Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-17651'>Indofood CBP Sukses</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-8550'>Pakuwon Jati</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-31'>Rakuten</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Indofood CBP SuksesPakuwon JatiRakuten

Morning Views Asia: Indofood CBP Sukses, Pakuwon Jati, Rakuten

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>PWON booked marketing sales of IDR442 billion in 3Q23 (+46% qoq, +20% yoy) driven by its high-rise residential sales.</li><li>We reaffirm our BUY rating on PWON on the back of: 1) marketing sales recovery in 3Q23, 2) its strong investment property portfolio, and 3) its cheap valuation.</li><li>We maintain our TP at IDR610 which is based on a 56% discount to its RNAV. Recovery in 3Q23 marketing sales. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

PWON booked marketing sales of IDR442 billion in 3Q23 (+46% qoq, +20% yoy) driven by its high-rise residential sales.We reaffirm our BUY rating on PWON on the back of: 1) marketing sales recovery in 3Q23, 2) its strong investment property portfolio, and 3) its cheap valuation.We maintain our TP at IDR610 which is based on a 56% discount to its RNAV. Recovery in 3Q23 marketing sales. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pakuwon Jati (PWON IJ) - Attractive Valuation Amid Marketing Sales Recovery

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-8550'>Pakuwon Jati</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-36725'>Pertamina Geothermal Energy PT</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-13363'>Sunny Optical Technology Group</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Pakuwon JatiPertamina Geothermal Energy PTSunny Optical Technology Group

Morning Views Asia: Pakuwon Jati, Pertamina Geothermal Energy PT, Sunny Optical Technology Group

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index ended on 31 December. The changes should be announced in the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 31 January.</li>
<li>We see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/waskita-karya-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15739:1" rel="noopener">Waskita Karya (Persero) (WSKT IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harum-energy-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1604:1" rel="noopener">Harum Energy (HRUM IJ)</a> as higher probability inclusions in the LQ45 Index.</li>
<li>Given the focus is on liquidity, we see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jasa-marga-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12747:1" rel="noopener">Jasa Marga (Persero) (JSMR IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumi-serpong-damai-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15498:1" rel="noopener">Bumi Serpong Damai (BSDE IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akr-corporindo-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13338:1" rel="noopener">AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ)</a> as higher probability deletion candidates.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index ended on 31 December. The changes should be announced in the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 31 January.
We see Waskita Karya (Persero) (WSKT IJ), BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) and Harum Energy (HRUM IJ) as higher probability inclusions in the LQ45 Index.
Given the focus is on liquidity, we see Jasa Marga (Persero) (JSMR IJ), Bumi Serpong Damai (BSDE IJ) and AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) as higher probability deletion candidates.


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Feb 2022): Potential Changes Later This Month

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), MNC Sekuritas

MNC Sekuritas

MNC Sekuritas, the first wholly-owned subsidiary established by the Group back in 1989, provides a complete range of services, from equity, fixed income, investment banking to providing research to optimize clients’ investments. Thus far, the company has more than 140 points of sales with over 100,000 clients. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Residential sales grew by +31.2% YoY in 1Q24, meanwhile the ASP was relatively stable with +1.9% YoY growth.</li><li>Developers recorded an average increase in marketing sales of 13.1% YoY in 1Q24, with approximately ~46-47% marketing sales resulting from the VAT incentive, in line with the 100% VAT allowance in 1H24 and 50% in 2H24.</li><li>According to the survey from Rumah123, Tangerang became the most popular location reaching 15.6%, followed by South Jakarta (11.4%) and West Jakarta (10.8%), with a price range of IDR1-3billion/unit. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Residential sales grew by +31.2% YoY in 1Q24, meanwhile the ASP was relatively stable with +1.9% YoY growth.Developers recorded an average increase in marketing sales of 13.1% YoY in 1Q24, with approximately ~46-47% marketing sales resulting from the VAT incentive, in line with the 100% VAT allowance in 1H24 and 50% in 2H24.According to the survey from Rumah123, Tangerang became the most popular location reaching 15.6%, followed by South Jakarta (11.4%) and West Jakarta (10.8%), with a price range of IDR1-3billion/unit. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property Sector - The Dawn of a Promising Upsurge

Indonesia

PT Pakuwon Jati Tbk owns, develops, and manages shopping centers, business complexes, real estate, industrial estate, and hotels.

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Pakuwon Jati (PWON IJ)

Morning Views Asia: Indofood CBP Sukses, Pakuwon Jati, Rakuten

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics