Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are a bunch of stocks that are constituents of the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices and could go private or merge prior to the next scheduled rebalance in December.</li>
<li>That will lead to ad hoc inclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and could also lead to ad hoc inclusions for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 and S&amp;P/ASX 100 indices.</li>
<li>There is a fair amount of short interest on some of the potential inclusions and short covering due to index inclusion could take the stocks higher.</li>
</ul>


There are a bunch of stocks that are constituents of the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices and could go private or merge prior to the next scheduled rebalance in December.
That will lead to ad hoc inclusions for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and could also lead to ad hoc inclusions for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 and S&amp;P/ASX 100 indices.
There is a fair amount of short interest on some of the potential inclusions and short covering due to index inclusion could take the stocks higher.


Mergers, Acquisitions and Potential S&P/ASX Index Ad Hoc Inclusions

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

First Trust Dj Internet Ind / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Last week (8/22/23) we discussed our expectations for an oversold bounce due to an overwhelming number of indexes/Sectors/industries testing multi-month supports, combined with Treasury yields and the DXY testing resistance.</li>
<li>The bounce has begun with the SPP ending higher last week for the first time in a month, and it is possible we have seen the lows for this pause/pullback.</li>
<li>A meaningful correction cannot happen if the SPX is above 4300-4325, but we would not be surprised to see another month or more of consolidation between 4300 and 4600.</li>
</ul>


Last week (8/22/23) we discussed our expectations for an oversold bounce due to an overwhelming number of indexes/Sectors/industries testing multi-month supports, combined with Treasury yields and the DXY testing resistance.
The bounce has begun with the SPP ending higher last week for the first time in a month, and it is possible we have seen the lows for this pause/pullback.
A meaningful correction cannot happen if the SPX is above 4300-4325, but we would not be surprised to see another month or more of consolidation between 4300 and 4600.


Oversold Bounce Underway Amid Consolidation Phase; Buys in IT Consulting, Uranium, Technology

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sayona-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1589:1" rel="noopener">Sayona Mining (SYA AU)</a> is looking to raise around US$129m in its primary follow-on offering. Proceeds will be used for CAPEX needs and working capital, amongst others. </li>
<li>The deal is a slightly large one to digest at 17.9 days of ADV and 12.1% dilution.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Sayona Mining (SYA AU) is looking to raise around US$129m in its primary follow-on offering. Proceeds will be used for CAPEX needs and working capital, amongst others. 
The deal is a slightly large one to digest at 17.9 days of ADV and 12.1% dilution.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Sayona Mining Placement - Has Remained on Schedule with Increased Coverage

Clarence Chu

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sayona-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1589:1" rel="noopener">Sayona Mining (SYA AU)</a> is looking to raise A$190m (approx US$135m) to restart its North American Lithium (NAL) mine.</li>
<li>On Monday (23rd May 2022), Sayona Mining had published a positive pre-feasibility study on the NAL mine, where shares have since corrected 26.8%.</li>
<li>The NAL mine is co-owned with US-based Lithium explorer, Piedmont Lithium, where Sayona Mining owns 75% interest, with the remainder 25% owned by Piedmont Lithium.</li>
</ul>



Sayona Mining (SYA AU) is looking to raise A$190m (approx US$135m) to restart its North American Lithium (NAL) mine.
On Monday (23rd May 2022), Sayona Mining had published a positive pre-feasibility study on the NAL mine, where shares have since corrected 26.8%.
The NAL mine is co-owned with US-based Lithium explorer, Piedmont Lithium, where Sayona Mining owns 75% interest, with the remainder 25% owned by Piedmont Lithium.


Sayona Mining Placement - Speculative in Nature but past Deals Have Done Well

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>With under three weeks until <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virtus-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14776:1" rel="noopener">Virtus Health (VRT AU)</a></strong> shareholders vote on CapVest's Offer, BGH continues to <em>gradually</em> push out the tendering period for its own Offer.</li>
<li>The outcome of the Scheme Meeting is all but a foregone conclusion assuming BGH sticks to its guns and is not supportive; which then potentially rekindles this competitive bidding situation.</li>
<li>This insight discusses the constraints BGH needs to adhere to in "truth in takeover" statements. There are still a handful of moving parts to unfold in this transaction.</li>
</ul>


With under three weeks until Virtus Health (VRT AU) shareholders vote on CapVest's Offer, BGH continues to gradually push out the tendering period for its own Offer.
The outcome of the Scheme Meeting is all but a foregone conclusion assuming BGH sticks to its guns and is not supportive; which then potentially rekindles this competitive bidding situation.
This insight discusses the constraints BGH needs to adhere to in "truth in takeover" statements. There are still a handful of moving parts to unfold in this transaction.


Australia

Paladin Energy Ltd operates as a mining company. The Company explores and mines uranium. Paladin Energy serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Paladin Energy (PDN AU)

Mergers, Acquisitions and Potential S&P/ASX Index Ad Hoc Inclusions

There are 5 companies that are members of the S&P/ASX indices and could be delisted prior to the next rebalance in December. That could mean ad hoc...

Brian Freitas

Oversold Bounce Underway Amid Consolidation Phase; Buys in IT Consulting, Uranium, Technology

Our 8/22 expectations for oversold bounce coming to fruition as major multi-month supports hold $SPX $DJI $XLK $ACWI, & Treasury yields $TNX $TYX...

Vermilion Research

Sayona Mining Placement - Has Remained on Schedule with Increased Coverage

Sayona Mining (SYA AU) is looking to raise around US$129m in its primary follow-on offering. Proceeds will be used for CAPEX needs and working...

Ethan Aw

Sayona Mining Placement - Speculative in Nature but past Deals Have Done Well

Sayona Mining (SYA AU) is looking to raise US$135m to restart its North American Lithium (NAL) mine. On Mon, the firm published a positive PFS on...

Clarence Chu

Virtus Health & BGH: Truth in Takeovers

Recommendation unchanged: if you're in, hold on for any possible upward revision. If not already in, get involved around here, or on any pullback.

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)