Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Vision Fund's public portfolio dropped $18.6bn (-24%) in Q4. China concerns grabbed headlines but it was Asian names (Coupang, Grab) that drove losses</li>
<li>Public investments held at the parent level fell 41% (-$1.3bn), led by SoFi (-$862mn), Lemonade (-$189mn) and THG (-$147mn) </li>
<li>We expect that Softbank will also need to write down private investments although it is not clear just how far private valuations have tracked public changes</li>
</ul>


Vision Fund's public portfolio dropped $18.6bn (-24%) in Q4. China concerns grabbed headlines but it was Asian names (Coupang, Grab) that drove losses
Public investments held at the parent level fell 41% (-$1.3bn), led by SoFi (-$862mn), Lemonade (-$189mn) and THG (-$147mn) 
We expect that Softbank will also need to write down private investments although it is not clear just how far private valuations have tracked public changes


Softbank Group - Early Read on Q4 Portfolio Performance

<ul>
<li>Valuation losses in the public portfolio have increased by $6bn over two days on weakness at Coupang, Grab, DoorDash and WeWork.  Total losses for the quarter stand at $17bn.</li>
<li>With Alibaba shares still weak, NAV/share has moved decisively below ¥10,000/share and is back to where it in May/June 2020 when tech was first rebounding from the Covid shock.</li>
<li>The discount to NAV stands at 49% but is likely to expand when markets in Japan have a chance to respond to how stocks traded in the US on Friday.</li>
</ul>


Valuation losses in the public portfolio have increased by $6bn over two days on weakness at Coupang, Grab, DoorDash and WeWork.  Total losses for the quarter stand at $17bn.
With Alibaba shares still weak, NAV/share has moved decisively below ¥10,000/share and is back to where it in May/June 2020 when tech was first rebounding from the Covid shock.
The discount to NAV stands at 49% but is likely to expand when markets in Japan have a chance to respond to how stocks traded in the US on Friday.


Softbank Group - Tough Week for VF as Public Portfolio Falls $6bn over Two Days

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oyo-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28861:1" rel="noopener">Oyo (1698548D IN)</a> is a leading hospitality technology platform. Its DRHP aimed for a $1.2 billion raise although <a href="https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/tech/startups/oyo-may-reduce-ipo-size-valuation-may-be-readjusted-too/articleshow/89463277.cms" target="_blank" rel="noopener">recent reports</a> point to a less than $1 billion raise.</li>
<li>The fundamentals are mixed as it remains uncertain if it can deliver profits or cash generation with a return to growth (due to gradual lifting of travel restrictions).</li>
<li>Based on the information in the DRHP, we believe the negatives outweigh the positives and we would give the IPO a pass.</li>
</ul>



Oyo (1698548D IN) is a leading hospitality technology platform. Its DRHP aimed for a $1.2 billion raise although recent reports point to a less than $1 billion raise.
The fundamentals are mixed as it remains uncertain if it can deliver profits or cash generation with a return to growth (due to gradual lifting of travel restrictions).
Based on the information in the DRHP, we believe the negatives outweigh the positives and we would give the IPO a pass.


OYO (Oravel Stays) IPO Initiation: Tripped Up

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

LG Energy Solution / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)</a> saw very strong demand for its mega US$10bn+ IPO.</li>
<li>While other IPO markets were in torpor, a number of placements continued to flow in.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) saw very strong demand for its mega US$10bn+ IPO.
While other IPO markets were in torpor, a number of placements continued to flow in.


ECM Weekly (16th Jan 2022) - LG Energy, Hyundai Engineering, Nippon Paint, Sunac, JL Mag, JREITs

<ul>
<li>We take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2022. This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking company filings and other sources.</li>
<li>For readers who aren't familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific (ex A-shares), including China ADRs. </li>
<li>The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.</li>
</ul>


We take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2022. This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking company filings and other sources.
For readers who aren't familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific (ex A-shares), including China ADRs. 
The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.


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Oyo (1698548D IN)

Softbank Group - Early Read on Q4 Portfolio Performance

Portfolio losses were steep and may very well exceed the record quarterly erosion set in Q2 as well-known public losses are matched with private...

Kirk Boodry

Softbank Group - Tough Week for VF as Public Portfolio Falls $6bn over Two Days

Vision Fund's public portfolio has been hammered on weakness at Grab, Coupang and WeWork and QTD losses are approaching the record level from Q2...

Kirk Boodry

OYO (Oravel Stays) IPO Initiation: Tripped Up

OYO is rumoured to be seeking a lower raise (<$1 bn vs $1.2 bn) at a lower valuation ($7 bn vs $9-12 bn) due to market conditions. The fundamentals...

Arun George

ECM Weekly (16th Jan 2022) - LG Energy, Hyundai Engineering, Nippon Paint, Sunac, JL Mag, JREITs

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Aequitas 2022 Asia IPO Pipeline

We take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2022. This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking company filings and...

Sumeet Singh

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