Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aims-amp-capital-industrial" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:933" rel="noopener">AIMS APAC REIT (AAREIT SP)</a> 1Q23 DPU +1.3% YoY; Robust occupancies and rental reversion continue to drive organic growth</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-industrial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40" rel="noopener">Mapletree Industrial Trust (MINT SP)</a> 1Q23 DPU +4.2% YoY; Flat quarterly performance despite occupancies trending up</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-dc-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:85" rel="noopener">Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP)</a> 2Q22 DPU +4.8% YoY; Robust occupancy, trading attractively at 5.3% FY23E yield</li></ul>

AIMS APAC REIT (AAREIT SP) 1Q23 DPU +1.3% YoY; Robust occupancies and rental reversion continue to drive organic growthMapletree Industrial Trust (MINT SP) 1Q23 DPU +4.2% YoY; Flat quarterly performance despite occupancies trending upKeppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP) 2Q22 DPU +4.8% YoY; Robust occupancy, trading attractively at 5.3% FY23E yield

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (26Jul22) - AAREIT Robust Operating Metrics

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Given recent corporate events in S-REIT land, there <em>could be</em> some considerable money to be allocated to the sector near-term</li>
<li>These flows come at a time when prices are down off highs and liquidity is low.</li>
<li>There could be some price impact on certain types of S-REITs near-term.</li>
</ul>


Given recent corporate events in S-REIT land, there could be some considerable money to be allocated to the sector near-term
These flows come at a time when prices are down off highs and liquidity is low.
There could be some price impact on certain types of S-REITs near-term.


Large Potential S-REIT Flows in the Next Two Weeks

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a> has crept higher vs the Peer Baskets, especially in the last 4-6 weeks as Other S-REITs have weakened. </li>
<li>This sets the stage for a potentially large flowback into S-REITs as a class coming in a few weeks.</li>
<li>It may be time to reconsider positioning, looking at where MPACT has been and will be.</li>
</ul>



Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP) has crept higher vs the Peer Baskets, especially in the last 4-6 weeks as Other S-REITs have weakened. 
This sets the stage for a potentially large flowback into S-REITs as a class coming in a few weeks.
It may be time to reconsider positioning, looking at where MPACT has been and will be.


MCT SP as MPACT Creeping Ever Higher Vs Peers

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sph-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP)</a> "option" has performed admirably so far, up 4.2% in a month, and now it is time to look elsewhere. </li>
<li>SPH REIT has outperformed its Retail S-REIT peers and is now near the top of its undisturbed 3-year range. </li>
<li>And there are potential large flow events on the horizon which would benefit the Peers more than SPH REIT.</li>
</ul>


The SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP) "option" has performed admirably so far, up 4.2% in a month, and now it is time to look elsewhere. 
SPH REIT has outperformed its Retail S-REIT peers and is now near the top of its undisturbed 3-year range. 
And there are potential large flow events on the horizon which would benefit the Peers more than SPH REIT.


SPH REIT Option Has 1 Week To Go - Look Elsewhere

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

Far East Hospitality Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Not all hospitality REITs in Singapore are beneficiaries of the rebound in tourism in Singapore. </li>
<li>Genting, OUE Commercial REIT, and Fraser Hospitality Trust are not exactly beneficiaries to the current tourism rebound. </li>
<li>Only Far East Hospitality Trust has a 100% exposure in hotels in Singapore while CDL Hospitality Trust has 41% of the total contribution from Singapore. </li>
</ul>


Not all hospitality REITs in Singapore are beneficiaries of the rebound in tourism in Singapore. 
Genting, OUE Commercial REIT, and Fraser Hospitality Trust are not exactly beneficiaries to the current tourism rebound. 
Only Far East Hospitality Trust has a 100% exposure in hotels in Singapore while CDL Hospitality Trust has 41% of the total contribution from Singapore. 


Southeast Asia Tourism: Who Are the Beneficiaries

Singapore

OUE Real Estate Investment Trust (“OUE REIT”) is one of the largest diversified Singapore REITs (“S-REITs”) with total assets of S$6.0 billion as at 31 December 2022. With seven properties across the commercial and hospitality segments in Singapore and Shanghai, the property portfolio comprises more than 2.1 million square feet of prime office and retail space, and 1,643 upper upscale hotel rooms.

OUE REIT invests in income-producing real estate used primarily for commercial purposes (including real estate used primarily for office and/or retail purposes) in financial and business hubs, hospitality and/or hospitality-related purposes, as well as real estate-related assets.

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OUE REIT (OUECT SP)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (26Jul22) - AAREIT Robust Operating Metrics

MINT flat quarterly performance; KDCREIT trades attractively at 5.3% yield; CLCT expects retail recovery in 2H22; OUECT massive hotel turnaround;...

SCCM Asia Research

Large Potential S-REIT Flows in the Next Two Weeks

There may be a large inflow into S-REITs next week. It could range from 7-25 days of ADV or more for a large number of higher-yielding REITs and...

Travis Lundy

MCT SP as MPACT Creeping Ever Higher Vs Peers

MCT has outperformed Peers and as Virtual MPACT, has mostly erased its underperformance since deal announcement. This changes the risk balance...

Travis Lundy

SPH REIT Option Has 1 Week To Go - Look Elsewhere

SPH REIT "option" has done well and now it is time to look elsewhere. This could mean a reversion trade, an option trade, or in part an index...

Travis Lundy

Southeast Asia Tourism: Who Are the Beneficiaries

the real beneficiaries of the Singapore rebound in tourism (ex-China) are limited to a few names only. Far East Hospitality Trust and CDL...

Henry Soediarko

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