Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Japan-Based BPO company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bewith-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35846:1" rel="noopener">Bewith (9216 JP)</a> was listed in the First Section (now known as the "Prime" Market) of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) on 2nd March 2022.</li>
<li>When a company gets listed in the TSE First Section, it subsequently gets included in the TOPIX Index requiring TOPIX-tracking funds to purchase the stock during an Inclusion Event.</li>
<li>Usually, this presents interesting trading opportunities to generate sharp market-neutral returns in the space of few trading days. Below is a look at the details for Bewith's Inclusion Event.</li>
</ul>


Japan-Based BPO company Bewith (9216 JP) was listed in the First Section (now known as the "Prime" Market) of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) on 2nd March 2022.
When a company gets listed in the TSE First Section, it subsequently gets included in the TOPIX Index requiring TOPIX-tracking funds to purchase the stock during an Inclusion Event.
Usually, this presents interesting trading opportunities to generate sharp market-neutral returns in the space of few trading days. Below is a look at the details for Bewith's Inclusion Event.


<div><p>JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks whose main market is the TSE1, TSE2, JASDAQ, and Mothers sections (which will become the Prime Market, Standard Market, or Growth Market next April) of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. This is a free-float-adjusted market-value-weighted (capped) index composed of 400 constituents selected based on several factors including market capitalization, trading value, operating profits, and ROE.</p></div><div><p>A periodic review is conducted by the Index providers, the JPX Group and Nikkei Inc, in August every year. This review is conducted using the final business day of June as the base date. </p></div><div><p>Quiddity provides quantitative research on pre-event basket strategies surrounding this Index Rebalance event and others. Below is a look at potential Inclusions and Removals for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to come in August 2022 based on trading data as of end-October 2021.</p></div>

JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks whose main market is the TSE1, TSE2, JASDAQ, and Mothers sections (which will become the Prime Market, Standard Market, or Growth Market next April) of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. This is a free-float-adjusted market-value-weighted (capped) index composed of 400 constituents selected based on several factors including market capitalization, trading value, operating profits, and ROE.A periodic review is conducted by the Index providers, the JPX Group and Nikkei Inc, in August every year. This review is conducted using the final business day of June as the base date. Quiddity provides quantitative research on pre-event basket strategies surrounding this Index Rebalance event and others. Below is a look at potential Inclusions and Removals for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to come in August 2022 based on trading data as of end-October 2021.

JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance 2022: Leader Board End-Oct 2021

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist, LightStream Research

Campbell Gunn

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p style="text-align: center;"><strong>• LARGE CAP RESULTS - 13th APRIL •</strong></p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/200/386/original/image_36527959121618346539491.png?1618346540" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="200386"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source for all charts &amp; tables: Japan Analytics</div><p><strong>RESULTS</strong> - Only 38% of Tuesdays 69 results announcements scored positively. Of the largest-cap stocks reporting, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toho-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7806:1" rel="noopener">Toho (9602 JP)</a> cinemas has yet to bottom out but is still in profit. 'New wave' software companies <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sansan-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28112:1" rel="noopener">Sansan (4443 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/money-forward-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25919:1" rel="noopener">Money Forward (3994 JP)</a> are growing into their extreme valuations, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pasona-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15778:1" rel="noopener">Pasona's</a> under-appreciated margin transformation continues. </p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/200/403/original/image_63727914331618348873715.png?1618348877" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="200403"></figure><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/200/404/original/image_12260447541618348911606.png?1618348912" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="200404"></figure><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/200/405/original/image_35233699051618348944141.png?1618348944" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="200405"></figure><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/200/406/original/image_14670185761618348969100.png?1618348969" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="200406"></figure><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>• LARGE CAP FORECASTS/REVISIONS - 13th APRIL •</strong></p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/200/407/original/image_58511005871618349036093.png?1618349036" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="200407"></figure><p><strong>FORECASTS/REVISIONS</strong> - Two-thirds of annual forecasts/revisions were positive, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toho-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7806:1" rel="noopener">Toho (9602 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-front-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8947:1" rel="noopener">J Front Retailing (3086 JP)</a> the leading largest-cap optimists. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/santen-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8602:1" rel="noopener">Santen Pharmaceutical (4536 JP)</a> revised down following a delay in the approval of glaucoma implant DE-128.</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/200/408/original/image_63605452481618349380112.png?1618349381" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="200408"></figure><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/200/409/original/image_46822562891618349413296.png?1618349413" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="200409"></figure>

• LARGE CAP RESULTS - 13th APRIL •Source for all charts &amp; tables: Japan AnalyticsRESULTS - Only 38% of Tuesdays 69 results announcements scored positively. Of the largest-cap stocks reporting, Toho (9602 JP) cinemas has yet to bottom out but is still in profit. 'New wave' software companies Sansan (4443 JP) and Money Forward (3994 JP) are growing into their extreme valuations, while Pasona's under-appreciated margin transformation continues. • LARGE CAP FORECASTS/REVISIONS - 13th APRIL •FORECASTS/REVISIONS - Two-thirds of annual forecasts/revisions were positive, with Toho (9602 JP) and J Front Retailing (3086 JP) the leading largest-cap optimists. Santen Pharmaceutical (4536 JP) revised down following a delay in the approval of glaucoma implant DE-128.

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 04/​​​​​​13 - Pasona (Grata) & J Front Retailing

<p style="text-align: center;"><strong>• BEST &amp; WORST •</strong></p><p style="text-align: left;">The current 'crop' of results and revisions announcements have yet to generate much to cheer about. For yesterday's 75 results the average TTM revenue decline is 8% and operating margins have declined by 4 percentage points year-on-year. 25% of the companies are still in the red for the quarter. Our best and worst pair for the day is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sakata-seed-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9825:1" rel="noopener">Sakata Seed (1377 JP)</a> and eyewear retailer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jins-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12002:1" rel="noopener">JINS (3046 JP)</a>.</p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/182/339/original/2021-01-14_06-42-35.png?1610574169" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="182339"></figure></section><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/182/340/original/2021-01-14_06-44-07.png?1610574261" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="182340"></figure></section><div class="content-caption">Source for all charts &amp; tables: Japan Analytics.</div>

• BEST &amp; WORST •The current 'crop' of results and revisions announcements have yet to generate much to cheer about. For yesterday's 75 results the average TTM revenue decline is 8% and operating margins have declined by 4 percentage points year-on-year. 25% of the companies are still in the red for the quarter. Our best and worst pair for the day is Sakata Seed (1377 JP) and eyewear retailer JINS (3046 JP).Source for all charts &amp; tables: Japan Analytics.

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions ​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​01/​​​​​13 JINS, Pasona, Sakata Seed

Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy, Urbem (HK) Limited

Steven Chen

Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy

Equity Bottom-Up

Matching Service Japan / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Recruitment agency businesses have their general attractions in Japan, but we would focus on the highest-quality names like JAC Recruitment and Matching Service Japan;</li>
<li>Both companies appear to compete advantageously partly thanks to their niche focuses;</li>
<li>Both shares trade at similar valuations;</li>
<li>We feel it way more difficult to pick between the two than set them apart from the larger crowd, but here is our No. 1 pick if we have to choose.</li>
</ul>


Recruitment agency businesses have their general attractions in Japan, but we would focus on the highest-quality names like JAC Recruitment and Matching Service Japan;
Both companies appear to compete advantageously partly thanks to their niche focuses;
Both shares trade at similar valuations;
We feel it way more difficult to pick between the two than set them apart from the larger crowd, but here is our No. 1 pick if we have to choose.


Two Japanese High-Quality, Niche-Focused Recruitment Agents

Japan

Pasona Group Inc. manages companies that provide placement and staffing services for clients in the information technology sector.

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Pasona Group (2168 JP)

TOPIX Inclusion: Bewith (9216 JP)

Japan-Based BPO company Bewith was listed in the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange on 2nd March 2022. Here is a look at the estimated...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance 2022: Leader Board End-Oct 2021

In this insight, we take a look at the potential Inclusions and Removals for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to come in August 2022 based on trading...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 04/13 - Pasona (Grata) & J Front Retailing

RESULTS - Only 38% of Tuesdays 69 results announcements scored positively. Of the largest-cap stocks reporting, Toho (9602 JP) cinemas has yet to...

Campbell Gunn

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 01/13 JINS, Pasona, Sakata Seed

The current 'crop' of results and revisions announcements have yet to generate much to cheer about. For yesterday's 75 results the average TTM...

Campbell Gunn

Two Japanese High-Quality, Niche-Focused Recruitment Agents

We feel it way more difficult to pick between the two than set them apart from the larger crowd, but here is our No. 1 pick if we have to choose.

Steven Chen

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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TOPIX Inclusion: Bewith (9216 JP)

Japan-Based BPO company Bewith was listed in the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange on 2nd March 2022. Here is a look at the estimated...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance 2022: Leader Board End-Oct 2021

In this insight, we take a look at the potential Inclusions and Removals for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to come in August 2022 based on trading...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 04/​​​​​​13 - Pasona (Grata) & J Front Retailing

RESULTS - Only 38% of Tuesdays 69 results announcements scored positively. Of the largest-cap stocks reporting, Toho (9602 JP) cinemas has yet to...

Campbell Gunn

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions ​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​01/​​​​​13 JINS, Pasona, Sakata Seed

The current 'crop' of results and revisions announcements have yet to generate much to cheer about. For yesterday's 75 results the average TTM...

Campbell Gunn

Two Japanese High-Quality, Niche-Focused Recruitment Agents

We feel it way more difficult to pick between the two than set them apart from the larger crowd, but here is our No. 1 pick if we have to choose.

Steven Chen

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 04/13 - Pasona (Grata) & J Front Retailing

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 01/13 JINS, Pasona, Sakata Seed