneshares-csi-china-internet-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28208:1" rel="noopener">KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB US)</a> will take place at the close of trading on 13 December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cloud-village-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33412:1" rel="noopener">Cloud Village (9899 HK)</a> is an add while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lufax-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29690:1" rel="noopener">Lufax Holding (LU US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-healthcare-and-technology-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27008:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Healthcare and Technology (1833 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zx-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36624:1" rel="noopener">ZX (9890 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ysb-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35982:1" rel="noopener">YSB (9885 HK)</a> are deletes.</li>
<li>The deletions of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-healthcare-and-technology-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27008:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Healthcare (1833 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zx-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36624:1" rel="noopener">ZX (9890 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ysb-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35982:1" rel="noopener">YSB (9885 HK)</a> were forecast and there will be positioning in the stocks. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lufax-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29690:1" rel="noopener">Lufax</a> was a close delete.</li>
</ul>


The December rebalance of the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB US) will take place at the close of trading on 13 December.

Cloud Village (9899 HK) is an add while Lufax Holding (LU US), Ping An Healthcare and Technology (1833 HK), ZX (9890 HK) and YSB (9885 HK) are deletes.
The deletions of Ping An Healthcare (1833 HK), ZX (9890 HK) and YSB (9885 HK) were forecast and there will be positioning in the stocks. Lufax was a close delete.


KWEB Index Rebalance: 1 Add & 4 Deletes in December

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The election of Donald Trump with overwhelming majority changes the investment logic of our sectors and perhaps others. But besides acknowledging, what is actionable is the broad impact expected globally; </li>
<li>Thus the questions of whether Trump's policies will be successful, become important: how flexible they are, what are the signposts and who stand to benefit and be hurt;</li>
<li>Our standing assumption is that both MAGA and non-MAGA will claim victory.  We are assuming quality executions from the Trump team but the odds of achieving is still daunting.</li>
</ul>


The election of Donald Trump with overwhelming majority changes the investment logic of our sectors and perhaps others. But besides acknowledging, what is actionable is the broad impact expected globally; 
Thus the questions of whether Trump's policies will be successful, become important: how flexible they are, what are the signposts and who stand to benefit and be hurt;
Our standing assumption is that both MAGA and non-MAGA will claim victory.  We are assuming quality executions from the Trump team but the odds of achieving is still daunting.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maanshan-dingtai-rare-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4128:1" rel="noopener">S.F. Holding (002352 CH)</a>, China’s largest express delivery company, raised around US$860m in its H-share listing in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>SFH is the largest integrated express logistics service provider in China and the fourth largest in the world. It has been listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange since 2017.</li>
<li>We have covered the company and deal background in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



S.F. Holding (002352 CH), China’s largest express delivery company, raised around US$860m in its H-share listing in Hong Kong.
SFH is the largest integrated express logistics service provider in China and the fourth largest in the world. It has been listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange since 2017.
We have covered the company and deal background in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


SF Holdings A/H Trading - Strong Demand but Is Probably Close to Fair Value

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

<ul>
<li>3690 HK: China Cyberspace Administration Launches Initiative to Address Algorithm Issues(/)</li>
<li>BABA US/PDD US/JD US: Alibaba integrates its domestic and international e-commerce business under Jiang Fan (+/-/-)</li>
<li>TCOM US: China Implements Visa-Free Entry for Citizens from Japan and 8 Other Countries, Extends Stay Duration to 30 Days (+)</li>
</ul>


3690 HK: China Cyberspace Administration Launches Initiative to Address Algorithm Issues(/)
BABA US/PDD US/JD US: Alibaba integrates its domestic and international e-commerce business under Jiang Fan (+/-/-)
TCOM US: China Implements Visa-Free Entry for Citizens from Japan and 8 Other Countries, Extends Stay Duration to 30 Days (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:3690 HK/BABA US/PDD US/JD US/TCOM US/NTES US/700 HK/1024 HK

China

PDD Holdings Inc. is a multinational commerce group that owns and operates a portfolio of businesses. The Company focuses on digital economy so that local communities and small businesses can benefit from the increased productivity and new opportunities. PDD Holdings has built a network of sourcing, logistics, and fulfillment capabilities for its underlying businesses.

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52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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PDD Holdings (PDD US)

SHEIN and Temu: Higher Tariffs Under 2nd Trump Admin an Additional Threat Beyond "De Minimis" Reform

Despite noise from the new US administration regarding additional tariffs on imported Chinese goods, the bigger threat to SHEIN and Temu remains...

Tracking Traffic

KWEB Index Rebalance: 1 Add & 4 Deletes in December

Cloud Village is an add while Lufax, Ping An Health, ZX and YSB are deletes. There will be capping flow for the large caps. Couple of surprises...

Brian Freitas

Smart Trump, or Dumb Trump?

Election of Trump shifts investment logic but we differ on how. First realization is it is a zero sum game and assessing MAGA's chance of success...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

SF Holdings A/H Trading - Strong Demand but Is Probably Close to Fair Value

S.F. Holding (002352 CH), China’s largest express delivery company, raised around US$860m in its H-share listing in Hong Kong. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:3690 HK/BABA US/PDD US/JD US/TCOM US/NTES US/700 HK/1024 HK

China's Cyberspace Administration tackles algorithm issues, Alibaba consolidates e-commerce business, and China extends visa-free entry for...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

SHEIN and Temu: Higher Tariffs Under 2nd Trump Admin an Additional Threat Beyond "De Minimis" Reform

Despite noise from the new US administration regarding additional tariffs on imported Chinese goods, the bigger threat to SHEIN and Temu remains...

Tracking Traffic

KWEB Index Rebalance: 1 Add & 4 Deletes in December

Cloud Village is an add while Lufax, Ping An Health, ZX and YSB are deletes. There will be capping flow for the large caps. Couple of surprises...

Brian Freitas

Smart Trump, or Dumb Trump?

​Election of Trump shifts investment logic but we differ on how. First realization is it is a zero sum game and assessing MAGA's chance of success...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

SF Holdings A/H Trading - Strong Demand but Is Probably Close to Fair Value

S.F. Holding (002352 CH), China’s largest express delivery company, raised around US$860m in its H-share listing in Hong Kong. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:3690 HK/BABA US/PDD US/JD US/TCOM US/NTES US/700 HK/1024 HK

​China's Cyberspace Administration tackles algorithm issues, Alibaba consolidates e-commerce business, and China extends visa-free entry for...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Election of Trump shifts investment logic but we differ on how. First realization is it is a zero sum game and assessing MAGA's chance of success...

China's Cyberspace Administration tackles algorithm issues, Alibaba consolidates e-commerce business, and China extends visa-free entry for...