Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oriental-watch-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19950:1" rel="noopener">Oriental Watch (398 HK)</a> cycled into favorable comps for April-June 2023 owing to COVID-related closures in China in 2022 for the same period. </li>
<li>Another favorable data point was the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperor-watch-jewellery" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19670:1" rel="noopener">Emperor Watch &amp; Jewellery (887 HK)</a> positive profit alert for H1 FY23 ( Jan-Jun 2023), where the company guided &gt;100% net profit growth. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oriental-watch-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19950:1" rel="noopener">Oriental Watch (398 HK)</a> trades at 6.9x FY24e, with more than 50% of the market cap in cash and a ~100% payout ratio resulting in a 14% dividend yield. </li>
</ul>



Oriental Watch (398 HK) cycled into favorable comps for April-June 2023 owing to COVID-related closures in China in 2022 for the same period. 
Another favorable data point was the Emperor Watch &amp; Jewellery (887 HK) positive profit alert for H1 FY23 ( Jan-Jun 2023), where the company guided &gt;100% net profit growth. 

Oriental Watch (398 HK) trades at 6.9x FY24e, with more than 50% of the market cap in cash and a ~100% payout ratio resulting in a 14% dividend yield. 


Oriental Watch (398 HK): Strong Data Points for H1 FY24, 14% Yield + >50% Mkt Cap in Cash

Value Investing in Asia, Oriental Value

Oriental Value

Value Investing in Asia

<ul>
<li>A Review on Final Results Oriental Watch recently announced its earnings for the fiscal year, and the results were quite impressive.</li>
<li>On June 20, 2023, the company reported a revenue of HKD3.7 billion and a net profit of HKD295 million.</li>
<li>These figures surpassed our initial estimates of HKD3.</li>
</ul>


A Review on Final Results Oriental Watch recently announced its earnings for the fiscal year, and the results were quite impressive.
On June 20, 2023, the company reported a revenue of HKD3.7 billion and a net profit of HKD295 million.
These figures surpassed our initial estimates of HKD3.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oriental-watch-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19950:1" rel="noopener">Oriental Watch (398 HK)</a> reported a steady result, with 2023 earnings &lt;18% YoY ( adjusted for one-time gains in 2022 &lt;5% YoY), which was broadly in line with our expectations. </li>
<li>The DPS for FY23 was 61 cents (FY22: 74 cents) lower than our expectation of 65 cents, a 100% payout ratio equating to a 14% dividend yield.</li>
<li>Cash at 1.07 bn represents &gt; 50% of market capitalization. We believe the management will dip into reserves when it requires to manage a decent payout for shareholders.</li>
</ul>



Oriental Watch (398 HK) reported a steady result, with 2023 earnings &lt;18% YoY ( adjusted for one-time gains in 2022 &lt;5% YoY), which was broadly in line with our expectations. 
The DPS for FY23 was 61 cents (FY22: 74 cents) lower than our expectation of 65 cents, a 100% payout ratio equating to a 14% dividend yield.
Cash at 1.07 bn represents &gt; 50% of market capitalization. We believe the management will dip into reserves when it requires to manage a decent payout for shareholders.


Oriental Watch: Steady FY23, Dividend Yield 14%, Cash >50% of Market Cap

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dickson-concepts-intl-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5052:1" rel="noopener">Dickson Concepts Intl (113 HK)</a>, an HK distributor of luxury goods, is a classic example of a Graham net-net with a &gt;40% discount to NCAV (Net Current Asset Value). </li>
<li>The company has 4.7 bn HKD of cash against total liabilities of 2.3 bn HKD (on a market cap of 1.6 bn HKD), thus representing deep value. </li>
<li>With an economic environment in HK for retail sales improving + an existing 8% dividend yield, we could make a case for higher dividend payments.</li>
</ul>



Dickson Concepts Intl (113 HK), an HK distributor of luxury goods, is a classic example of a Graham net-net with a &gt;40% discount to NCAV (Net Current Asset Value). 
The company has 4.7 bn HKD of cash against total liabilities of 2.3 bn HKD (on a market cap of 1.6 bn HKD), thus representing deep value. 
With an economic environment in HK for retail sales improving + an existing 8% dividend yield, we could make a case for higher dividend payments.


Dickson Concepts 113 HK: Straight From The Ben Graham Stable, >40% Discount to NCAV

<ul>
<li>Q1 CY23 watch and jewelry sales for HK were up 88% YoY. HK sales for Oriental Watch (30% of revenues but less volatile) will benefit from the recovery in HK.</li>
<li>We estimate China sales will continue to remain resilient as cross-border travel is yet to pick up in a big way. </li>
<li>Trading at 7.5x FY23e and a 14.2% dividend yield, with more than 50% of the market capitalization in cash, the company can pay solid future dividends despite weaker earnings.</li>
</ul>


Q1 CY23 watch and jewelry sales for HK were up 88% YoY. HK sales for Oriental Watch (30% of revenues but less volatile) will benefit from the recovery in HK.
We estimate China sales will continue to remain resilient as cross-border travel is yet to pick up in a big way. 
Trading at 7.5x FY23e and a 14.2% dividend yield, with more than 50% of the market capitalization in cash, the company can pay solid future dividends despite weaker earnings.


Oriental Watch: HK Sales Recovery Continues for Q1 2023,14% Dividend Yield, >50% of Mkt Cap in Cash

Hong Kong

Oriental Watch Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, trades watches and invests in properties.

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Oriental Watch (398 HK)